stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,365 
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Clacton
Mar 13, 2024 21:12:14 GMT
via mobile
Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:12:14 GMT
Clacton
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Post by John Chanin on Mar 16, 2024 8:22:07 GMT
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Post by connor on May 22, 2024 19:34:52 GMT
Conservative Hold
Giles Watling MP (Conservative)
Another long term safe seat for the party. Just ignore the UKIP blip in 2014.
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Post by Wisconsin on May 22, 2024 20:56:11 GMT
Conservative Hold Giles Watling MP (Conservative) Another long term safe seat for the party. Just ignore the UKIP blip in 2014. Are you going to do this for every seat? |
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Post by connor on May 22, 2024 21:02:26 GMT
Yes. I'm doing all 650 seats. Please ignore if you wish.
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Post by Wisconsin on May 22, 2024 22:16:07 GMT
Yes. I'm doing all 650 seats. Please ignore if you wish. I don’t suppose you know how I block someone? |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 22, 2024 22:20:14 GMT
Yes. I'm doing all 650 seats. Please ignore if you wish. I don’t suppose you know how I block someone? Go on their profile. Click on the drop down arrow by the little cog in the top right and block member (you then get the option to hide posts and various other things which you can tick or untick) I didn't have to cast my mind very far back in order to remember how to do this... |
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Post by LDCaerdydd on May 22, 2024 22:25:37 GMT
Yes. I'm doing all 650 seats. Please ignore if you wish. I’m speaking on behalf of many of us, please don’t. |
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Sg1
Conservative
Posts: 1,084
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Post by Sg1 on May 22, 2024 22:29:00 GMT
Yes. I'm doing all 650 seats. Please ignore if you wish. I’m speaking on behalf of many of us, please don’t. Nah, I'm biting my nails waiting to see who he thinks will win Liverpool Walton. |
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on May 23, 2024 4:10:02 GMT
Yes. I'm doing all 650 seats. Please ignore if you wish. Laudable though I'll offer this advice, if I may: many of us use "recent posts", so a run of these posts will fill page after page for no good reason. |
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Post by connor on May 23, 2024 9:03:20 GMT
Might not have had the best reaction to people’s objections yesterday upon reflection so I’ll apologise for any arse-y behaviour on that front.
What I might do is a document and post it as a link if that makes things easier.
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,365
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Post by stb12 on May 23, 2024 9:06:40 GMT
Might not have had the best reaction to people’s objections yesterday upon reflection so I’ll apologise for any arse-y behaviour on that front. What I might do is a document and post it as a link if that makes things easier. This could be a good compromise |
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Post by LDCaerdydd on May 23, 2024 9:28:12 GMT
What I might do is a document and post it as a link if that makes things easier. Sounds great, wack it in a google doc/ sheets etc |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 30, 2024 20:07:46 GMT
| | Con | Lab | Lib/LD |
| | | | | | | | | | | | 1974 | 48.8% | 23.5% | 27.8% | | | | | 1974 | 49.9% | 26.9% | 23.2% | | | | | 1979 | 57.2% | 21.8% | 20.2% | | | | | 1983 | 55.8% | 14.7% | 29.4% | | | | | 1987 | 53.6% | 15.2% | 31.0% | | | | | 1992 | 53.9% | 20.0% | 25.6% | | | |
| | Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP | Grn | BNP | | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 39.3% | 35.7% | 14.1% | 8.7% | | | | 2001 | 43.3% | 41.7% | 9.5% | 5.1% | | | | 2005 | 46.1% | 34.8% | 13.1% | 4.6% | | | | 2010 | 52.8% | 24.6% | 13.4% | | 1.3% | 4.6% | | 2015 | 37.2% | 14.5% | 2.1% | 43.4% | 2.8% | | | 2017 | 61.1% | 25.5% | 2.2% | 7.5% | 1.7% | | | 2019 | 71.9% | 15.6% | 6.2% | | 2.9% | |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 30, 2024 20:41:50 GMT
I'm surprised you've got the Referendum Party doing worse here than they did in the actually-existing Harwich seat in 1997. Certainly Harwich itself wasn't exactly bad turf for UKIP, but it was less strong than Clacton or Walton and my impression from having spoken to those who were involved in the 1997 campaign was that the Referendum Party vote was much more of a purely ex-Tory phenomenon here than UKIP were.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 30, 2024 21:21:57 GMT
I'm surprised you've got the Referendum Party doing worse here than they did in the actually-existing Harwich seat in 1997. Certainly Harwich itself wasn't exactly bad turf for UKIP, but it was less strong than Clacton or Walton and my impression from having spoken to those who were involved in the 1997 campaign was that the Referendum Party vote was much more of a purely ex-Tory phenomenon here than UKIP were. It's an effect of the areas coming in which were in North Essex then (St Osyth etc). The Referendum party are on a slightly higher share in the ex-Harwich wards than they were in Harwich overall then, but they didn't have a candidate in North Essex (UKIP did but only got a couple of percent) |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jun 3, 2024 10:23:31 GMT
Farage is making a big announcement at 4 pm
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,760
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Post by right on Jun 3, 2024 10:28:48 GMT
Farage is making a big announcement at 4 pm Winning Clacton probably won't have an effect on this election, but it means Reform can gain seats in a General Election. |
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Clacton
Jun 3, 2024 11:00:00 GMT
via mobile
Post by Ron Swanson on Jun 3, 2024 11:00:00 GMT
Carswell had a good personal following after being MP there for a decade and only won by 3000 at a GE as a UKIP candidate.
Farage realistically isn’t going to be able to replicate that, for a non-party and a fairly lazy candidate.
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Jun 3, 2024 11:02:19 GMT
Reform campaign in Clacton was going “splendidly” as of Saturday…
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