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Post by jamesgroves on Sept 9, 2022 9:47:44 GMT
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andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,612 
Member is Online
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Post by andrewp on Sept 9, 2022 9:49:54 GMT
West Sussex, Felpham
Wild 803
Con 733
Lab 217
Parker 99
Turnout 19.21%
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andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,612
Member is Online
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Post by andrewp on Sept 9, 2022 9:51:16 GMT
Arun, Barnham result confirmed
Green 786
Con 641
Lab 116
Turnout 21.28%
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Post by jamesdoyle on Sept 9, 2022 10:02:00 GMT
GWBWI
Grn +135
Lab +76
LDm +1
Con -198
ASV
Grn +2.2
Lab +1.3
LDm +0.0
Con -3.3
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Post by batman on Sept 9, 2022 10:07:23 GMT
I wouldn't think so. There were two parliamentary by-elections on (Wed) 6th Feb 1952, were polls would have opened before the news and one held the day after on Thu 7th Feb at which a one Mr Denis Healey became the MP for Leeds south East. Unless the funeral is actually on the Thursday, I would guess they would probably go ahead, but campaigning may be very low key... at present, Labour has suspended all campaigning, and I'm sure other parties are the same. |
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iang
Lib Dem
Posts: 1,814
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Post by iang on Sept 9, 2022 10:37:42 GMT
We've been told that, not even delivering leaflets, certainly not canvassing
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Post by lackeroftalent on Sept 9, 2022 10:53:47 GMT
Same for the Green Party. All campaign activity suspended shortly after the announcement of the Queen's death. Several planned action days this weekend cancelled.
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
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Post by Foggy on Sept 9, 2022 19:32:15 GMT
I had an English teacher called Mr Furze back in 2000-01. But I hadn't yet taken on the Foggy moniker then. welcome back. It's been a long time.. Thanks, but this might just prove to be a fleeting visit in exceptional circumstances. I signed up here having convinced myself it was just for the previous (abandoned) Boundary Review, then got caught up in arguments about the domestic and international political dramas of the following 5 years, which probably wasn't great for my health. Might chip in when the current review resumes but will continue to try to lie low aside from that. Good to see you're active around here again though.  |
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Post by phil156 on Sept 10, 2022 8:14:04 GMT
Does anyone know whether that was the election where the count was at the polling station, and therefore expected relatively early? I think it was the one in Lancaster. Unfortutely I deleted the reply email so cannot be sure |
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Post by phil156 on Sept 10, 2022 8:16:48 GMT
I hope that Middleenglander updates his fantastic tables as I always like to the swings against the Tories. Sadly I can never work them out
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 10, 2022 10:39:56 GMT
Does anyone know whether that was the election where the count was at the polling station, and therefore expected relatively early? I think it was the one in Lancaster. Unfortutely I deleted the reply email so cannot be sure Though the Hartlepool result was apparently declared earlier. |
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 11, 2022 13:57:52 GMT
Arun: Barnham - Green gain from Conservative| Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Green | 786 | 50.9% | +21.7% | +19.1% | +33.8% | +32.8% | | Conservative | 641 | 41.5% | +8.4% | +11.3% | +8.5% | +11.5% | | Labour | 116 | 7.5% | -6.7% | -8.0% | -4.2% | -5.0% | | Liberal Democrat |
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| -23.3% | -23.3% |
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| -19.7% | -19.6% | | Independent |
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| -18.5% | -19.6% | | Total votes | 1,543 |
| 55% | 60% | 26% | 27% |
Swing: Conservative to Green 6¾% / 4% since 2019 and 12¾% / 10¾% since 2015 Council now: 23 Conservative, 16 Liberal Democrat, 6 Independent, 4 Arun Independent Group, 3 Green, 1 Labour, 1 Independent Independent Cannock Chase: Hednesford North - Labour gain from Conservative| Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 | | Labour | 290 | 38.1% | +1.7% | +4.8% | +6.8% | -7.9% | | Chase Community Independent | 228 | 30.0% | -0.8% | +2.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Conservative | 208 | 27.3% | -5.5% | -12.0% | +0.3% | -6.8% | | Independent | 35 | 4.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Green |
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| -41.7% | -19.8% | | Total votes | 761 |
| 59% | 47% | 61% | -55% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 3½% since May, 8½% since 2021, 3¼% since 2019 but Labour to Conservative ½% since 2018 if meaningful Council now: 23 Conservative, 9 Labour, 3 Chase Community Independent, 2 Liberal Democrat, 2 Green, 1 Independent, 2 vacancy Hartlepool: Foggy Furze - Labour gain from Independent| Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 "top" | since 2021 "average" | | Labour | 443 | 43.9% | +4.3% | +24.1% | +23.8% | | Conservative | 391 | 38.8% | +14.2% | +9.0% | +6.2% | | Independent Stallard | 126 | 12.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 49 | 4.9% | -0.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Previous Independents |
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| -30.7% | -30.2% | -28.6% | | Veterans & People |
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| -14.4% | -12.3% | | Reform |
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| -3.8% | -4.2% | | For Britain |
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| -2.1% | -2.3% | | Total Votes | 1,009 |
| 63% | 30% | 33% |
Swing: if meaningful Labour to Conservative 5% since 2022 Council now: 14 Conservative, 12 Labour, 5 Independent, 2 Hartlepool Independent Union, 2 Putting Seaton First, 1 Hartlepool People Lancaster: Warton - Green gain from Conservative| Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 | since 2015 | | Green | 452 | 65.7% | +32.8% | +51.1% | | Conservative | 169 | 24.6% | -22.7% | -18.8% | | Labour | 44 | 6.4% | -13.5% | -15.4% | | Liberal Democrat | 23 | 3.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent |
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| -20.3% | | Total votes | 688 |
| 106% | 56% |
Swing: Conservative to Green 27¾% since 2019 and 35% since 2015 Council now: 16 Labour, 15 Green & Independent Group, 9 Conservative, 6 Morecambe Bay Independent, 4 Liberal Democrat, 4 Bay Independent Group, 4 Independent Group, 2 vacancies West Sussex: Felpham - Independent Wild gain from Conservative| Party | 20221 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 | since 2017 | | Independent Wild | 803 | 43.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Conservative | 733 | 39.6% | -12.8% | -25.3% | | Labour | 217 | 11.7% | +3.5% | +3.2% | | Independent Parker | 99
| 5.3% | -14.7% | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat |
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| -10.3% | -8.1% | | Green |
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| -9.0% | -3.7% | | Previous Independent |
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| -14.9% | | Total votes | 1,852 |
| 59% | 65% |
Swing: not meaningful
Council now: 46 Conservative, 11 Liberal Democrat, 9 Labour, 3 Independent, 1 Green
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 11, 2022 14:09:44 GMT
Interestingly, three of the changes were in "split" wards. Arun: Barnham 2 Conservative, 1 Green in 2019, Cannock Chase: Green in 2019, Conservative in 2021 and Labour in 2022 whilst Hartlepool: Foggy Furze elected 2 Independent, 1 Conservative in 2021 and 1 Labour in 2022. In addition, Lancaster: Warton is a single member ward with a 1,708 electorate.
Such wards have a tendency to change hands more than anticipted.
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Post by greenrichard on Sept 12, 2022 3:44:19 GMT
GWBWI Grn +135 Lab +76 LDm +1 Con -198 ASV Grn +2.2 Lab +1.3 LDm +0.0 Con -3.3 Where can I find details about how these figures are calculated? |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Sept 12, 2022 3:52:33 GMT
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