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Post by jamesdoyle on Sept 8, 2023 6:46:31 GMT
Tweet congratulating Peter Berry (Con) on winning in Broadland
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Post by andrewp on Sept 8, 2023 6:50:06 GMT
Tweet congratulating Peter Berry (Con) on winning in Broadland I’ve seen numbers on Twitter of Con 870 Lab 757 LD 96 but not absolutely clear that that is the DC result rather than the Town council. |
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Post by andrewp on Sept 8, 2023 7:30:01 GMT
I was away last week, so didn’t update this, but we have hit the half century of ordinary by elections since the May elections
Excluding countermanded elections, up to 7th September , there have now been 50 ordinary by elections since May 4th.
The Conservatives have defended 13- Held 3 and lost 10: 3 to the Greens, 4 to the Lib Dem’s and 3 to Labour( retention rate 23%) and have gained 4. The Conservatives have lost 8 defences in a row, although have now gained 2 since their last hold.
Labour have defended 22- Held 14 and lost 8: 3 to the Conservatives, 3 to Independents, 1 to the Lib Dem’s and 1 to the Greens( retention rate 64%) and have gained 5
Lib Dem’s have defended 6: Held 5 and lost 1 to the Greens ( retention rate 83%) and have gained 6
Greens have defended 4: Held 2 and lost 2. 1 to the Conservatives and 1 to an Independent( retention rate 50%) and have gained 5
Independents have defended 1. Held 1. And have gained 4.
Residents have defended 1, held 1
SNP have defended 2. Lost 2- both to Labour ( retention rate 0%)
Vectis have defended 1, lost 1
Overall net changes
Con -6
Lab -3
LD +5
Green +3
Ind +4
SNP -2
Vectis -1
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
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Post by YL on Sept 8, 2023 7:32:05 GMT
Tweet congratulating Peter Berry (Con) on winning in Broadland I’ve seen numbers on Twitter of Con 870 Lab 757 LD 96 but not absolutely clear that that is the DC result rather than the Town council. Those are the correct figures; I found them on the council website (via the page for the by-election, not their Results page). |
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Post by andrewp on Sept 8, 2023 7:34:09 GMT
Broadland, Thorpe St Andrew
District Council
Con 870 Lab 757 LD 96
Town Council
Con 825 Lab 728 LD 161
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Post by monksfield on Sept 8, 2023 7:37:21 GMT
That’s a tremendous LibDem result in Worfield in what has always been the weakest part of Ludlow constituency for them. With Dunne retiring it feels like an opportunity to get close again. I don’t think I’d call it the strongest Tory division but it’s not that far off. Claverley, Severn Valley etc., equally hard.
I’ll declare an interest as it’s my constituency.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 8, 2023 8:36:14 GMT
Brooklands (Manchester) council by-election result: LAB: 61.5% (+13.2) CON: 12.6% (-6.7) GRN: 11.9% (+0.8) REF: 8.9% (+8.9) LDEM: 5.1% (-14.6) Votes cast: 1,500 LAB HOLD. Are you sure about these percentages? I can’t square a Lib Dem loss of nearly 15% with the figures of earlier results on top of page 1. The supposed changes are with 2021 (this is a Britain Elects thing) though I share the scepticism about the LibDem figure. |
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Post by phil156 on Sept 8, 2023 8:42:56 GMT
Just waiting for someone to work out the percentages of the Broadland result up & down be interesting for the Con
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 8, 2023 8:45:42 GMT
Newcastle, Audley Lab 732 Ind 63 Con 438 LD 355 Declared result Which makes the correct changes (from last year) Tories down 14% and LibDems up 8.7% I think. |
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Post by batman on Sept 8, 2023 8:45:48 GMT
yes that result stands out in an otherwise very poor night for the Tories
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Post by andrewp on Sept 8, 2023 8:45:59 GMT
Just waiting for someone to work out the percentages of the Broadland result up & down be interesting for the Con Con 50.5% (+8.8) Lab 43.9% (-3.7) LD 5.6% (-5.1) |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 8, 2023 8:49:30 GMT
Are you sure about these percentages? I can’t square a Lib Dem loss of nearly 15% with the figures of earlier results on top of page 1. The supposed changes are with 2021 (this is a Britain Elects thing) though I share the scepticism about the LibDem figure. These figures always depend on with which previous election you compare the result, but in this case even that’s not the solution, since the best Lib Dem result seems to be 7.5% in 2019. |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 8, 2023 8:50:54 GMT
yes that result stands out in an otherwise very poor night for the Tories Both this and the Spelthorne vacancy on Wednesday had incumbents resigning soon after being elected for sketchy reasons. That can often irritate some voters. |
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Post by bigfatron on Sept 8, 2023 8:51:15 GMT
Are you sure about these percentages? I can’t square a Lib Dem loss of nearly 15% with the figures of earlier results on top of page 1. The supposed changes are with 2021 (this is a Britain Elects thing) though I share the scepticism about the LibDem figure. But the Lib Dems only got around 3.5% in 2021, so can't have dropped 15%! Unless the numbers at the start of this thread are completely wrong... Edit: I think they might have accidentally compared to 2011, not 2021... |
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Post by andrewp on Sept 8, 2023 8:53:38 GMT
yes that result stands out in an otherwise very poor night for the Tories Control of the council is an ongoing pattern in the results. All of the Conservative gains since May have been in councils that they don’t control. Of their last 8 defences, all of which have been lost, only 1( Plymstock) has been in a council that they don’t control. There are very few gains by any party where they already control the council. Looking at my list since May I think there have been 24 gains by all parties and I think only 1 ( Plymstock) has been a gain by a party that already has control. |
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carolus
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Post by carolus on Sept 8, 2023 8:53:39 GMT
That’s a tremendous LibDem result in Worfield in what has always been the weakest part of Ludlow constituency for them. With Dunne retiring it feels like an opportunity to get close again. I don’t think I’d call it the strongest Tory division but it’s not that far off. Claverley, Severn Valley etc., equally hard. I’ll declare an interest as it’s my constituency. We'll find out about that one soon! There's a byelection pending. |
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carolus
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Post by carolus on Sept 8, 2023 8:57:19 GMT
yes that result stands out in an otherwise very poor night for the Tories Control of the council is an ongoing pattern in the results. All of the Conservative gains since May have been in councils that they don’t control. Of their last 8 defences, all of which have been lost, only 1( Plymstock) has been in a council that they don’t control. There are very few gains by any party where they already control the council. Looking at my list since May I think there have been 24 gains by all parties and I think only 1 ( Plymstock) has been a gain by a party that already has control. Castle Cary? |
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 8, 2023 9:01:53 GMT
The correct change figures for Brooklands compared to 2021 appear to be Labour +0.1% Tories -11.7% LibDem +7.3% Green -2% Reform UK +8.3% (did not stand then)
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Post by jamesdoyle on Sept 8, 2023 9:10:05 GMT
GWBWI (incl Spelthorne)
Lab +145
LDm +79
Grn -16
Con -96
Spelthorne and Broadland could have been a base for a good week for the Cons, but Worfield did for them.
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Post by batman on Sept 8, 2023 9:10:37 GMT
yes that result stands out in an otherwise very poor night for the Tories Both this and the Spelthorne vacancy on Wednesday had incumbents resigning soon after being elected for sketchy reasons. That can often irritate some voters. no, the Labour councillor died in Broadland. |
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