|
|
Post by robbienicoll on Dec 16, 2022 1:09:08 GMT
10 entries this week, all on time but with Robert Waller picking up 1 fault for going under in Amber Valley. Wingfield, Amber Valley: 100% Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 12% (kevinf) to 35% (batman). Priory Heath, Ipswich: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 32% (Right Leaning) to 45% (kevinf). Barrowfield and Pendleside, Pendle: Dead split, with 5 favouring a Conservative hold and 5 a Labour gain. Toller, South Kesteven: 6 Liberal Democrat gain from Independent, with andrewp, batman, peterl and Richard Cromwell Conservative gain. Andover Romans, Test Valley: 9 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, majorities ranging from 2% (kevinf) to 22% (andrewp). Richard Cromwell has Conservative hold with 2% majority. Ashton, Wigan: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 25% (peterl) to 51% (Richard Cromwell). Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iTqQm3Qrt8PPcV_cTZeH189LJEMu3F_jgBE3Fyiwn6c/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! |
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Dec 16, 2022 10:08:51 GMT
Well done to rightleaning for taking the lead in the month, with just one (awkward) prediction to go! |
|
andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,580 
Member is Online
|
Post by andrewp on Dec 16, 2022 10:46:50 GMT
Well done to rightleaning fr winning the week and taking the lead in the month, with just one (awkward) prediction to go! I believe that was before the last result was added. It’s well done to iainbhx for winning the week. rightleaning is indeed ahead for the month though. |
|
batman
Labour
Posts: 12,359
Member is Online
|
Post by batman on Dec 19, 2022 12:26:41 GMT
REDCAR & CLEVELAND, Normanby : Lab 42 LD 24 C 19 Ind McInnes 8 Ind Richardson 7
|
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Dec 19, 2022 15:18:30 GMT
Lab 56 Con 26 LD 8 Ind 5 Ind 5
|
|
peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,468
|
Post by peterl on Dec 19, 2022 16:26:18 GMT
Lab 38 LD 29 C 17 Ind McInnes 11 Ind Richardson 5
|
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
|
Post by Tony Otim on Dec 20, 2022 12:31:25 GMT
Lab 38.0; Richardson 27.7; Ld 13.3; Con 12.5; McInnes 8.5
|
|
|
|
Post by kevinf on Dec 20, 2022 12:35:05 GMT
Lab 32, LD 25, Ind Richardson 19, Con 18, Ind McInnes 6
|
|
|
|
Post by Richard Cromwell on Dec 21, 2022 9:46:26 GMT
Normanby, Redcar and Cleveland| LAB | 54% | | LDEM | 22% | | CON | 16% | | Rita Richardson | 8% | | Paul McInnes | 0% |
|
|
batman
Labour
Posts: 12,359
Member is Online
|
Post by batman on Dec 21, 2022 11:40:39 GMT
Goodness, what does Richard know that the rest of us don't about Paul McInnes?
|
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Dec 21, 2022 11:54:04 GMT
I don't know anything about either Independent candidate, which is why I predicted the same percentage for both of them. I've been wondering why most people have predicted more for IndR than IndM.
|
|
batman
Labour
Posts: 12,359
Member is Online
|
Post by batman on Dec 21, 2022 13:16:24 GMT
unless we have info (including where they've stood before, where applicable) it is pure guesswork & luck.
|
|
andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,580
Member is Online
|
Post by andrewp on Dec 21, 2022 22:39:41 GMT
Redcar
Lab 36, Richardson 23, LD 20, Con 16, MCInnes 5
|
|
|
|
Post by iainbhx on Dec 21, 2022 23:10:32 GMT
Redcar & Cleveland UA, Normanby: Lab 39, LDm 21, Ind Richardson 19, Con 16, Ind McInnes 5
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Dec 21, 2022 23:39:42 GMT
Redcar & Cleveland UA, Normanby: Lab 42, LDm 15, Ind Richardson 30, Con 9, Ind McInnes 4
|
|
|
|
Post by rightleaning on Dec 22, 2022 5:58:56 GMT
Redcar & Cleveland UA, Normanby: Lab 43, Ind Richardson 28, LD 14, Con 12, Ind McInnes 3
|
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Dec 22, 2022 13:10:03 GMT
Lab 56 Con 26 LD 8 Ind 5 Ind 5 Is it too late to change my predikshun? (I don't remember what the dealine/cut-off is for the prediction competition). If it's not too late, I predict: Lab 53 Con 24 IndR 13 LD 6 IndM 4 |
|
|
|
Post by robbienicoll on Dec 23, 2022 11:42:28 GMT
10 entries for the final by-election of the year, all on time and correct. I'm happy to accept the first of John Loony's predictions given the late faults the amended version would've incurred. Incidentally the initial version was closer! Normanby, Redcar and Cleveland: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 7% (kevinf) to 32% (Richard Cromwell). Results are available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1wWD15aAxqwWqII4yA26awILjOpP3xUujT1PQ-kWyw-o/edit?usp=sharing - congratulations to andrewp for the monthly win and commiserations to rightleaning for being pipped to first. Thanks to everyone who has taken part and made the competition good fun over the past year. If there are any watchers who want to join in then January will be a great start - you'll be most welcome. Hope everyone has a great festive season and see you all in a couple of weeks. |
|
|
|
Post by iainbhx on Dec 23, 2022 12:05:53 GMT
Quite pleased with third for the month after a crap start and well done to andrewp and rightleaning who have been very much in form lately.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
|
Post by The Bishop on Dec 23, 2022 12:08:17 GMT
Everybody got this final contest of the year wrong, but in particular hardly anyone seemed to foresee the LibDem vote basically disappearing. Which just shows how tricky this prediction business can be, and indeed why I prefer to remain an observer rather than taking part myself  |
|
