|
|
Post by kevinf on Jul 20, 2023 23:44:21 GMT
Stop the count! Stop the count!
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Jul 21, 2023 8:57:46 GMT
While we are waiting for the official figures of robbienicoll, I think the best three this week were borisminor, kevinf and iainbhxI am fairly sure iainbhx has also taken over the lead for the month. Well done all! |
|
|
|
Post by batman on Jul 25, 2023 8:05:49 GMT
BUCKINGHAMSHIRE, Denham : Ind 36 C 35 LD 18 Lab 11
E.SUSSEX, Heathfield & Mayfield : C 59 Green 41
PLYMOUTH, Plymstock Dunstone : Lab 39 C 31 Ind 11 LD 8 Green 6 Heritage 3 TUSC 2
PLYMOUTH, St Peter & the Waterfront : Lab 46 C 26 Green 9 LD 7 Ind 5 RefUK 4 TUSC 3
WARRINGTON, Poulton N. : Lab 51 C 34 LD 15
|
|
|
|
Post by borisminor on Jul 25, 2023 14:24:51 GMT
Fresh off my surprisingly good score last week
Buckinghamshire - Denham
C-40, Ind-36, Lab-15, LD-9
East Sussex - Heathfield and Mayfield
C-60, Green-40
Plymouth - Plymstock Dunstone
Lab-47, C-30, Ind-8, LD-6, Green-4, TUSC-3, Heritage-2
Plymouth - St Peter and the Waterfront
Lab-50, Con-20, Green-10, LD-7, Ind-6, Ref-4, TUSC-3
Warrington - Paulton North
Lab-50, Con-30, LD-20
|
|
|
|
Post by kevinf on Jul 25, 2023 17:23:58 GMT
Bucks
Con 39, LibDem 31, Ind 25, Lab 5
East Sussex
Green 51, Con 49
Plymouth Plymstock
Lab 55, Con 21, LibDem 9, Ind 7, Green 6.9, Heritage 0.6, Tusc 0.5
Plymouth St Peter’s
Lab 48, Con 27, Green 11, LibDem 9, Reform 3.5, Tusc 1.5
Warrington
Lab 55, Con 36, LibDem 9
|
|
|
|
Post by greenman on Jul 25, 2023 17:41:51 GMT
I suggest borisminor and batman have not looked at the Wealdon results between 2019 and 2023 for Heathfield North, Heathfield South & Maresfield. The Conservatives lost 43.7% of their vote in HN in 2023 and the seat was gained by an Independent, 50.3% in HS and the seat was won by an Independent and in Maresfield they lost 60.5% and the seat was won by Green. Unless the Independent voters go back to Conservative, this potentially looks like a Green win as the Conservatives only won 32.7% support in the May 2023 election in these three Wealden seats. In contrast the 2 Independents and Green won 61.2%. Not sure what the numbers will be but am not convinced Conservatives can win back 17.3% of the support they lost in May.
|
|
|
|
Post by batman on Jul 25, 2023 19:13:14 GMT
If I'm wrong I'm wrong.
|
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
|
Post by Tony Otim on Jul 25, 2023 19:56:42 GMT
As a non-combattant this month, can I raise my personal bugbear that it's not really helpful or good form to comment on the predictions that have been made (other than to point out obvious errors) before the deadline for all predictions to have been made.
|
|
|
|
Post by gwynthegriff on Jul 25, 2023 20:07:25 GMT
That's a challenging idea to present on this Forum.  |
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Jul 25, 2023 22:12:36 GMT
I have been away and not really following this weeks competition, but I was actually in Mayfield and wondering about the big Green signboards....
|
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Jul 25, 2023 23:36:05 GMT
Buckinghamshire: Con 41 LD 28 Ind 18 Lab 13
East Sussex: Green 51 Con 49
Plymouth PD: Lab 48 Con 31 LD 8 Grn 6 Ind 5 TUSC 1 Her 1
Plymouth StPW: Lab 52 Con 16 Grn 12 LD 8 Ind 5 Ref 4 TUSC 3
Warrington N: Lab 59 Con 30 LD 11
|
|
|
|
Post by greenman on Jul 26, 2023 15:36:45 GMT
Apologies, but not living in the UK - in Canada - was unsure what your rules are: "Wealdon results between 2019 and 2023 for Heathfield North, Heathfield South & Maresfield show the Conservatives lost 43.7% of their vote in HN in 2023 and the seat was gained by an Independent, 50.3% in HS and the seat was won by an Independent and in Maresfield they lost 60.5% and the seat was won by Green. Unless Independent voters swing back to Conservative, this potentially looks like a Green win as the Conservatives only won 32.7% support in the May 2023 election in these three Wealden seats. In contrast the 2 Independents and Green won 61.2%. Not sure what the numbers will be but am not convinced Conservatives can win back 17.3% of the support they lost in May".
