jamie
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Post by jamie on Oct 14, 2023 13:17:08 GMT
As a general rule, Melbourne and especially Sydney are the most socially and therefore politically polarised cities in Australia, with the other capital and regional cities less so. Yes, but YES is leading by 12% in inner city Perth (I assume the margin is going to come down) while NO is winning inner city Adelaide by 2%. True, though the Adelaide electorate is quite a bit more working class (both income and professions) and non-English speaking than the Perth electorate.
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Post by ibfc on Oct 14, 2023 13:17:14 GMT
Quite surprising to see WA come in better for Yes than SA. WA is less advanced than SA so they should converge a bit more, but it’s certainly notable how SA seems to have been No leaning rather than similar to the national vote. You have to wonder if the SA state government will take any message from this for their (legislated) Voice… Yes, my thumb rule for Australia generally has been that SA would be between Victoria and the nation on the progressive scale. Surprised to see a variation. Somehow feel the absolute mess of the last Liberal government in WA has somehow made the state itself relatively more progressive.
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Post by ibfc on Oct 14, 2023 13:17:44 GMT
Wow, the population voting map makes it hugely clear how massively tiny the number of people in Northern Territory is. 2 electoral districts compared to eg five in Tasmania which is ten times smaller geographiclly. Tasmania is guaranteed five seats under the Constitution.
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Oct 14, 2023 13:23:35 GMT
By my very rough count, Yes will win about 24 electorates when all votes are counted.
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Post by ntyuk1707 on Oct 14, 2023 13:31:59 GMT
jamie where can I find results broken down by polling station?
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Oct 14, 2023 14:32:29 GMT
The most interesting thing for me personally from this map, is that I have discovered that the population of Christmas Island fall under the Lingiari NT; while the population of Norfolk Island fall under Bean, ACT.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 14, 2023 14:39:49 GMT
The most useful thing about the map is in identifying all the Bristol Wests, Brighton Pavilions, Hornsey & wood Greens etc so that in the (admittedly now very unlikely) event that I ever emigrate to Australia I will know which areas so stay the fuck away from
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Khunanup
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Post by Khunanup on Oct 14, 2023 14:45:14 GMT
The most useful thing about the map is in identifying all the Bristol Wests, Brighton Pavilions, Hornsey & wood Greens etc so that in the (admittedly now very unlikely) event that I ever emigrate to Australia I will know which areas so stay the fuck away from Also the St Alban's, Twickenhams, and Cheadles which makes it a bit more tricky to sort avoidance...
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Oct 14, 2023 14:52:30 GMT
jamie where can I find results broken down by polling station? Click on the electorate to see booths and click Activate to see a map. It’s sometimes a bit funny loading electorates so you may need to reload at different times. www.pollbludger.net/fed2023ref/Results/
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Post by willpower3 on Oct 14, 2023 14:53:10 GMT
The most useful thing about the map is in identifying all the Bristol Wests, Brighton Pavilions, Hornsey & wood Greens etc so that in the (admittedly now very unlikely) event that I ever emigrate to Australia I will know which areas so stay the fuck away from Melbourne is obviously Brighton Pavillion. The Greens gained each of those seats in the same year (2010). Although the former has a longer left-wing history than the latter.
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Post by bjornhattan on Oct 14, 2023 15:12:42 GMT
jamie where can I find results broken down by polling station? Click on the electorate to see booths and click Activate to see a map. It’s sometimes a bit funny loading electorates so you may need to reload at different times. www.pollbludger.net/fed2023ref/Results/Some very interesting divisions there - Macquarie on the western fringes of Syndey seeing a particularly stark divide between areas in the Blue Mountains (Yes typically winning over the 60% and reaching 76% in Katoomba) and the Hawkesbury area (No winning over 70% in many areas and 82% in sprawling Oakville). The highest Yes vote I've found thus far isn't in a particularly surprising area - parts of Newtown saw 90% vote Yes.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Oct 14, 2023 15:16:13 GMT
Isn't West Sydney rather ethnically diverse (barring the far west around Penrith)? There seemed to be some talk earlier on that working class recent immigrants and their descendants might be quite strong for No. Yes it is ethnically diverse. You'd imagine that certain minorities such as Croats aren't going to be heavy Yes voters based on some recent events.
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Post by ntyuk1707 on Oct 14, 2023 15:19:13 GMT
jamie where can I find results broken down by polling station? Click on the electorate to see booths and click Activate to see a map. It’s sometimes a bit funny loading electorates so you may need to reload at different times. www.pollbludger.net/fed2023ref/Results/Thank you very much. Is there anywhere to view voting booth areas?
