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Post by dizz on Jul 13, 2023 23:24:13 GMT
SNP sending out asking for donations to fight a by election that has not been called Nothing new there - the ***** run on a cashflow basis they say. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 25, 2023 17:04:11 GMT
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 25, 2023 18:30:12 GMT
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Post by jimboo2017 on Jul 26, 2023 0:00:19 GMT
Only dead people donate to the Scottish National Party
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 31, 2023 9:46:09 GMT
Just six hours left to sign, hurry.
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Post by borisminor on Jul 31, 2023 10:13:12 GMT
Didn't some recall petitions count overnight before and quite quickly declared that the member was booted out. |
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Post by Wisconsin on Jul 31, 2023 12:40:15 GMT
Do we get numbers for the people who spoil their signing sheets, or who deliberately chose not to sign them?
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Post by samdwebber on Aug 1, 2023 0:05:46 GMT
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Post by samdwebber on Aug 1, 2023 9:34:50 GMT
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
Member is Online
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Post by YL on Aug 1, 2023 16:08:45 GMT
11,896 signed, 14.66%. By-election on.
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Post by markgoodair on Aug 1, 2023 16:14:28 GMT
Labour's candidate is Michael Shanks.
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Post by markgoodair on Aug 1, 2023 16:15:18 GMT
SNP Candidate is Cllr Katy Loudon.
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Aug 1, 2023 16:35:01 GMT
11,896 signed, 14.66%. By-election on. I must confess I thought it would be more than that. This will be a fascinating by-election between the SNP and Labour |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Aug 1, 2023 16:38:05 GMT
11,896 signed, 14.66%. By-election on. I must confess I thought it would be more than that. This will be a fascinating by-election between the SNP and Labour Running the petition almost entirely over the school holidays probably pushed it down a bit, that plus general high levels of apathy. |
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Post by Ron Swanson on Aug 1, 2023 16:51:49 GMT
And maybe an assumption that others would sign it...
Perhaps people pay less attention to Covid rule breaches these days, in light of how daft some of the restrictions/measures were - whether you were anti restriction at the time or whether you're that way retrospectively.
It wouldn't surprise me if she stood.
Labour are going to have to chuck the kitchen sink at this... you'd expect they'd win it. Humza is a bit of a wet lettuce. Can't see him lasting long as FM/SNP leader.
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Post by greenhert on Aug 1, 2023 17:14:43 GMT
Only 14.66%? I was expecting the percentage to exceed that for the Brecon & Radnorshire by-election (19.1%).
With an SNP majority of 5,230 over Labour, Labour on the recovery and the SNP in the doldrums following the fallout regarding Nicola Sturgeon's resignation, this should definitely be an easy Labour gain.
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,712
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Post by CatholicLeft on Aug 1, 2023 17:37:27 GMT
Only 14.66%? I was expecting the percentage to exceed that for the Brecon & Radnorshire by-election (19.1%). With an SNP majority of 5,230 over Labour, Labour on the recovery and the SNP in the doldrums following the fallout regarding Nicola Sturgeon's resignation, this should definitely be an easy Labour gain. Not sure it'll be easy, the SNP trolls have been online for weeks attacking Kier Starmer and the "branch party" in relation to the expected byelection. The SNP reams have been door-knocking for weeks, as has Labour's. It could be anything from a small Labour gain, to a big swing to them. I susoect the latter, but I do not see the SNP hokding on. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Aug 1, 2023 18:01:39 GMT
I expect Labour to take it but a very low turnout.
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ricmk
Lib Dem
Posts: 2,615 
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Post by ricmk on Aug 1, 2023 18:07:41 GMT
I think this is the first ever petition that I wouldn’t have signed had I lived in the area - the offence just not serious enough to warrant a by-election for me, and I‘ll take a tiny smidgeon of satisfaction from the turnout being less than expected.
Labour really should walk this. I hope they do.
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Post by jakegb on Aug 1, 2023 18:21:45 GMT
The pressure will be on for both Labour and the SNP here, with the Tories - for once - breathing a temporary sigh of relief.
I anticipate a Labour win, by a modest, if not insignificant, margin. Consider the 2021 by-election in Airdrie and Shotts, with Labour and the SNP swapping places. Turnout will likely be low.
Again - similar to the English by-elections - are the good people of Ruthurglen + Hamilton West convinced by a Keir Starmer-led Labour government increasingly moving rightwards on key policy? They may reject the SNP, granted, but are they prepared to come out in support of Labour in large numbers ...? I'm sceptical.
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