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Post by johnloony on Nov 15, 2023 17:05:56 GMT
I understand that one Kearsley resigned, but what happened to the other two? Split and splat |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 15, 2023 21:50:26 GMT
I understand that one Kearsley resigned, but what happened to the other two? They joined Labour, I think |
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Post by phil156 on Nov 16, 2023 7:45:58 GMT
They all counting tonight except Doncaster which wish to go to bed early and get up late. Doncaster counts at 11.30 Friday morning
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Post by John Chanin on Nov 16, 2023 7:49:18 GMT
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
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Post by YL on Nov 16, 2023 8:09:50 GMT
If the polls showing Reform UK on 10% or 11% are accurate, what would be benchmarks for their performance in Rossington & Bawtry and in the two Bolton contests (where they are allied with "Bolton for Change").
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Post by batman on Nov 16, 2023 8:59:02 GMT
they aren't accurate though
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 16, 2023 11:36:58 GMT
If the polls showing Reform UK on 10% or 11% are accurate, what would be benchmarks for their performance in Rossington & Bawtry and in the two Bolton contests (where they are allied with "Bolton for Change"). That could make a difference in itself, of course. |
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Post by listener on Nov 16, 2023 13:49:04 GMT
Andrew is on home turf this week with his preview - an epic account of Bolton, pages long but worth every word. He points out that Kearsley is pronounced Cursley and not Keirsley.
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Post by carlton43 on Nov 16, 2023 14:15:42 GMT
They all counting tonight except Doncaster which wish to go to bed early and get up late. Doncaster counts at 11.30 Friday morning Very sensible of Doncaster. Why spend overtime for the sake of a few hours? Fresh minds next morning will do it better and more quickly. |
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Post by andrewteale on Nov 16, 2023 20:16:27 GMT
The A666 dual carriageway at the western end of Kearsley ward is called St Peter's Way. Which may be a reference to its fatal accident record. |
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Post by greenman on Nov 16, 2023 20:19:13 GMT
I note that YouGov has Labour and Conservatives down by 5% and SNP, Green and Reform up 4% over the last week. I assume Reform going up is related to Cameron becoming a cabinet minister and note that LD, Green and SNP, plus a third of all labour MPs voted for a ceasefire in Gaza. So I will be interested to see if there is any shift in voting at a local government level. I assume the Conservative vote is going to go down even further, but am not sure whether the LD/Green vote will go up due to the split in Labour policy on Israel/Palestine.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 16, 2023 20:34:29 GMT
I note that YouGov has Labour and Conservatives down by 5% and SNP, Green and Reform up 4% over the last week. I assume Reform going up is related to Cameron becoming a cabinet minister and note that LD, Green and SNP, plus a third of all labour MPs voted for a ceasefire in Gaza. So I will be interested to see if there is any shift in voting at a local government level. I assume the Conservative vote is going to go down even further, but am not sure whether the LD/Green vote will go up due to the split in Labour policy on Israel/Palestine. I believe The questions that delve into more detail on such things attributes the drop of Conservative support/ increase in Reform to the sacking of Braverman rather than anything related to Cameron. |
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Post by greenman on Nov 16, 2023 21:24:43 GMT
andrewp thanks. Why do you think Labour is dropping too, though?
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Nov 16, 2023 23:21:42 GMT
Ceredigion. Penparcau
PC 201
Ind 122
Lab 122
LD 76
Con 27
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Post by manchesterman on Nov 16, 2023 23:25:54 GMT
Andrew is on home turf this week with his preview - an epic account of Bolton, pages long but worth every word. He points out that Kearsley is pronounced Cursley and not Keirsley. It]s funny that, being from round these parts, I've never really thought of it being pronounced any other way than "cursley" but I suppose it isnt obvious on reflection! |
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Post by jamesdoyle on Nov 16, 2023 23:29:52 GMT
Green win in Wrington, but no more details
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Post by jamesdoyle on Nov 16, 2023 23:32:38 GMT
Labour win at stage 7 in Motherwell
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Post by manchesterman on Nov 16, 2023 23:34:48 GMT
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Post by jamesdoyle on Nov 16, 2023 23:35:31 GMT
Wrington
Green 336
Con 297
LibDem 283
Lab 112
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Post by manchesterman on Nov 16, 2023 23:40:12 GMT
Ceredigion. Penparcau PC 201 Ind 122 Lab 122 LD 76 Con 27 PC 36.7% (-17.5) Lab 22.3% (-10.2) Ind 22.3% (new) LD 13.9% (+0,5) Con 4.9% (new)
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