Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jan 27, 2023 18:39:52 GMT
ABERDEEN UA; Dyce, Bucksburn & Danestone (Con died)
Candidates:
ABEL, Charlie (Alba)
BRZEZINSKI, Tomasz (SNP)
FERNANDES, Mevrick (Liberal Democrat)
HARDIE, Sylvia (Green)
KANTHASWAMY, Akila (Conservative)
LAWRENCE, Graeme (Aberdeen Labour)
MCLEAN, Simon (Independent)
STRATTON, Amy-Marie (Scottish Family Party)
2022: SNP 1538, 1188; Con 1387, 341; Lab 1174; LD 579; Grn 296; SFP 95
2017: SNP 1670, 785; Con 2012; Lab 744, 458; Ind 509; LD 403
The SFP candidate stood here last May. Graeme Lawrence was Labour councillor for the ward on old boundaries 2012-17 and unsuccessful candidate in 2017 – he stood unsuccessfully in Northfield, Mastrick North in 2022. Also in 2022 Charlie Abel stood for Alna in Kincorth, Nigg & Cove, Mevrick Fernandes contested Bridge of Don for the Lib Dems as did Sylvia Hardie for the Greens., whilst Simon McLean stood as an independent in Torry/Ferryhill.
Current Council: SNP 20; Lab 11; Con 7; LD 4; Ind All Grp 1; Ind 1; 1 vacancy
WREXHAM UA; Smithfield (PC resigned)
Candidates:
BENNETT, Richard (Independent)
EDWARDS, Sion (Labour)
JOHNSON, Jayne (Independent)
JOLLEY, Jon (Plaid Cymru)
KELLY, Graham (Liberal Democrats)
PRINCE, Toni (Independent)
2022: PC 184; Lab 153; No Desc 70; Con 38
Richard Bennett was the No Description candidate last May, he also contested the ward on old boundaries as an Independent in 2017 as did Jayne Johnson (coming 4th and 3rd respectively). Last May, Sion Edwards contested Queensway for Labour, although the SOPN indicates he was a Plaid member at the start of last year.
Current Council: Ind 22; Lab 14; Con 9; PC 8; Non-aligned 2; 1 vacancy
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Post by spirit on Jan 27, 2023 22:24:32 GMT
WREXHAM UA; Smithfield (PC resigned) Candidates: BENNETT, Richard (Independent) EDWARDS, Sion (Labour) JOHNSON, Jayne (Independent) JOLLEY, Jon (Plaid Cymru) KELLY, Graham (Liberal Democrats) PRINCE, Toni (Independent) 2022: PC 184; Lab 153; No Desc 70; Con 38 Richard Bennett was the No Description candidate last May, he also contested the ward on old boundaries as an Independent in 2017 as did Jayne Johnson (coming 4th and 3rd respectively). Last May, Sion Edwards contested Queensway for Labour, although the SOPN indicates she was a Plaid member at the start of last year. Current Council: Ind 22; Lab 14; Con 9; PC 8; Non-aligned 2; 1 vacancy Subject to gender identification issues of which I'm not aware, Sion (as opposed to Sian) would generally be a he. Graham Kelly contested Coedpoeth last year |
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Post by batman on Jan 27, 2023 22:28:48 GMT
WREXHAM UA; Smithfield (PC resigned) Candidates: BENNETT, Richard (Independent) EDWARDS, Sion (Labour) JOHNSON, Jayne (Independent) JOLLEY, Jon (Plaid Cymru) KELLY, Graham (Liberal Democrats) PRINCE, Toni (Independent) 2022: PC 184; Lab 153; No Desc 70; Con 38 Richard Bennett was the No Description candidate last May, he also contested the ward on old boundaries as an Independent in 2017 as did Jayne Johnson (coming 4th and 3rd respectively). Last May, Sion Edwards contested Queensway for Labour, although the SOPN indicates she was a Plaid member at the start of last year. Current Council: Ind 22; Lab 14; Con 9; PC 8; Non-aligned 2; 1 vacancy Subject to gender identification issues of which I'm not aware, Sion (as opposed to Sian) would generally be a he. Graham Kelly contested Coedpoeth last year yes, Sion is pronounced almost the same as Sean isn't it? |
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Post by johnloony on Jan 28, 2023 0:18:05 GMT
Subject to gender identification issues of which I'm not aware, Sion (as opposed to Sian) would generally be a he. Graham Kelly contested Coedpoeth last year yes, Sion is pronounced almost the same as Sean isn't it? Yes it is, although that fact in itself isn’t evidence for gender one way or another. (Although the name “Sion” does remind me of the male non-murderer Siôn Jenkins). |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jan 28, 2023 9:35:28 GMT
Gender pronouns now corrected after brain fart moment...
