Cities of London and Westminster

[nyx]

Sept 19, 2024 7:32:53 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

The Lib Dem results here and in Finchley were superficially the 'worst' on the basis of their decline in vote share since 2019 but we all know there were unique circusmtances at play then and it was widely expected that their vote would evaporate at this election in the absence of those factors. Remember that the Lib Dems have no councillors in either constituency and did not at the time of the 2019 election (and haven't ever been really close in any of the wards in this seat (they were competitive in Churchill in the dim and distant past)). I would submit that their worst result based on their long term potential and local government strength was Harborough, Oadby & Wigston - less than 10% in a seat where they have for a long time held the large majority of local councillors.

Hitchin was also a quite major decline, though that did have the factor of an having understanding with the local Labour party for the Lib Dems to not focus there, I believe.

I'd been expecting a better performance in Harborough considering it's one of the most promising seats for the Lib Dems in the East Midlands.

[The Bishop]

Sept 19, 2024 11:01:54 GMT nyx said:

Sept 19, 2024 7:32:53 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

The Lib Dem results here and in Finchley were superficially the 'worst' on the basis of their decline in vote share since 2019 but we all know there were unique circusmtances at play then and it was widely expected that their vote would evaporate at this election in the absence of those factors. Remember that the Lib Dems have no councillors in either constituency and did not at the time of the 2019 election (and haven't ever been really close in any of the wards in this seat (they were competitive in Churchill in the dim and distant past)). I would submit that their worst result based on their long term potential and local government strength was Harborough, Oadby & Wigston - less than 10% in a seat where they have for a long time held the large majority of local councillors.

Hitchin was also a quite major decline, though that did have the factor of an having understanding with the local Labour party for the Lib Dems to not focus there, I believe.

I'd been expecting a better performance in Harborough considering it's one of the most promising seats for the Lib Dems in the East Midlands.

But that "understanding" was partly out of necessity, given that Labour had the previous byelection winner for part of the seat standing.

[sonofkrautrock]

It would be interesting to see the respective levels of spending. I suspect the candidate here talked the talk, but didn’t walk the walk.

[Deleted]

We will see if Tim Barnes gets back in for the West End ward in this constituency. I came across him during my time at City Journalism school - a decent bloke. 

[YL]

Sept 19, 2024 11:01:54 GMT nyx said:

Sept 19, 2024 7:32:53 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

The Lib Dem results here and in Finchley were superficially the 'worst' on the basis of their decline in vote share since 2019 but we all know there were unique circusmtances at play then and it was widely expected that their vote would evaporate at this election in the absence of those factors. Remember that the Lib Dems have no councillors in either constituency and did not at the time of the 2019 election (and haven't ever been really close in any of the wards in this seat (they were competitive in Churchill in the dim and distant past)). I would submit that their worst result based on their long term potential and local government strength was Harborough, Oadby & Wigston - less than 10% in a seat where they have for a long time held the large majority of local councillors.

Hitchin was also a quite major decline, though that did have the factor of an having understanding with the local Labour party for the Lib Dems to not focus there, I believe.

I'd been expecting a better performance in Harborough considering it's one of the most promising seats for the Lib Dems in the East Midlands.

I think the Leicestershire seat the Lib Dems had a bit of a go at was Hinckley & Bosworth.

[Deleted]

Whether the Lib Dems actually win Marylebone in 2026 also depends on who the Tories choose as leader. I can't see Kemi Badenoch being that popular there. 

[Deleted]

Can we get a thread for the 2025 City of London election stb12?

[The Bishop]

I think the 2025 threads are awaiting a formal change of Admin, which hopefully isn't too far distant now.

[Deleted]

Oct 31, 2024 12:20:46 GMT The Bishop said:

I think the 2025 threads are awaiting a formal change of Admin, which hopefully isn't too far distant now.

If there are no Greens standing in the City (I'd be shocked if they ran) I'll almost certainly be supporting Labour there. I got quite into covering it in 2022 and the Labour candidates I spoke to (Gordon Nardell and Lana Joyce) were very friendly and had some good ideas for the City, given the perennial problem of being a resident in a central business district.