ricmk
Lib Dem
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Post by ricmk on Jan 19, 2023 23:22:42 GMT
Biddulph North:
Conservative - Rathi Pragasam 458
Labour - Nigel Yates 931
Independent - Andrew Hart 493
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 19, 2023 23:24:24 GMT
STAFFORDSHIRE Biddulph North
Nigel Richard YATES (Labour and Co-operative Party) 931
Andrew HART (Independent) 493
Rathi Thevi PRAGASAM (Local Conservatives) 458
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Post by manchesterman on Jan 19, 2023 23:24:47 GMT
Looking on the prediction thread, Richard Cromwell had 69/22/9. Pretty impressive! |
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Post by evergreenadam on Jan 19, 2023 23:28:39 GMT
Biddulph North: Conservative - Rathi Pragasam 458 Labour - Nigel Yates 931 Independent - Andrew Hart 493 That’s a big swing! |
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Post by batman on Jan 19, 2023 23:38:51 GMT
Biddulph North: Conservative - Rathi Pragasam 458 Labour - Nigel Yates 931 Independent - Andrew Hart 493 That’s a big swing! it's becoming gradually less unusual, the swing in Stevenage since last May is also quite large |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
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Post by maxque on Jan 19, 2023 23:44:00 GMT
Biddulph North: Conservative - Rathi Pragasam 458 Labour - Nigel Yates 931 Independent - Andrew Hart 493 Lab 49.5% (+13.8) Ind 26.2% Con 24.3% (-33.3) |
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Post by batman on Jan 19, 2023 23:49:09 GMT
Perhaps relatively unsurprising. A well-known local Labour candidate against a non-local (apparently) Conservative candidate.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 20, 2023 0:04:30 GMT
Local Democracy Reporter at the Biddulph count has been told they'll count both district and county seat by midnight. I've heard that one before ... Ahem. |
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ricmk
Lib Dem
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Post by ricmk on Jan 20, 2023 0:11:41 GMT
Labour clean sweep.
Biddulph WestNorth:
Independent - Neil Eardley 226
Independent - Alistair McLoughlin 154
Conservative - Rathi Pragasam 185
*Labour - Dave Proudlove 288
*Labour - Charlie Smith 364
Green - Ian Waite 61
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 20, 2023 0:15:33 GMT
Local Democracy Reporter at the Biddulph count has been told they'll count both district and county seat by midnight. I've heard that one before ... Ahem. Midnight came and went- I thought they got the county result out pretty quickly- the district one has only half the votes, but may be a bit more complicated...... and then came through while I was posting! |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
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Post by maxque on Jan 20, 2023 0:15:57 GMT
Labour clean sweep. Biddulph North: Independent - Neil Eardley 226 Independent - Alistair McLoughlin 154 Conservative - Rathi Pragasam 185 *Labour - Dave Proudlove 288 *Labour - Charlie Smith 364 Green - Ian Waite 61 West, not North Using top vote getter: Lab 43.5% (+18.2) Ind 27.0% Con 22.1% (-0.3) Grn 7.3% |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jan 20, 2023 8:09:46 GMT
All in all a very good week for Labour.
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Post by batman on Jan 20, 2023 8:36:28 GMT
There have been some mutterings that given the big opinion poll lead Labour should be doing more consistently well in council by-elections. So far this year Labour has really hit the mark with some very good results. Early days yet but some signs that elections are starting to catch up with the polling.
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Post by matureleft on Jan 20, 2023 8:48:26 GMT
Perhaps relatively unsurprising. A well-known local Labour candidate against a non-local (apparently) Conservative candidate. As always local factors are important, and the appalling turnout makes the Staffordshire results a test of relative activism more than electorate sentiment. But poor candidate selection and poor groundwork are, of course, as indicative of a party’s problems as the results themselves. As is standing down one candidate in implicit endorsement of an independent presumably to prevent a Labour double win in the district seats (as one Labour candidate clearly had stronger recognition than the other). |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 20, 2023 9:06:50 GMT
What you may not know is that Ian Lawson had a very large personal vote. When he was well, he would contribute a very long letter each week which would be printed in the Biddulph Chronicle across several columns. The Chronicle series, because they have stayed independent, are very traditional local newspapers reporting well on local politics in a way that has gone from many towns, and the letters page is particularly lively as a place where issues are discussed. I suspect it's one of the reasons Independent candidates have done well in Biddulph town, though it's possible for party politicians to get a good reputation as well.
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Post by jamesdoyle on Jan 20, 2023 9:51:38 GMT
GWBWI
Lab +234
Grn +2
LDm -1
Con -112
ASV
Lab +3.9
Grn +0.0
LDm +0.0
Con -1.9
A one-horse race this week.
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Jan 20, 2023 10:08:50 GMT
Perhaps relatively unsurprising. A well-known local Labour candidate against a non-local (apparently) Conservative candidate. As always local factors are important, and the appalling turnout makes the Staffordshire results a test of relative activism more than electorate sentiment. But poor candidate selection and poor groundwork are, of course, as indicative of a party’s problems as the results themselves. As is standing down one candidate in implicit endorsement of an independent presumably to prevent a Labour double win in the district seats (as one Labour candidate clearly had stronger recognition than the other). I suspect part of the low turnout was the weather, my favourite nurse here lives in Biddulph Moor and was snowed in until just after midday yesterday. It would be interesting to see if Biddulph Labour Party has become any less moribund as for the last few elections the only work, other than the candidates, at the last few elections has been organised by Baroness Anderson of Stoke and Stoke North CLP. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 20, 2023 10:37:35 GMT
I think some people thought Pragasam was a he and then discovered she was indeed a she. It was only when I read Andrew's profiles I realised Charlie Smith was also a she. I do wish these candidates would leave their pronouns somewhere obvious  I made a similar boob about Labour's candidate in the West Lancashire byelection |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 20, 2023 10:41:41 GMT
It would be interesting to see if Biddulph Labour Party has become any less moribund as for the last few elections the only work, other than the candidates, at the last few elections has been organised by Baroness Anderson of Stoke and Stoke North CLP. Indeed. There was something of a hint in who was tweeting about the byelections that the Biddulph branch (which has been very weak for years) had been heavily supported in the byelections by the much better organised Leek branch making regular campaign trips. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 20, 2023 10:43:58 GMT
Well that is an area where actually getting some councillors elected can be a significant help.
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