Max
Labour
Posts: 208 
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Post by Max on Jan 11, 2024 13:38:38 GMT
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Post by johnloony on Jan 11, 2024 16:18:40 GMT
If Kingswood has the same turnout, and the same net swing from Conservative to Labour, as other recent by-elections, then the result would be:
The same as Bedfordshire Mid: Labour majority 5,600
The same as Tamworth::::::::::: Labour majority 6,100
The same as Selby & Ainsty::::: Labour majority 7,600
The same as Uxbridge & S.R.::: Conservative majority 3,000
The same as Wakefield::::::::::: Labour majority 700
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,907
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Post by YL on Jan 12, 2024 22:08:52 GMT
South Gloucestershire have published the timetable for this by-election. Nominations open on Wednesday 17 January and close on Friday 19 January; note that, although the writs were moved at the same time, this is a different timetable from the one North Northamptonshire are using for Wellingborough, for which nominations don't close until Tuesday 23 January. beta.southglos.gov.uk/kingswood-by-election-2024/ |
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jan 12, 2024 22:54:52 GMT
South Gloucestershire have published the timetable for this by-election. Nominations open on Wednesday 17 January and close on Friday 19 January; note that, although the writs were moved at the same time, this is a different timetable from the one North Northamptonshire are using for Wellingborough, for which nominations don't close until Tuesday 23 January. beta.southglos.gov.uk/kingswood-by-election-2024/| Activity/deadline | Kingswood | Wellingborough | | Publication of notice of election | 4pm Tuesday 16 January | 16 January 2024 | | Deadline for receipt of nominations | 10am Wednesday 17 January | ?? | | Publication of statements of persons nominated | 5pm Friday 19 January | 23 January 2024 | | Publication of situation of polling stations | 5pm Friday 19 January | 23 January 2024 | | Receipt of postal vote applications | 5pm Wednesday 31 January | 31 January 2024 | | First day to issue replacement lost postal ballot papers | Friday 9 February | 09 February 2024 | | Day of poll | 7am Thursday 15 February | 15 February |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jan 13, 2024 8:02:17 GMT
South Gloucestershire have published the timetable for this by-election. Nominations open on Wednesday 17 January and close on Friday 19 January; note that, although the writs were moved at the same time, this is a different timetable from the one North Northamptonshire are using for Wellingborough, for which nominations don't close until Tuesday 23 January. beta.southglos.gov.uk/kingswood-by-election-2024/| Activity/deadline | Kingswood | Wellingborough | | Publication of notice of election | 4pm Tuesday 16 January | 16 January 2024 | | Deadline for receipt of nominations | 10am Wednesday 17 January | ?? | | Publication of statements of persons nominated | 5pm Friday 19 January | 23 January 2024 | | Publication of situation of polling stations | 5pm Friday 19 January | 23 January 2024 | | Receipt of postal vote applications | 5pm Wednesday 31 January | 31 January 2024 | | First day to issue replacement lost postal ballot papers | Friday 9 February | 09 February 2024 | | Day of poll | 7am Thursday 15 February | 15 February |
Deadlines on their site are now different from what you posted. Deadline for nominations is 4pm on Friday 19th. |
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jan 13, 2024 9:05:53 GMT
| Activity/deadline | Kingswood | Wellingborough | | Publication of notice of election | 4pm Tuesday 16 January | 16 January 2024 | | Deadline for receipt of nominations | 10am Wednesday 17 January | ?? | | Publication of statements of persons nominated | 5pm Friday 19 January | 23 January 2024 | | Publication of situation of polling stations | 5pm Friday 19 January | 23 January 2024 | | Receipt of postal vote applications | 5pm Wednesday 31 January | 31 January 2024 | | First day to issue replacement lost postal ballot papers | Friday 9 February | 09 February 2024 | | Day of poll | 7am Thursday 15 February | 15 February |
Deadlines on their site are now different from what you posted. Deadline for nominations is 4pm on Friday 19th. Aah. Maybe we've caught an error they've corrected. Maybe someone is watching this thread! *waves* |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 14, 2024 13:17:27 GMT
Conservative candidate is Sam Bromiley. South Gloucestershire councillor for Oldland Common ward 2015-19, Parkwall and Warmley 2019-; Cabinet member for children and young people up to 2023, Leader of the Conservative group since 2023.
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jan 15, 2024 10:04:12 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,892
Member is Online
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 15, 2024 10:26:05 GMT
The number of people who still vote Tory because they bought a few shares in the 1980s must be infinitesimally small overall.
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jan 15, 2024 12:39:44 GMT
The number of people who still vote Tory because they bought a few shares in the 1980s must be infinitesimally small overall. Quite. But I'm always looking for the quote that'll encourage people to read an article and that one jumped out  |
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Post by finsobruce on Jan 15, 2024 12:47:06 GMT
The number of people who still vote Tory because they bought a few shares in the 1980s must be infinitesimally small overall. Quite. But I'm always looking for the quote that'll encourage people to read an article and that one jumped out You proto tabloid journalist you. |
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zoe
Conservative
Posts: 637
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Post by zoe on Jan 15, 2024 12:51:20 GMT
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Post by batman on Jan 15, 2024 12:52:46 GMT
The number of people who still vote Tory because they bought a few shares in the 1980s must be infinitesimally small overall. Quite. But I'm always looking for the quote that'll encourage people to read an article and that one jumped out it didn't make me read it. Vox pops have always been a complete waste of time. Scientifically-conducted polls are of much more interest to me. |
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Post by batman on Jan 15, 2024 12:53:02 GMT
and actual election results.
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jan 15, 2024 12:57:28 GMT
Quite. But I'm always looking for the quote that'll encourage people to read an article and that one jumped out You proto tabloid journalist you. I'm no good at pointing out my strengths. When I was on form as a music reviewer and social media account person, I was very good at getting traffic. I'm actually a lot better at writing dialogue and using language than I let on. I'm just handicapped by anxiety and self destructive tendencies. C'est la vie. |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,301
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Post by maxque on Jan 15, 2024 13:24:10 GMT
I would assume not, as it would for any renter and also any mortgage payments paid by a candidate? I don't think his grocery is (or should be) an electoral expense either. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 15, 2024 13:40:38 GMT
I would assume not, as it would for any renter and also any mortgage payments paid by a candidate? I don't think his grocery is (or should be) an electoral expense either. If a candidate was renting somewhere solely for the purpose of the election, then it might count as a personal expense - which is not subject to the limitation on election expenses. |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,301
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Post by maxque on Jan 15, 2024 13:49:50 GMT
I would assume not, as it would for any renter and also any mortgage payments paid by a candidate? I don't think his grocery is (or should be) an electoral expense either. If a candidate was renting somewhere solely for the purpose of the election, then it might count as a personal expense - which is not subject to the limitation on election expenses. Let's be honest here, I think he will need a permanent foothold in the constituency. He won't lose, I don't think an absentee MP will fly and his sister will get tired of him squatting everytime he attends local events. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jan 15, 2024 14:22:04 GMT
Though if he only starts the tenancy on 16th February or afterwards then it wouldn't be an election-related expense anyway.
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jan 17, 2024 9:11:19 GMT
Reform is standing here after all
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