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Post by batman on Mar 22, 2024 9:36:44 GMT
I don't think Labour will be too upset if they fail to win in Hale Barns, for example, but symbolically they'd love to win every ward again. (A small number of pretty bold predictions here, to say the least......)
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Post by thirdchill on Mar 22, 2024 13:31:18 GMT
Having said that, the Bee Buses have been very visible, at least in the areas covered thus far, and arguably just as visible to the pro-car crowd whether they like buses or not. On the whole despite some initial teething troubles, the Bee bus network has been all in all pretty successful. It's certainly more convenient for passengers where there used to be several different bus networks running buses to the same place (via different routes), have found this myself when using it. With regards to the election, the conservatives troubles will only make a small difference to the overall margin of Burnham's victory and particulary at this time and the conservatives polling so poorly nationally there's zero chance of Burnham coming even remotely close to losing (would be very surprised if he failed to get over 50%). Doubt even the very best possible conservative candidate would have a chance of winning currently.
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Mar 22, 2024 14:26:12 GMT
Galloway standing won't budge the dial in:
Manchester Salford Wigan Bury Bolton Oldham Tameside Stockport Trafford
It might make one or two wards switch in
Rochdale.
I'm not certain if I'm breaking new ground in saying this.
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Post by thirdchill on Mar 22, 2024 15:23:09 GMT
Galloway standing won't budge the dial in: Manchester Salford Wigan Bury Bolton Oldham Tameside Stockport Trafford It might make one or two wards switch in Rochdale. I'm not certain if I'm breaking new ground in saying this. I'd say parts of Oldham and parts of Central Bolton may switch a bit more, both of these have similar demographics to the areas of Rochdale that voted heavily for Galloway in the by-election. The rest, agreed, and as this is a greater manchester election across all the boroughs it wouldn't make much difference. At most galloway would have a chance of getting above 5%, would be a struggle for him to even get 3rd overall.
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Post by owainsutton on Mar 22, 2024 17:09:40 GMT
The sheer scale of this election means Galloway wouldn't make an impact. A couple of wards out of over two hundred? Absolutely, I meant in terms of Burnham not winning every single ward this time, whereas he did last time (and the first time around you could count the Tory wards on your hands). This time, if any single ward was to be won by a party other than Labour in GM I can only think of it being by GG in one of his strongholds. I don’t think there is a Tory resurgence of any kind at the moment in Bowden or Bramhall… Also, the boundary changes to Bowdon don't help the Tories.
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Post by owainsutton on Mar 25, 2024 17:06:04 GMT
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Post by Daft H'a'porth A'peth A'pith on Apr 8, 2024 9:50:45 GMT
ABRAHAM HALLIWELL PRF Don Prof Reis
AUSTIN Jake BARKER Dan BUCKLEY Nick BURNHAM Andy EVANS Laura SPENCER Hannah Kathrine
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Post by owainsutton on Apr 8, 2024 16:53:41 GMT
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Post by hullenedge on Apr 28, 2024 7:52:53 GMT
More in Common poll:-
Lab 63 Ref 12 Ind 9 Con 9 LD 4 Green 4
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Post by batman on Apr 28, 2024 7:55:31 GMT
You'd have thought the Tories could at least manage 2nd.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,741
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 28, 2024 8:59:49 GMT
Though tbh I am wondering why they wasted a poll on this, when they could have done Tees Valley instead.
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bsjmcr
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,392
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Post by bsjmcr on Apr 28, 2024 12:13:01 GMT
Andy’s campaign makes very little mention of Labour, the name or logo (which is tiny). Of course the red colour is unmistakable (no union flags shoehorned in though) but it is interesting how he is almost running as an independent (perhaps not to the extent of Andy Street who doesn’t even use blue!)
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Apr 28, 2024 12:15:47 GMT
Though tbh I am wondering why they wasted a poll on this, when they could have done Tees Valley instead. The benefit of being sure to get one right, even if polling for these contests is as difficult as we all expect?
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bsjmcr
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,392
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Post by bsjmcr on Apr 30, 2024 7:47:54 GMT
Though tbh I am wondering why they wasted a poll on this, when they could have done Tees Valley instead. A constituency poll for Richmond and Northallerton, and/or SW Norfolk would be interesting…
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,529
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Post by johng on May 4, 2024 14:06:42 GMT
Burnham landslide.
Burnham (Lab) - 63.4% Evans (Con) - 10.4%
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,529
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Post by johng on May 4, 2024 14:14:54 GMT
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Rural Radical
Labour
Now living in a Labour held ward at Borough level for the first time in many years
Posts: 1,598
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Post by Rural Radical on May 4, 2024 14:43:29 GMT
Banana Republic levels of support 😀
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ricmk
Lib Dem
Posts: 2,337
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Post by ricmk on May 4, 2024 21:36:12 GMT
Lucy Powell has claimed Burnham won every ward except one.
There's only one possible question coming next - does anyone know who the rebel ward are? And how many extra blocks of flats they will now be 'encouraged' to take?
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 4, 2024 21:44:59 GMT
My money's on Heald Green.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 4, 2024 21:48:31 GMT
Surely Holyrood
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