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Post by Robert Waller on Jun 23, 2022 22:44:56 GMT
Harlow, Mark Hall - Lab gain from C Lab 594 C 482 Grn 109 Harlow All 76 Have we had the percentages? Bush Fair (Harlow) council by-election result: LAB: 47.1% (+2.6) CON: 38.2% (-6.5) GRN: 8.6% (+1.0) HAP: 6.0% (+6.0) Votes cast: 1,261 Labour GAIN from Conservative. |
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ricmk
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Post by ricmk on Jun 23, 2022 23:07:20 GMT
Second Lib Dem gain of the night
Hindhead (Waverley) council by-election result:
LDEM: 54.6% (+7.9)
CON: 45.4% (-1.2)
Votes cast: 983
No Lab (-6.8) as prev.
Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.
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ricmk
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Post by ricmk on Jun 23, 2022 23:08:28 GMT
Been out knocking up in Hindhead. This has been our most vigorous campaign locally in years. We began with a knock & drop survey of all households that voted in the last two local elections (2019, 2021). Followed with 3 leaflet drops across the ward. Postal voters not believed to be Cons, had a hand addressed letter, timed to arrive with or immediately before the ballot - followed by a GOTV canvass of postal voters last week. Non-postal voters not believed to be Cons, had a similar reminder letter early this week, followed by an eve of poll leaflet yesterday, and now knocking up today - with a further reminder leaflet for those not in. There's been minimal sign of activity by the Conservatives, except for two leaflet drops by Royal Mail. I'll be at the count, and will post a result as soon as I can. You've only gone and done it - many congratulations to you and the team. |
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Post by andrewp on Jun 23, 2022 23:08:53 GMT
Waverley Hindhead numbers
LD 537
Con 446
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dizz
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Post by dizz on Jun 23, 2022 23:13:13 GMT
Waverley Hindhead numbers LD 537 Con 446 Fairly close though. Con vote only down 1.2%. Not a walk in the Devil's Punch Bowl. |
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Rural Radical
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Post by Rural Radical on Jun 23, 2022 23:28:41 GMT
The former Independent councillor for the Highley division wasn't a fan of the administration at Shirehall but was rather right-wing (even if a lot of his voters were probably unaware of that, but that's the norm for the real political views of independents everywhere!) so this is a slight balance shift. Not surprised that the bulk of his vote went LibDem, but that's a very bad result for the Conservatives. Solid for Labour, actually. It is decent for Labour tbh |
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jun 23, 2022 23:46:31 GMT
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iain
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Post by iain on Jun 24, 2022 0:09:26 GMT
Am told that New Malden Village will almost certainly be a Lib Dem hold Apparently will be Lib Dem, Green/KRG ticket, then Labour and Tories joint last. |
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iain
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Post by iain on Jun 24, 2022 0:18:18 GMT
Am told that New Malden Village will almost certainly be a Lib Dem hold Apparently will be Lib Dem, Green/KRG ticket, then Labour and Tories joint last. Lib Dem - 1217, 1184, 1182 Green - 867 KIRG - 724, 703 Conservative - 467, 372, 327 Labour - 436, 429, 374 |
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Post by sirnorfolkpassmore on Jun 24, 2022 0:46:12 GMT
Waverley Hindhead numbers LD 537 Con 446 Fairly close though. Con vote only down 1.2%. Not a walk in the Devil's Punch Bowl. Always look at the baseline. Had it been compared with a good Tory result in 2021, that's a good point. But the result is compared with the dire fag end of May's "leadership" in Spring 2019. |
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 24, 2022 0:47:34 GMT
Harlow: Bush Fair - Labour gain from Conservative| Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 B | | Labour | 594 | 47.1% | +2.6% | +0.6% | +4.6% | +2.2% | | Conservative | 482 | 38.2% | -6.5% | -10.7% | +8.0% | +0.1% | | Green | 109 | 8.6% | +1.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Harlow Alliance | 76 | 6.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | +0.8% | | Liberal Democrat |
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| -3.1% | -4.6% | -6.4% | -3.2% | | UKIP |
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| -20.9% | -8.5% | | Total votes | 1,261 |
| 83% | 64% | 87% | 104% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 4½% since May, 5¾% since 2021 and 1% since 2018 by-election but Labour to Conservative 1¾% since 2019 Council now: 20 Conservative, 13 Labour Kingston-Upon-Thames: New Malden Village - 3 Liberal Democrats elected Deferred election on new boundaries| Party | 2022 votes
top candidate | 2022 votes
second candidate | 2022 votes
bottom candidate | 2022 votes
average | 2022 share
top candidate | 2022 share
average | | Liberal Democrats | 1,217 | 1,184 | 1,182 | 1,194 | 40.7% | 43.2% | | Green / | 867 |
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| 765
