iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 10,715
Member is Online
|
Post by iain on Feb 10, 2023 8:50:10 GMT
Cheltenham. Even for a Con-LD marginal the Labour results have been extremely poor, despite the demographics not being totally dire for Labour. Farron-era Westmorland & Lonsdale probably fits into the same category.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,579
|
Post by The Bishop on Feb 10, 2023 11:17:26 GMT
As shown by the fact that, pre-Farron, Labour had a significant local government base in Kendal.
|
|
European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,533
|
Post by European Lefty on Feb 10, 2023 20:48:51 GMT
Cheltenham. Even for a Con-LD marginal the Labour results have been extremely poor, despite the demographics not being totally dire for Labour. Farron-era Westmorland & Lonsdale probably fits into the same category. Cheltenham CLP are hard-working but also quite small. I suspect we'd find that lack of activists is a theme common to a lot of the places mentioned in this thread, though which is cause and which is effect is possibly less clear-cut
|
|
sirbenjamin
IFP
True fame is reading your name written in graffiti, but without the words 'is a wanker' after it.
Posts: 4,979
|
Post by sirbenjamin on Feb 10, 2023 21:01:29 GMT
As shown by the fact that, pre-Farron, Labour had a significant local government base in Kendal.
I know somebody who lives in his seat who would strongly identify as a Labour supporter (and certainly has been a member at some point and possibly still is) who has voted for Farron in something like the last five GEs.
I doubt he's the only such person in the area.
|
|
|
Post by bluelabour on Feb 10, 2023 21:08:47 GMT
As shown by the fact that, pre-Farron, Labour had a significant local government base in Kendal.
I know somebody who lives in his seat who would strongly identify as a Labour supporter (and certainly has been a member at some point and possibly still is) who has voted for Farron in something like the last five GEs.
I doubt he's the only such person in the area.
Farron is probably the only current Lib Dem MP I’d be willing to vote for tactically.
|
|
|
Post by East Anglian Lefty on Feb 11, 2023 13:06:16 GMT
Thurrock and Basildon are pretty good examples. In the former it's been ultra-marginal several times since 2010, but looking at the demographics it should be a lot stronger than that. In the latter the boundaries have been awful for us for decades and they seem to get worse every time there's a boundary change, but I'm not not sure we've even won the New Town since 2005 and on demographics it ought to be a lot stronger for us than most New Towns.
|
|
|
Post by mattbewilson on Feb 13, 2023 11:56:32 GMT
Thurrock and Basildon are pretty good examples. In the former it's been ultra-marginal several times since 2010, but looking at the demographics it should be a lot stronger than that. In the latter the boundaries have been awful for us for decades and they seem to get worse every time there's a boundary change, but I'm not not sure we've even won the New Town since 2005 and on demographics it ought to be a lot stronger for us than most New Towns. Thurrock is a weird one because it was even labour in 1983 but since then it's only be labour when labour are in government
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,579
|
Post by The Bishop on Feb 13, 2023 12:19:23 GMT
Not quite - Labour regained it narrowly in 1992.
|
|
|
Post by PeopleLikeWe on Apr 1, 2023 15:13:22 GMT
West-Super-Mare is definitely up there, and notable for not being exclusively down to the LDs. Gloucester is another one Historically, Labour did have peaks with their results in 1995 and 1999 local elections. Even 2019 they managed to do very well, being a coalition partner running Weston Town Council. Sadly, a lot of is that there are affluent parts of the area, and many wealthy older people do retire down here. Yes the demographic is shifting, but there's a lot of persuading to do. The Conservative machine locally is well-oiled, as they're out campaigning a lot. Labour sadly, it's not a wealthy CLP and there are issues regarding the structure and it's been in very poor hands (2018-21 under the reign of Mad Margaret). Yes they're successful in South ward (Bournville / Oldmixon) and Milton, but there are wards where they've been extremely unlucky not to win such as Central. I don't even get Hillside being Lib Dem. Yes there's some expensive housing in the hills, but that you would think would be Green due to the bohemian nature of parts of the ward, or even Labour!
|
|