Is that better?
|
|
|
|
Post by Richard Cromwell on Jul 26, 2023 16:08:50 GMT
St Peter and the Waterfront, Plymouth| LAB | 49% | | CON | 17% | | GRN | 11% | | LDEM | 8% | | Reform | 7% | | IND | 5% | | TUSC | 3% |
Plymstock Dunstone, Plymouth| LAB | 51% | | CON | 28% | | IND | 8% | | LDEM | 5% | | GRN | 4% | | Reform | 3% | | TUSC | 1% |
Denham, Buckinghamshire| CON | 47% | | IND | 21% | | LDEM | 17% | | LAB | 15% |
Poulton North, WarringtonHeathfield & Mayfield, East Sussex |
|
peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,468 
|
Post by peterl on Jul 26, 2023 16:53:50 GMT
Buckinghamshire: Con 42 LD 33 Ind 15 Lab 10
East Sussex: Green 53 Con 47
Plymouth PD: Lab 51 Con 26 LD 10 Grn 7 Ind 3 TUSC 2 Her 1
Plymouth StPW: Lab 54 Grn 17 Con 14 LD 6 Ind 3 Ref 3 TUSC 2
Warrington N: Lab 52 Con 32 LD 16
|
|
|
|
Post by corradino on Jul 26, 2023 20:32:14 GMT
Bucks, Denham: Con 42, LD 24, Ind 19, Lab 15.
E Sussex, Heathfield and Mayfield: Green 52, Con 48.
Plymouth,Plymstock Dunstone: lab 48, Con 32, Green 8, Ind 7, LD 4, TUSC 0.6, Heritage 0.4.
Plymouth, St Peter & Waterfront: Lab 52, Con 16, Green 13, LD 8, Reform 6, TUSC 4.1, Ind 0.9.
Warrington, Poulton North: Lab 49, Con 35, LD 16.
|
|
andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,580
Member is Online
|
Post by andrewp on Jul 26, 2023 21:43:03 GMT
Buckinghamshire. Denham. Con 40 Ind 27 LD 24 Lab 9
East Sussex, Heathfield and Mayfield. Green 55 Con 45
Plymouth Plymstock Dunstone. Lab 47 Con 31, Ind 8 Green 7 LD 6 TUSC 0.5 Heritage 0.5
Plymouth. St Peter and The Waterfront. Lab 53 Con 15 Green 15 LD 7 Ind 5 REfUK 3 TUSC 2
Warrington. Poulton North Lab 54 Con 31 LD 15
|
|
|
|
Post by manchesterman on Jul 26, 2023 22:03:48 GMT
Buckinghamshire: Con 40, LD 24, Ind 24, Lab 12
East Sussex: Green 58, Con 42
Plymouth Plymstock Dunstone: Lab 47, Con 28, Grn 12 ,Ind 6, LD 5, TUSC 1, Heritage 1
Plymouth StPeter&Waterfront: Lab 54, Con 17, Grn 14, LD 6, Reform 6, Ind 2, TUSC 1
Warrington: Lab 55, Con 30, LD 15
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Jul 26, 2023 22:45:37 GMT
Buckinghamshire. Denham. Con 43 Ind 22 LD 25 Lab 10
East Sussex, Heathfield and Mayfield. Green 55 Con 45
Plymouth Plymstock Dunstone. Lab 51 Con 30, Ind 7, Green 5 LD 6 TUSC 0.5 Heritage 0.5
Plymouth. St Peter and The Waterfront. Lab 50 Con 17 Green 16 LD 10 Ind 2 REfUK 3 TUSC 2
Warrington. Poulton North Lab 50 Con 25 LD 25
|
|
|
|
Post by iainbhx on Jul 27, 2023 5:23:48 GMT
Buckinghamshire UA, Denham: Con 43, LDm 28, Ind 20, Lab 9
East Sussex CC, Heathfield & Mayfield: Grn 50.5, Con 49.5
Plymouth UA, Plymstock Dunstone: Lab 48, Con 31, Ind 10, LDm 6, Grn 4, TUSC 0.6, Heritage 0.4
Plymouth UA, St Peter & The Waterfront : Lab 50, Con 18, Grn 11, LDm 8, Ind 7, REF-UK 3.5, TUSC 2.5
Warrington UA, Poulton North: Lab 48, LDm 30, Con 22
|
|
|
|
Post by robbienicoll on Jul 27, 2023 22:53:18 GMT
11 entries to close the month, all on time but with peterl picking up 1 fault for going under in St Peter and the Waterfront, and Richard Cromwell picking up 3 for having a phantom Reform UK candidate in Plymstock Dunstone. Denham, Buckinghamshire: 10 Conservative hold, majorities ranging from 4% (borisminor) to 26% (Richard Cromwell). Batman Independent (Harding) gain with 1% majority over Conservative. Heathfield and Mayfield, East Sussex: 8 Green gain from Conservative, with batman, borisminor and Richard Cromwell Conservative hold. Plymstock Dunstone, Plymouth: 100% Labour gain from Conservative, with majorities ranging from 8% (batman) to 34% (kevinf). St Peter and the Waterfront, Plymouth: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 20% (batman) to 38% (andrewp). Poulton North, Warrington: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 14% (corradino) to 33% (Richard Cromwell). Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Uo5QMmwsBL74ysLsNU9-01TrXr9XH-8-l1zDf2kPFag/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! |
|