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iain
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Post by iain on Oct 14, 2023 15:37:56 GMT
Click on the electorate to see booths and click Activate to see a map. It’s sometimes a bit funny loading electorates so you may need to reload at different times. www.pollbludger.net/fed2023ref/Results/Some very interesting divisions there - Macquarie on the western fringes of Syndey seeing a particularly stark divide between areas in the Blue Mountains (Yes typically winning over the 60% and reaching 76% in Katoomba) and the Hawkesbury area (No winning over 70% in many areas and 82% in sprawling Oakville). The highest Yes vote I've found thus far isn't in a particularly surprising area - parts of Newtown saw 90% vote Yes. Macquarie also has that stark divide in regular elections.
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iain
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Post by iain on Oct 14, 2023 15:38:33 GMT
Click on the electorate to see booths and click Activate to see a map. It’s sometimes a bit funny loading electorates so you may need to reload at different times. www.pollbludger.net/fed2023ref/Results/Thank you very much. Is there anywhere to view voting booth areas? Anyone can vote in any booth.
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Oct 14, 2023 15:51:06 GMT
Click on the electorate to see booths and click Activate to see a map. It’s sometimes a bit funny loading electorates so you may need to reload at different times. www.pollbludger.net/fed2023ref/Results/Thank you very much. Is there anywhere to view voting booth areas? Australia doesn’t have allocated voting booths. In rural areas this makes little difference but in urban areas it does mean you have to account for neighbouring suburbs having a decent bit of crossover with each other.
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Oct 14, 2023 16:06:03 GMT
Some very interesting divisions there - Macquarie on the western fringes of Syndey seeing a particularly stark divide between areas in the Blue Mountains (Yes typically winning over the 60% and reaching 76% in Katoomba) and the Hawkesbury area (No winning over 70% in many areas and 82% in sprawling Oakville). The highest Yes vote I've found thus far isn't in a particularly surprising area - parts of Newtown saw 90% vote Yes. Macquarie has been found to be the most polarised electorate in the entire country. As you say, it’s not just an outlier booth but rather the Blue Mountains are very Labor/progressive while Hawkesbury is much more typical (white) exurbs with the Liberal/conservative inclination that goes with it. A few others that come to mind are: Casey (Victorian equivalent of Macquarie) Richmond (hippies in Byron Bay vs retirees on the Queensland border) Page (32.5% overall but again a load of hippie booths in the 60s) There’s also a few electorates in Melbourne which include 80+ Yes booths in the inner city but stretch to 60+ No booths in the banlieue).
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Post by ibfc on Oct 14, 2023 16:52:16 GMT
Some very interesting divisions there - Macquarie on the western fringes of Syndey seeing a particularly stark divide between areas in the Blue Mountains (Yes typically winning over the 60% and reaching 76% in Katoomba) and the Hawkesbury area (No winning over 70% in many areas and 82% in sprawling Oakville). The highest Yes vote I've found thus far isn't in a particularly surprising area - parts of Newtown saw 90% vote Yes. Macquarie has been found to be the most polarised electorate in the entire country. As you say, it’s not just an outlier booth but rather the Blue Mountains are very Labor/progressive while Hawkesbury is much more typical (white) exurbs with the Liberal/conservative inclination that goes with it. A few others that come to mind are: Casey (Victorian equivalent of Macquarie) Richmond (hippies in Byron Bay vs retirees on the Queensland border) Page (32.5% overall but again a load of hippie booths in the 60s) There’s also a few electorates in Melbourne which include 80+ Yes booths in the inner city but stretch to 60+ No booths in the banlieue). Page has swung a bit to the right recently though. I was quite surprised that the ALP didn't pick it up in 2022.
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Post by rcronald on Oct 14, 2023 17:22:45 GMT
Some very interesting divisions there - Macquarie on the western fringes of Syndey seeing a particularly stark divide between areas in the Blue Mountains (Yes typically winning over the 60% and reaching 76% in Katoomba) and the Hawkesbury area (No winning over 70% in many areas and 82% in sprawling Oakville). The highest Yes vote I've found thus far isn't in a particularly surprising area - parts of Newtown saw 90% vote Yes. Macquarie has been found to be the most polarised electorate in the entire country. As you say, it’s not just an outlier booth but rather the Blue Mountains are very Labor/progressive while Hawkesbury is much more typical (white) exurbs with the Liberal/conservative inclination that goes with it. A few others that come to mind are: Casey (Victorian equivalent of Macquarie) Richmond (hippies in Byron Bay vs retirees on the Queensland border) Page (32.5% overall but again a load of hippie booths in the 60s) There’s also a few electorates in Melbourne which include 80+ Yes booths in the inner city but stretch to 60+ No booths in the banlieue). Why does Maribyrnong stretch so far out off the inner city?
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Post by rcronald on Oct 14, 2023 18:50:00 GMT
Divisions where the NO vote share is above 80%:
1.Maranoa (QLD) - 84.1% 2.Flynn (QLD) - 83.6% 3.Hinkler (QLD) - 80.9% 4.Capricornia (QLD) - 80.8% 4.Dawson (QLD) - 80.8% 4.Kennedy (QLD) - 80.8%
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