andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 9, 2024 21:47:03 GMT
79,19% of registered voters: RN: 34,93% Ren: 14,41% PS: 12,97% LFI: 7,58% LR: 6,99% Rec: 5,37% EELV: 4,84% EELV need good results in the big cities to get past the 5% threshold. They should do it but there is still some suspense. 4.95 for Greens now with 83% counted.
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 9, 2024 21:56:14 GMT
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 9, 2024 22:00:25 GMT
Italy Exit poll on La7 Brothers of Italy 27-31% PD 21.5-25.5% 5 Stars 10-14% Lega 7.5-9,5% Forza Italia 7.5-9,5% Green Left 4-6% United States of Europe (Renzi, Bonino) 3.5-5.5% Azione (Calenda) 3-5% Exit poll for Rai Brothers of Italy 26-30% PD 21-25% 5 Stars 10-14% Forza Italia 8.5-10,5% Lega 8-10% Green Left 5-7% United States of Europe (Renzi, Bonino) 3.5-5.5% Azione (Calenda) 2.5-4.5% Everybody else not in the run to get seats. Threshold for seats is 4% First projection by La7 Brothers of Italy 27.5% PD 23.2% 5 Stars 10.8% Lega 8.6% Forza Italia 10% Green Left 6.9% Azione (Calenda) 4% United States of Europe (Renzi, Bonino) 3.8% First projection by Rai Brothers of Italy 27.5% PD 23.7% 5 Stars 11.1% Lega 8% Forza Italia 10.5% Green Left 6.6% United States of Europe (Renzi, Bonino) 4% Azione (Calenda) 3% Threshold for seats is 4%
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Post by markfoster on Jun 9, 2024 22:09:41 GMT
Does RN's good result mean it will have the largest delegation in the new European Parliament?
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 9, 2024 22:34:45 GMT
Italy Exit poll on La7 Brothers of Italy 27-31% PD 21.5-25.5% 5 Stars 10-14% Lega 7.5-9,5% Forza Italia 7.5-9,5% Green Left 4-6% United States of Europe (Renzi, Bonino) 3.5-5.5% Azione (Calenda) 3-5% Exit poll for Rai Brothers of Italy 26-30% PD 21-25% 5 Stars 10-14% Forza Italia 8.5-10,5% Lega 8-10% Green Left 5-7% United States of Europe (Renzi, Bonino) 3.5-5.5% Azione (Calenda) 2.5-4.5% Everybody else not in the run to get seats. Threshold for seats is 4% First projection by La7 Brothers of Italy 27.5% PD 23.2% 5 Stars 10.8% Lega 8.6% Forza Italia 10% Green Left 6.9% Azione (Calenda) 4% United States of Europe (Renzi, Bonino) 3.8% First projection by Rai Brothers of Italy 27.5% PD 23.7% 5 Stars 11.1% Lega 8% Forza Italia 10.5% Green Left 6.6% United States of Europe (Renzi, Bonino) 4% Azione (Calenda) 3% Threshold for seats is 4% Second project of La7 Brothers of Italy 27.8% PD 23.4% 5 Stars 10.6% Forza Italia 10.1% Lega 8.8% Green Left 6.8% Azione (Calenda) 3.8% United States of Europe (Renzi, Bonino) 3.7% Second projection by Rai Brothers of Italy 28.5% PD 23.7% 5 Stars 10.5% Forza Italia 10.0% Lega 8.3% Green Left 6.7% United States of Europe (Renzi, Bonino) 4% Azione (Calenda) 3.4% Third projection by Mediaset Brothers of Italy 28.4% PD 23.9% 5 Stars 10.5% Forza Italia 9.9% Lega 8.4% Green Left 6.9% United States of Europe (Renzi, Bonino) 3.9% Azione (Calenda) 3.4% It is pretty clear Green/Left got over the threshold. It will be a nailbiter night for Renzi and Calenda. Meloni will be happy. PD too. Forza Italia will be satisfied. Bad night for M5S (lost ground to PD) and Lega (being passed by FI).
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Jun 9, 2024 22:55:37 GMT
The Socialist People’s Party have topped the poll in Denmark. They were expected to do well, but polling and an unknown lead candidate still suggested 2nd place. That said, the Social Democrats, technically running in alliance with them, spent the last few days repeatedly attacking SF’s unclear stance on refugee quotas. The problem is I’m not sure many SF-SD swing voters are concerned about this issue, and if they are concerned about immigration then I’m not sure the current SD led government’s right-liberal turn on immigration is any more attractive.
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Jun 9, 2024 23:01:35 GMT
AfD have unsurprisingly won in Thüringen, but look at that BSW score. Not bad.They’re hovering around 15% in East and usually just under 5% in the West. If they repeat the former in actual elections they would have to be part of government, but the latter would exclude them from most Landtags.
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 9, 2024 23:03:44 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Jun 9, 2024 23:21:40 GMT
Almost all of the remaining districts are in East Germany.
