Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605 
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Post by Ports on Jun 3, 2024 11:05:16 GMT
Obviously if one were to guess a good seat for Farage to stand in it would be Clacton but beyond that has there been any confirmation that is the chosen seat?
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Post by philvn on Jun 3, 2024 11:20:49 GMT
I feel like he'd probably win it, but surely they won't win any others? He gets his foot in the door (or his arse on the green benches), then can easily defect to the Tories at some point if he wants.
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Clacton
Jun 3, 2024 11:30:01 GMT
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Jun 3, 2024 11:30:01 GMT
Carswell had a good personal following after being MP there for a decade and only won by 3000 at a GE as a UKIP candidate. Farage realistically isn’t going to be able to replicate that, for a non-party and a fairly lazy candidate. I don't think that's a mark against him. It was a Tory stronghold, the Tory candidate was a former actor, the party was strong in 2015 and heading for a shock majority, and the Conservatives promised to deliver UKIP's raison d'être, an EU referendum. I think Carswell did very well to win the seat. |
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jun 3, 2024 14:30:58 GMT
His original statement was "I'm off to fight the US election because that means more than parochial, backwards England" (I paraphrase obviously).
This new statement will be the reverse ferret we all predicted he'd make. Maybe Trump's 34 counts has persuaded Farage to rethink his evaluation of the UK?
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Sg1
Conservative
Posts: 1,084
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Clacton
Jun 3, 2024 14:46:52 GMT
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Post by Sg1 on Jun 3, 2024 14:46:52 GMT
If Farage will run, it'll be much like Perot where his deciding to run after all will take the wind out of his sails to some extent. Can't see him winning Clacton.
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Jun 3, 2024 15:17:20 GMT
Farage standing, and standing as leader of Reform which he will be for the next five years.
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jun 3, 2024 15:17:33 GMT
He's replaced Tice as leader. That's the next all party leadership debate with him taking part.
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Post by Strontium Dog on Jun 3, 2024 15:19:54 GMT
Did I miss a leadership election somewhere?
Something something unelected bureaucrats
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Post by markgoodair on Jun 3, 2024 15:20:09 GMT
Farage standing, and standing as leader of Reform which he will be for the next five years. Doubt that the Limited Company will still be trading in 5 years time. |
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jun 3, 2024 15:21:32 GMT
Did I miss a leadership election somewhere? Something something unelected bureaucrats One rule for them.... |
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Post by notabrummie on Jun 3, 2024 15:22:04 GMT
If elected that's every Friday in Clacton!
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,761
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Post by right on Jun 3, 2024 15:23:41 GMT
If Farage will run, it'll be much like Perot where his deciding to run after all will take the wind out of his sails to some extent. Can't see him winning Clacton. I wonder if Carswell endorses anyone. He was a popular and effective MP and he'll certainly be remembered. Also had a few very loyal activists locally. |
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Jun 3, 2024 15:29:25 GMT
If Farage will run, it'll be much like Perot where his deciding to run after all will take the wind out of his sails to some extent. Can't see him winning Clacton. I wonder if Carswell endorses anyone. He was a popular and effective MP and he'll certainly be remembered. Also had a few very loyal activists locally. He endorsed Giles Walting in 2017. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jun 3, 2024 15:46:50 GMT
It would be really funny if he split the vote just enough to Labour in
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,139
Member is Online
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Clacton
Jun 3, 2024 15:50:51 GMT
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Post by cogload on Jun 3, 2024 15:50:51 GMT
It would be really funny if he split the vote just enough to Labour in And the Tories fell under 100 seats. |
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Post by willpower3 on Jun 3, 2024 15:56:32 GMT
It would be really funny if he split the vote just enough to Labour in And the Tories fell under 100 seats. That was plausible before this. |
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jun 3, 2024 16:01:13 GMT
Nigel Farage has failed in seven previous attempts to be elected as an MP, having contested these elections …
1994 Eastleigh byelection (Votes 952, vote share 1.7%, 4th)
1997 Salisbury (3,332, 5.7%, 4th)
2001 Bexhill and Battle (3,474, 7.8%, 4th)
2005 South Thanet (2,079, 5%, 4th)
2006 Bromley and Chislehurst byelection (2,307, 8%, 3rd - Rachel Reeves was 4th)
2010 Buckingham (8,410, 17.4%, 3rd - running against speaker John Bercow. 2nd was John Stevens representing the Buckinghamshire Campaign for Democracy)
2015 South Thanet (16,026, 32.4%, 2nd)
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Clark
Forum Regular
Posts: 744
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Post by Clark on Jun 3, 2024 16:04:06 GMT
OK Nigel, you saved your deposit, now take your meaningless 4 or 5,000 votes and go back to whatever it was you were doing before the election.
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Clacton
Jun 3, 2024 16:05:07 GMT
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Post by observer on Jun 3, 2024 16:05:07 GMT
I've seen in a YouTube video, so I don't know if it's correct, that 'some polls' put Farage 10% ahead in Clacton
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jun 3, 2024 16:07:52 GMT
OK Nigel, you saved your deposit, now take your meaningless 4 or 5,000 votes and go back to whatever it was you were doing before the election.
Labour member derides voters as meaningless if they don't vote Labour.  |
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