Prediction Competition - May/June 2023

[yellowperil]

St Albans, StPeters: Con 9, Lab 9.5, LD 41, GP 40.5.

[batman]

ST ALBANS, St Peter's : Green 46 LD 32 Lab 12 C 10

Thursday's contest predictions to come.

[yellowperil]

Should be an interesting one- five going for a LibDem win, five for a Green one, and unless something comes through in the dying minutes of the time available, three forgot/decided not to bother about a Tuesday election- where are you rightleaning, manchesterman, johnloony ?

[johnloony]

Jun 13, 2023 7:58:17 GMT yellowperil said:

Should be an interesting one- five going for a LibDem win, five for a Green one, and unless something comes through in the dying minutes of the time available, three forgot/decided not to bother about a Tuesday election- where are you rightleaning, manchesterman, johnloony ?

Oh, wait, what? A by-election today? I didn’t realise. I blame Ken Loach and Piers Corbyn for not specifically phoning to remind me.

I predict Green 53 LD 32 Lab 8 Con 7. Is it too late? Do i get penalty points for being late? Doesn’t matter anyway.

[kevinf]

I need to get Thursday in today, so:
North Lanarkshire
SNP 33, Lab 32, LibDem 14, Con 9.5, Alba 5, Green 4, Ukip 1.3, Freedom 0.5, SFA 0.5, Brit Unionist 0.2 (Lab gain)
Plymouth
Lab 50, Con 20, Green 11, Ind 9.5, LibDem 8, Tusc 1, Heritage 0.5
South Derbys
Con 45, Lab 35, LibDem 25
Sunderland
LibDem 41, Lab 35, Con 15, Green 5, Ref 4
Surrey Heath
LibDem 55, Con 45,
West Devon
Con 40, LibDem 35, Green 15, Lab 10

[Tony Otim]

Jun 13, 2023 10:05:10 GMT kevinf said:

I need to get Thursday in today, so:
North Lanarkshire
SNP 33, Lab 32, LibDem 14, Con 9.5, Alba 5, Green 4, Ukip 1.3, Freedom 0.5, SFA 0.5, Brit Unionist 0.2
Plymouth
Lab 50, Con 20, Green 11, Ind 9.5, LibDem 8, Tusc 1, Heritage 0.5
South Derbys
Con 45, Lab 35, LibDem 25
Sunderland
LibDem 41, Lab 35, Con 15, Green 5, Ref 4
Surrey Heath
LibDem 55, Con 45,
West Devon
Con 40, LibDem 35, Green 15, Lab 10

You might want to state who you think will win after transfers in North Lanarkshire and if any of the multi-contests will be split.

[johnloony]

North Lanark: Lab 41 SNP 38 Green 7 LD 5 Con 5 SFP 2 Alba 1 UKIP 0.5 FrAll 0.3 BU 0.2 (Labour win)
Plymouth: Lab 48 Green 20 Con 17 LD 8 TUSC 2 Ind 4 H 1
South Derbyshire: Con 50 Lab 30 LD 20
Sunderland: LD 46 Lab 37 Con 8 Green 6 Ref 3
Surrey Heath: LD 58 Con 42
West Devon: LD 39 Con 31 Green 19 Lab 11

[manchesterman]

Jun 13, 2023 7:58:17 GMT yellowperil said:

Should be an interesting one- five going for a LibDem win, five for a Green one, and unless something comes through in the dying minutes of the time available, three forgot/decided not to bother about a Tuesday election- where are you rightleaning , manchesterman , johnloony ?

Thanks for the reminder. Too late for me though

[kevinf]

Jun 13, 2023 10:08:47 GMT Tony Otim said:

Jun 13, 2023 10:05:10 GMT kevinf said:

I need to get Thursday in today, so:
North Lanarkshire
SNP 33, Lab 32, LibDem 14, Con 9.5, Alba 5, Green 4, Ukip 1.3, Freedom 0.5, SFA 0.5, Brit Unionist 0.2
Plymouth
Lab 50, Con 20, Green 11, Ind 9.5, LibDem 8, Tusc 1, Heritage 0.5
South Derbys
Con 45, Lab 35, LibDem 25
Sunderland
LibDem 41, Lab 35, Con 15, Green 5, Ref 4
Surrey Heath
LibDem 55, Con 45,
West Devon
Con 40, LibDem 35, Green 15, Lab 10

You might want to state who you think will win after transfers in North Lanarkshire and if any of the multi-contests will be split.


Thanks. Done. 

[robbienicoll]

11 entries for the Tuesday night contest, all correct with johnloony picking up 10 faults for posting an hour over the deadline.

St Peters, St Albans: 6 Green gain from Liberal Democrat, with andrewp, kevinf, Robert Waller, Tony Otim and yellowperil Liberal Democrat hold.

Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14Wppe9I47SOeIYbLLcTzTlomKkQyZpDUq-3FIXEtjLI/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all!

[johnloony]

I think batman wins

[batman]

Perhaps this week is going to be judged as a whole, not just on last night's result. This run of form in the prediction competition coincides with a major improvement in my batting (although from a very low base). I doubt if it's connected

[finsobruce]

Jun 14, 2023 1:48:38 GMT johnloony said:

I think batman wins

I think we should wait for Commissioner Gordon's findings. *

* political connection - the original part was played by an actor called.... Neil Hamilton.

[robbienicoll]

Results now up and it's actually Corradino who was in first. Just a reminder I'll be posting tomorrow's results on Monday.

[corradino]

Alas, not much time to parade in the glory of my triumph before I inevitably come a cropper with tomorrow's bunch of unpredictable fences.

[Richard Cromwell]

Efford and Lipson, Plymouth

LAB	57%
CON	22%
GRN	11%
LDEM	7%
TUSC	2%
IND	1%
Heritage	0%

Bellshill, North Lanarkshire

LAB	30%	Win On Transfers
SNP	25%
CON	15%
LDEM	8%
GRN	7%
Alba	5%
UKIP	4%
British Unionist	3%
Scottish Family	2%
Freedom Alliance	1%

Hilton, South Derbyshire

LAB	44%
CON	42%
LDEM	14%

Hendon, Sunderland

LAB	42%
LDEM	44%
CON	9%
Reform	3%
GRN	2%

Frimley Green, Surrey Heath

LDEM	74%
CON	26%

Burrator, West Devon

CON	44%
LDEM	26%
LAB	23%
GRN	7%

[manchesterman]

North Lanarkshire:

Lab 32, SNP 31, LibDem 12, Con 12, Green 6, Alba 4.5, UKIP 1, Freedom All 0.5, SFA 0.5, Brit Unionist 0.5 (Lab win)


Plymouth:

Lab 49, Con 24, Green 12, LibDem 9, IND 4, TUSC 1.5, Heritage 0.5


South Derbyshire:

Con 46, Lab 36, LibDem 18


Sunderland:

LibDem 43, Lab 36, Con 11, Green 5, Reform 5


Surrey Heath:

LibDem 59, Con 41


West Devon:

LibDem 34, Con 33, Green 23, Lab 10

[batman]

N.LANARKSHIRE, Bellshill : Lab 34 SNP 27 C 20 Alba 6 Green 5 LD 4 British U 2 Freedom All 1 Scot Fam 1. Lab win on transfers

PLYMOUTH, Efford & Lipson : Lab 53 C 16 Green 13 Ind 9 LD 6 Heritage 2 TUSC 1

S.DERBYSHIRE, Hilton : C 47 Lab 36 LD 17. C win all 3 seats

SUNDERLAND, Hendon : Lab 36 LD 34 C 18 RefUK 7 Green 5

SURREY HEATH, Frimley Green : LD 62 C 38. LD win all 3 seats

W.DEVON, Burrator : LD 46 C 36 Green 11 Lab 7. LD win both seats. Percentage for top candidates

[peterl]

NORTH LANARKSHIRE, Bellshill : Lab 32 SNP 25 C 22 Green 7 LD 6 Alba 5 British Unionist 1 Freedom All 1 Scot Family 1. Lab win on transfers

PLYMOUTH, Efford & Lipson : Lab 60 C 12 Green 10 LD 8 Ind 6 Heritage 2 TUSC 2

S.DERBYSHIRE, Hilton : C 44 Lab 38 LD 18. Con win all 3 seats

SUNDERLAND, Hendon : Lib Dem 38 Lab 35 C 12 RefUK 9 Green 6

SURREY HEATH, Frimley Green : LD 64 C 36. LD win all 3 seats

W.DEVON, Burrator : LD 48 C 32 Green 14 Lab 6. LD win both seats. Percentage for top candidates

[corradino]

N. Lanarkshire, Belshill; Lab 42, SNP 27, Con 12, LD 7, Green 4, BUP 2.5, Alba 2, SFP 2 UKIP 1, Freedom 0.5. Lab win on transfers, nae bother.

Plymouth, Efford & Lipson: Lab 57, Con 15, Green 14, LD 7, Ind (Singh) 3, TUSC 2.4, Heritage 1.6.

S. Derbyshire, Hilton: Con 40, Lab 32, LD 28. Con win all 3 seats.

Sunderland, Hendon: LD 44, Lab 40,Con 7, Green 5,Reform 4.

Surrey Heath, Frimley Green: LD 55, Con 45. LD win all 3 seats.

West Devon, Burrator: LD 35, Con 32, Green, 20, Lab 13. LD win 2 seats.