Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Jul 2, 2024 7:09:27 GMT
There was a Mr Moore at my sixth form in Buckinghamshire! Small world! Note really. It is an extremely common surname. Back on topic - Labour win. James Moore can't be "an extremely common name" in the context of schoolteachers, can it? I think this and South will be close but the Sunak effect will put the Tories over the top here. I think a similar lead to what the Conservatives got here in '83 but with a different coalition. |
|
steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
|
Post by steve on Jul 2, 2024 8:08:00 GMT
The unofficial non-aggression pact between Labour & the LDs has it seems broken down in some constituencies. For example the LDs are ramping themselves in Spelthorne where most people would agree that it's clear that Labour are the challengers in what is a small outside chance for them. I wouldn't be surprised if some Labour people are guilty of it too, but I haven't seen any clear examples. Here, if the aim is to defeat both the Tories & Vaz, it's pretty clear that Labour is far better placed to do that than anyone else. Lib Dems did surge in Leicester around the time of the Iraq War (though mostly in South) so I could see how they may fancy their chances due to split opposition. The demographics in Leicester South are very different from those in Leicester East and were much more friendly to the Lib Dems in 2005 than they are in East in 2024. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Jul 2, 2024 8:09:16 GMT
Lib Dems did surge in Leicester around the time of the Iraq War (though mostly in South) so I could see how they may fancy their chances due to split opposition. The demographics in Leicester South are very different from those in Leicester East and were much more friendly to the Lib Dems in 2005 than they are in East in 2024. Indeed. In South you also have a decent Green presence around the universities and a fairly strident independent. I think it'll stay Labour, but it won't be safe. Ashworth is lucky that the anti-Labour vote (as in so many seats) will split between various non-Labour lefty options. Bradford West is another case in point. |
|
cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
|
Post by cogload on Jul 3, 2024 10:52:44 GMT
Vincent Cable has been stumping here for the LD's (obviously). What happened to "stick to the plan"?
|
|
steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
|
Post by steve on Jul 3, 2024 15:53:39 GMT
Vincent Cable has been stumping here for the LD's (obviously). What happened to "stick to the plan"? Yes, one of the prerequisites of any seats they've added to their target list appears to be a good cllr base so that they can provide their own workers. Definitely not the case here. As far as I could tell the only obvious additions had been Maidenhead, Torbay and possibly Witney. |
|
|
|
Post by rogerg on Jul 3, 2024 18:21:04 GMT
Vincent Cable has been stumping here for the LD's (obviously). What happened to "stick to the plan"? Vince didn't even stick to the plan when he was leader. I imagine he is returning some personal favours to his supporters over the years. |
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
|
Post by Tony Otim on Jul 3, 2024 18:45:08 GMT
Did he also make an appearance in Harborough, Oadby & Wigston or just here?
|
|
|
|
Post by mattbewilson on Jul 3, 2024 20:23:55 GMT
There are bits of Oadby that border LE so makes sense
|
|
|
|
Post by borisminor on Jul 5, 2024 2:12:41 GMT
Conservative GAIN (maybe the only of the night and almost certainly the only one in England)
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Jul 5, 2024 2:13:00 GMT
I hate to say I told you, but...
|
|
andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,772
|
Post by andrea on Jul 5, 2024 2:15:40 GMT
Webbe outpolled Vaz.
|
|
edgbaston
Labour
Posts: 4,376
Member is Online
|
Post by edgbaston on Jul 5, 2024 2:47:17 GMT
Absolutely crazy
|
|
|
|
Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jul 5, 2024 2:55:38 GMT
Does anyone know if Webbe had a phone bank?
|
|
|
|
Post by rcronald on Jul 5, 2024 3:04:30 GMT
Lmfao
|
|
edgbaston
Labour
Posts: 4,376
Member is Online
|
Post by edgbaston on Jul 5, 2024 4:04:20 GMT
Anyone make a load of money betting here?
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Jul 5, 2024 6:17:07 GMT
Anyone make a load of money betting here? I didn't bet on Leicester East and South sadly. I made money on Harrow East and Batley & Dewsbury though. |
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 5, 2024 6:18:53 GMT
Dewsbury accounted for my entire net profit (but Leicester East helped a lot - Harrow East played a small part)
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Jul 5, 2024 6:20:27 GMT
Dewsbury accounted for my entire net profit (but Leicester East helped a lot - Harrow East played a small part) I should've been more confident about Ashworth losing and bet on the independent there. If you come to the Vote UK drinks, I shall buy you a pint. I put £25 on Streeting losing at 14/1 but no cigar. |
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 5, 2024 6:22:58 GMT
I had no inkling that Ashworth was under serious threat, apart from being harassed in the street by the usual suspects. I feel sorry for him actually. He's one of the more likeable Labour front benchers
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 5, 2024 6:23:38 GMT
I mean thats Smethwick on fucking steroids
I'd recommend Starmer doesn't force a by-election in East London to try and get him back into parliament..
|
|