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Post by spirit on Jan 28, 2023 22:29:24 GMT
yes, Sion is pronounced almost the same as Sean isn't it? Yes it is, although that fact in itself isn’t evidence for gender one way or another. (Although the name “Sion” does remind me of the male non-murderer Siôn Jenkins). We may be getting closer |
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Post by robert1 on Feb 15, 2023 15:48:03 GMT
Assuming Labour will be working Dyce, Bucksburn & Danestone, the result will be much interpreted.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 15, 2023 15:55:34 GMT
It's an odd ward - part of it is Caia Park (very large post-war council estate), other bits are older terraced housing, and then there's a bit which is an industrial area. Caia Park is a political unit in its own right which is why local Independents have tended to win the ward.
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Post by kevinf on Feb 17, 2023 16:44:17 GMT
Is the Wrexham ward in the Wrexham parliamentary seat? In which case can we read anything into the lack of a Tory candidate when they hold the Parliamentary?
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Feb 17, 2023 17:22:27 GMT
Smithfield is (and even if it wasn't, the Tories also hold Clwyd South). That said, I don't think they've stood in Smithfield for at least twenty years so it probably doesn't signify much.
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Post by minionofmidas on Feb 17, 2023 17:25:14 GMT
Is the Wrexham ward in the Wrexham parliamentary seat? In which case can we read anything into the lack of a Tory candidate when they hold the Parliamentary? Yes - it's right in the town. Probably not given their general lack of local organizational strength and that it looks like quite a working class area. |
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Post by minionofmidas on Feb 17, 2023 17:25:54 GMT
Smithfield is (and even if it wasn't, the Tories also hold Clwyd South). That said, I don't think they've stood in Smithfield for at least twenty years so it probably doesn't signify much. They stood in '22 - didn't do them much good. |
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Post by phil156 on Feb 21, 2023 9:32:36 GMT
WREXHAM counts on Thursday evening. ABERDEEN counts at 10 am Friday
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Clark
Forum Regular
Posts: 744
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Post by Clark on Feb 23, 2023 11:38:55 GMT
Assuming Labour will be working Dyce, Bucksburn & Danestone, the result will be much interpreted. It's an interesting one - I have no idea who will win this. It could even be a very rare 4 way marginal...with the best candidate / campaign being successful |
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Post by John Chanin on Feb 23, 2023 13:01:01 GMT
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Feb 23, 2023 15:28:14 GMT
Assuming Labour will be working Dyce, Bucksburn & Danestone, the result will be much interpreted. It's an interesting one - I have no idea who will win this. It could even be a very rare 4 way marginal...with the best candidate / campaign being successful It really ought to be an SNP victory - the only time Labour would have had a shot at carrying it in a single-candidate contest would have been the 2012 locals, and even then I'm not certain of that (and it would have been dependent on Barney Crockett having a decent personal vote.) Our position in NE Scotland has worsened substantially since then and to the extent we're seeing a revival in Scotland, it seems to be more of a Central Belt phenomenon thus far. It could conceivably be close between the last two, but if the SNP actually lose it then that is a really bad sign for them. |
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Clark
Forum Regular
Posts: 744
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Post by Clark on Feb 23, 2023 15:50:28 GMT
Yeah SNP will be favorites. The Lib Dems used to be strong in the ward 20 years ago or so. The Tories shouldn't win but they won the Bridge of Don by-election in the ward next door a few years ago which was a surprise. Bucksburn is the most working class part of this ward - the other bits are lower middle class. Labour are nowhere in this area now. Anne Begg used comfortably win Aberdeen South and Labour nearly lost their deposit there in 2019! Aberdeen North is a SNP stronghold now but less so in this ward. Again, Labour used to win big in Aberdeen North back in the day.
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 23, 2023 16:26:42 GMT
It's an interesting one - I have no idea who will win this. It could even be a very rare 4 way marginal...with the best candidate / campaign being successful It really ought to be an SNP victory - the only time Labour would have had a shot at carrying it in a single-candidate contest would have been the 2012 locals, and even then I'm not certain of that (and it would have been dependent on Barney Crockett having a decent personal vote.) Our position in NE Scotland has worsened substantially since then and to the extent we're seeing a revival in Scotland, it seems to be more of a Central Belt phenomenon thus far. It could conceivably be close between the last two, but if the SNP actually lose it then that is a really bad sign for them. Just quickly ran the numbers from 2012. Macgregor (SNP) beats Crockett (Lab) 2100-1953. EDIT: 2017 was close: Macgregor (SNP) 2781 Mackenzie (C) 2702. |
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Post by robert1 on Feb 23, 2023 16:28:35 GMT
Given the disputes that the city Labour Party has had with other parts (I'm not sure they now stand-apologies) I'm struck that the candidate is described as 'Aberdeen Labour'. The two candidates in Edinburgh and Stirling next month are both just 'Labour'.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 23, 2023 16:32:01 GMT
Given the disputes that the city Labour Party has had with other parts (I'm not sure they now stand-apologies) I'm struck that the candidate is described as 'Aberdeen Labour'. The two candidates in Edinburgh and Stirling next month are both just 'Labour'. I think there was speculation (possibly only from me) that the Scottish Labour Party arranged for 'Aberdeen Labour' to be registered as a description just in case there was no agreement to allow the Aberdeen Labour group to return as official party candidates before the 2022 election, and they tried to run for re-election as a separate party. |
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