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 9, 2024 23:27:39 GMT
381 districts out of 400 in Germany
CDU 23.8 AFD 15.1 SPD 14.3 Greens 12.3 CSU 6.7 BSW 5.7 FDP 5.3 Freie Wähler 2.7 Volt 2.6 Linke 2.6 Die Partei 1.9 Tierschutzpartei 1.4 ODP 0.7 Familie 0.6 PdF 0.6
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Post by rcronald on Jun 9, 2024 23:32:33 GMT
381 districts out of 400 in Germany CDU 23.8 AFD 15.1 SPD 14.3 Greens 12.3 CSU 6.7 BSW 5.7 FDP 5.3 Freie Wähler 2.7 Volt 2.6 Linke 2.6 Die Partei 1.9 Tierschutzpartei 1.4 ODP 0.7 Familie 0.6 PdF 0.6 18/19 are located in East Germany, so SPD,Green,FDP should fall and AFD rise.
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Georg Ebner
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Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 9, 2024 23:52:37 GMT
SPD ahead only in Bremen, Emden, Herne - once unimaginable...
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 9, 2024 23:54:35 GMT
98,92% counted in France
RN 31.57% Macronistes 14.57% Socialists 13.78% La France Insoumise 9.74% Republicains 7.24% Greens 5.45% Reconquete 5.45%
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Jun 10, 2024 3:48:46 GMT
93% counted in Sweden:
Socialdemokraterna: 24.9 (+1.4) Moderaterna: 17.9 (+0.7) Miljöpartiet: 13.8 (+2.3) Sverigedemokraterna: 13.2 (-2.1) Vänsterpartiet: 10.9 (+4.1) Centerpartiet: 7.3 (-3.5) Kristdemokraterna: 5.7 (-2.9) Liberalerna: 4.2 (+0.1)
Others: 2.2
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,142
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Post by cogload on Jun 10, 2024 5:20:29 GMT
So the EPP can form a majority with the S&D? Plus the hard right went backwards in Sweden, Portugal, Poland and Hungary.
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Post by rcronald on Jun 10, 2024 6:08:01 GMT
So the EPP can form a majority with the S&D? Plus the hard right went backwards in Sweden, Portugal, Poland and Hungary. It didn’t go backwards in Portugal..
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jun 10, 2024 6:25:34 GMT
So the EPP can form a majority with the S&D? Plus the hard right went backwards in Sweden, Portugal, Poland and Hungary. It seems so, with vdL in a position of strength. It seems that the internal problems are sorted for now as well- she and Weber went out of their way to praise each other, after he was knifed on Manu's orders last time. It's also notable that pretty much the first thing that she did yesterday was jump on a live feed to Merz at the election party in Berlin, where she praised Merz and Söder. There might be more for future German domestic consideration than has been noted in the press.
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Post by rcronald on Jun 10, 2024 6:32:08 GMT
So the EPP can form a majority with the S&D? Plus the hard right went backwards in Sweden, Portugal, Poland and Hungary. It seems so, with vdL in a position of strength. It seems that the internal problems are sorted for now as well- she and Weber went out of their way to praise each other, after he was knifed on Manu's orders last time. It's also notable that pretty much the first thing that she did yesterday was jump on a live feed to Merz at the election party in Berlin, where she praised Merz and Söder. There might be more for future German domestic consideration than has been noted in the press. CDU/CSU seems to be rebuilding in a more sustainable centre-right manner. Very happy for them, as Afd seems to be going off the deep end 😕
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Jun 10, 2024 6:33:44 GMT
Final France
Rassemblement National 31.36% (30 seats) (+7 seats) Renaissance 14.6% (13 seats) (-10 seats) Socialists 13.83% (13 seats) (+7) La France Insoumise 9.89% (9 seats) (+3) Republicains 7.24% (6 seats) (-2) Greens 5.5% (5 seats) (-8) Reconquete 5.47% (5 seats) (+5) (France have 2 more seats compared to outgoing Parliament)
Final Germany
CDU 23.7 (23 seats ) (=) AFD 15.9 (15 seats) (+4 seats) SPD 13.9 (14 seats) (-2) Greens 11.9 (12 seats) (-9) CSU 6.3 (6 seats) (=) BSW 6.2 (6 seats) (+6) FDP 5.2 (5 seats) (=) Linke 2.7 (3 seats) (-3) Freie Wähler 2.7 (3 seats) (+1) Volt 2.6 (3 seats) (+2) Die Partei (it is the satirical party) 1.9 (2 seats) (=) Tierschutzpartei (Human Environment Animal Protection) 1.4 (1 seat)(=) ODP (Ecological Democratic Party) 0.6 (1 seat)(=) Family Party 0.6 (1 seat)(=) PdF 0.6 (1 seat) (+1) (who are they?)
Piraten lost their seat.
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Post by rcronald on Jun 10, 2024 6:38:06 GMT
Final France Rassemblement National 31.36% (30 seats) PdF 0.6 (1 seat) (+1) (who are they?) The Portable Document Format party!
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