The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 17, 2022 9:11:38 GMT
Purely Bolton or purely Rumworth. These kind of results are familiar enough as you say and are entirely to do with local Asian politics with little relevance to the wider borough let alone the country. I remember in 1995 of all years the Conservatives gained (I think) Toller ward in Bradford on a similar swing to the one recorded here. I don't think I'd be particularly worried about this if I was a Labour supporter, less so than some of the apparent movement occuring with Hindu voters in Leicester and elsewhere which may be more systemic. And of course there was Tiger Patel's famous Tory gain in Audley ward, Blackburn in 2021. Blackburn also saw an against the trend Tory gain with a big swing in the 1989 Lancashire CC elections. |
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Post by finsobruce on Sept 19, 2022 10:17:49 GMT
I'm not sure whether these count as real elections or not, but there are also some City of London elections on 15 September: Bishopsgate (Alderman) - 2x Ind Cordwainer (Common) - 3x Ind Cripplegate (Alderman) - 2x Ind has them covered in his previews. Interesting to see that Baroness (Patricia) Scotland is one of those stepping aside to cause an election. At this moment reading from the First letter to the Corinthians at the Queen's funeral service. |
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 22, 2022 16:07:26 GMT
Bolton: Rumworth - Conservative gain from Labour| Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 | | Conservative | 1,610 | 55.0% | +19.5% | +26.1% | +44.1% | +43.8% | | Labour | 1,102 | 37.6% | -17.5% | -25.9% | -35.2% | -38.0% | | Green | 156 | 5.3% | -0.9% | +0.2% | -2.6% | -2.1% | | Liberal Democrat | 36 | 1.2% | -0.3% | -1.1% | -0.8% | -1.3% | | Reform / Bolton for Change | 23 | 0.8% | -0.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | UKIP |
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| -6.3% |
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| -3.3% | | Total votes | 2,927 |
| 80% | 77% | 84% | 86% |
Swing: if other than ward significance Labour to Conservative 18½% since May, 26% since 2021, 39¾% since 2019 and 41% since 2018 Council now: 26 Conservative, 18 Labour, 5 Liberal Democrat, 3 Farnworth & Kearsley First, 2 One Kearsley, 2 Bolton Independent Group, 2 Horwich & Blackrod First, 1 Crompton Independent, 1 Little Lever & Darcy Lever First Mansfeld: Oak Tree - Labour Gain from Mansfield Independent| Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 | since 2015 | since 2011 | | Labour | 141 | 47.0% | +13.6% | -14.1% | -8.5% | | Mansfield Independent ^ | 91 | 30.3% | -25.8% | -8.5% | +8.2% | | Conservative | 45 | 15.0% | +4.5% | from nowhere | -3.9% | | Freedom Alliance | 15 | 5.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | TUSC | 8 | 2.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat |
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| -3.4% | | Total votes | 300 |
| 61% | 33% | 48% |
^ late councillor was elected as Mansfield Independent in 2019 but Labour in 2015 and 2011 Swing: Mansfield Independent to Labour 20% since 2019 but Labour to Mansfield Independent 2¾% since 2015 and 8% since 2011 Council now: 14 Labour (plus elected Mayor), 13 Mansfield Independent, 7 Independent, 2 Conservative
Mid Sussex: Bolney - Conservative hold | Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 | since 2017 B | since 2015 | | Conservative | 301 | 50.6% | +1.2% | -15.1% | -1.6% | | Liberal Democrat | 163 | 27.4% | +8.3% | +3.9% | -1.0% | | Labour | 66 | 11.1% | +4.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | OMRLoony | 30 | 5.0% | from nowhere | +1.2% | from nowhere | | Green | 28 | 4.7% | -8.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent | 7 | 1.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | UKIP |
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| -11.5% | -6.9% | -19.5% | | Total votes | 595 |
| 70% | 70% | 36% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 3½% since 2019, 9½% since 2107 by-election but little swing since 2015 Council now 33 Conservative, 13 Liberal Democrat, 4 Green, 4 Independent
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
|
Post by The Bishop on Sept 23, 2022 13:59:53 GMT
I think the Mansfield swing since 2015 is around 3% rather than 11%?
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 23, 2022 15:59:04 GMT
I think the Mansfield swing since 2015 is around 3% rather than 11%? Thanks, now corrected. |
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