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Post by heslingtonian on Oct 19, 2023 19:05:06 GMT
Not sure if it will have any bearing on the commuter vote but major disruption at both Kings Cross and Euston tonight with a majority of trains cancelled.
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graham
Non-Aligned
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Post by graham on Oct 19, 2023 19:31:06 GMT
Labour did poll 28.5% here in 2017 with no serious campaigning. Surely the party should better that. Indeed the almost 18,000 votes then polled would almost be sufficient to win!
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Post by greenhert on Oct 19, 2023 19:33:29 GMT
What time will this by-election and the Tamworth by-election declare their results, with both counting tonight? I predict 3am.
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Post by mattbewilson on Oct 19, 2023 19:49:29 GMT
Labour did poll 28.5% here in 2017 with no serious campaigning. Surely the party should better that. Indrrd the almost 18,000 votes then polled would almost be sufficient to win! though bare in mind that nobody else did any work either |
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Post by woollyliberal on Oct 19, 2023 19:49:50 GMT
I think there'll be recounts. Expect a late declaration.
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graham
Non-Aligned
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Post by graham on Oct 19, 2023 19:53:05 GMT
Labour did poll 28.5% here in 2017 with no serious campaigning. Surely the party should better that. Indrrd the almost 18,000 votes then polled would almost be sufficient to win! though bare in mind that nobody else did any work either Of course that would be true in such a safe seat - but given the party managed 28.5% in 2017 Labour should be able to reach 30% under present circumstances. |
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Post by mattbewilson on Oct 19, 2023 19:55:40 GMT
though bare in mind that nobody else did any work either Of course that would be true in such a safe seat - but given the party managed 28.5% in 2017 Labour should be able to reach 30% under present circumstances. Lib Dems might beg to differ |
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 19, 2023 20:29:56 GMT
What time will this by-election and the Tamworth by-election declare their results, with both counting tonight? I predict 3am. that early? I rather doubt that  |
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Post by bjornhattan on Oct 19, 2023 20:36:05 GMT
Not sure if it will have any bearing on the commuter vote but major disruption at both Kings Cross and Euston tonight with a majority of trains cancelled. I would suspect that the majority of commuters from these parts would use the line out of St Pancras (some may also have flexible season tickets that allow validity on two routes such as Milton Keynes/Bedford tickets, though that may not be of much help if they have a car parked at a station on the affected lines). The exception would presumably be anyone who lived in the Shefford area as that would be more in the catchment of Arlesey. |
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nyx
Non-Aligned
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Post by nyx on Oct 19, 2023 20:47:55 GMT
I think there'll be recounts. Expect a late declaration. I'm hearing similarly from Lib Dems I know, expecting it to be very close |
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
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Post by peterl on Oct 19, 2023 20:55:08 GMT
I reckon 3am is about right for Tamworth, but Mid Bed I imagine might be closer so probably 4am at the earliest.
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Oct 19, 2023 21:35:10 GMT
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Post by evergreenadam on Oct 19, 2023 22:26:17 GMT
How will the boundary changes affect this seat?
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Post by mattbewilson on Oct 19, 2023 22:28:36 GMT
Not sure if it will have any bearing on the commuter vote but major disruption at both Kings Cross and Euston tonight with a majority of trains cancelled. I would suspect that the majority of commuters from these parts would use the line out of St Pancras (some may also have flexible season tickets that allow validity on two routes such as Milton Keynes/Bedford tickets, though that may not be of much help if they have a car parked at a station on the affected lines). The exception would presumably be anyone who lived in the Shefford area as that would be more in the catchment of Arlesey. it's a mixture from friends I know who live here. |
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Post by johnloony on Oct 19, 2023 22:30:07 GMT
If the Dribbling Lemmings are saying that they’re doing well in challenging the Conservative Party in the villages, that’s their way of admitting that they’re completely rubbish in the towns.
My joy at the Lib Dems coming third will outweigh my delight / disappointment about Conservative / Labour winning / losing / whatever.
If the Lib Dems manage to come 2nd or 1st, my annoyance will outweigh my delight at the Conservative Party winning.
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nyx
Non-Aligned
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Post by nyx on Oct 19, 2023 22:48:19 GMT
How will the boundary changes affect this seat? Mostly stays the same but about 12000 electors at the eastern end of the seat around Shefford are moved into the new Hitchin constituency. Lib Dem campaigning in that area will probably help them in the general election, as Hitchin will be one of their target seats. |
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Post by michaelarden on Oct 19, 2023 22:51:36 GMT
This feels to me a little like Henley where the Lib Dems threw the kitchen sink at it and were disappointed to get just under 30% - my understanding at the time was they felt it was going to be more like 40% and neck and neck with the Tories. Obviously a different circumstance and dynamic with more than a single challenger but sometimes you throw the kitchen sink at a campaign and it throws it back at you. Henley was definitely one - is mid Beds another?
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CatholicLeft
Labour
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Post by CatholicLeft on Oct 19, 2023 23:10:01 GMT
How will the boundary changes affect this seat? Mostly stays the same but about 12000 electors at the eastern end of the seat around Shefford are moved into the new Hitchin constituency. Lib Dem campaigning in that area will probably help them in the general election, as Hitchin will be one of their target seats. I suapect that the wards going into Hitchin were strong for Labour today and will encourage them for the GE there. |
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Oct 19, 2023 23:20:33 GMT
How will the boundary changes affect this seat? From the BCE Map of the new seat, these are the component wards. Wards: 1 Ampthill 2 Aspley and Woburn 3 Barton-le-Clay 4 Cranfield and Marston Moretaine 5 Elstow and Stewartby 6 Flitwick 7 Houghton Conquest and Haynes 8 Silsoe and Shillington 9 Toddington 10 Westoning, Flitton and Greenfield 11 Wilshamstead 12 Wootton |
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Post by andrewteale on Oct 19, 2023 23:30:12 GMT
Ironic that Russell Beard is clean-shaven.
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