| 29.0% |
| | Kingston Independent Residents |
| 724 | 703 | with Green |
| 27.7% | | Conservative | 467 | 372 | 327
| 389 | 15.6% | 14.1% | | Labour | 436 | 429 | 374
| 413 | 14.6% | 15.0% | | Total votes | 2,987 | 2,709 | 2,586 | 2,761 |
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Council now: 44 Liberal Democrat, 3 Conservative, 1 Kingston Independent Resident Group Neath Port Talbot - result awaited Deferred election on same boundaries but number of councillors reduced from 3 to 2| Party | 2022 votes
top
candidate | 2022 votes
second
candidate | 2022 votes
average | 2022 share top candidate | 2022 share
average | 2017 result | since 2012 "top" | since 2012 "average" | | Labour | 914 | 898 | 906 | 58.1% | 62.2% | 3 unopposed | +3.8% | +7.5% | | Plaid Cymru | 367 | 244 | 305
| 23.3% | 21.0% |
| from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent | 246 | 171 | 209 | 15.6% | 14.3% |
| from nowhere | from nowhere | | Green | 46 | 25 | 36 | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| from nowhere | from nowhere | | NPT Independent |
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| -38.7% | -37.7% | | Conservative |
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| -7.0% | -7.6% | | Total votes | 1,573 | 1,338 | 1,456 |
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| 103% | 103% |
Swing: Not meaningful Council now: 25 Labour, 16 Independent, 12 Plaid Cymru, 2 Dyffren Independent, 2 Liberal Democrat, 1 Green, 2 vacancies Shropshire: Highley - Liberal Democrat gain from Independent who did not defend the seat| Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 | since 2017 | since 2013 | | Liberal Democrat | 630 | 54.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | +36.1% | | Conservative | 279 | 24.1% | -9.5% | -4.4% | from nowhere | | Labour | 239 | 20.7% | +7.3% | +3.5% | from nowhere | | Green | 9 | 0.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent Tremellen |
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| -53.0% | -43.1% | -55.3% | | Independent Court |
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| -11.2% |
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| -26.3% | | Total votes | 1,157 |
| 136% | 117% | 176% |
Swing: Not meaningful - apart from 2% Conservative to Liberal Democrat since 2009 if indeed meaningful Council now: 42 Conservative, 14 Liberal Democrat, 9 Labour, 4 Green, 4 Independent, 1 Non-affiliated Independent
Waverley: Hindhead - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative| Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Liberal Democrat | 537 | 54.6% | +7.9% | +5.8% | +40.2% | +40.9% | | Conservative | 446 | 45.4% | -1.2% | +1.3% | -9.3% | -9.5% | | Labour |
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| -6.8% | -7.1% |
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| -15.8% | -16.0% | | Independent |
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| -15.2% | -15.4% | | Total votes | 983 |
| 84% | 88% | 38% | 39% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 4½% / 2¼% since 2019 and 25% since 2015 Council now: 20 Conservative, 16 Liberal Democrat, 15 Farnham Residents, 2 Labour, 2 Green, 2 Independent
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Post by listener on Jun 24, 2022 4:21:14 GMT
Pedants' corner - the Neath Port Talbot councillors in Dyffryn ward are Dyffryn Independents.
It is Kingston-upon-Thames and New Malden Village.
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Post by liverpoolliberal on Jun 24, 2022 5:22:29 GMT
Labour people on here saying that Highley was “decent” are dramatically underplaying how hard they went for it. They had 3 teams knocking up voters past 8pm in quite a small seat and Julia Buckley was there pretty much every day of the campaign.
Added that the Tories put up a token effort, coming third is borderline embarrassing in what is a very demographically favourable ward for them.
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Post by minionofmidas on Jun 24, 2022 6:23:26 GMT
That Oakham collapse is hilarious. I do wonder how Mr Hesse came by his fancy name. A member of the House of Hesse he is not, and he is the only person to come up in searches for the full surname (along with numerous results for the winegrowing town of Winkel, in the former Hessen-Nassau, obviously.) |
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Post by matureleft on Jun 24, 2022 7:08:17 GMT
Labour people on here saying that Highley was “decent” are dramatically underplaying how hard they went for it. They had 3 teams knocking up voters past 8pm in quite a small seat and Julia Buckley was there pretty much every day of the campaign. Added that the Tories put up a token effort, coming third is borderline embarrassing in what is a very demographically favourable ward for them. Well yes. But Labour appears to have had first, a constituency party with very limited strength and secondly, regardless of the origin and demographics of the place, modest on-the-ground presence or history of fighting the seat hard in the fairly recent past. And (without visiting the place but knowing the sort of village from the description) having a genuinely local candidate really counts in this sort of seat. The Lib Dem is local as is the Tory, are they not? With these points in mind, a creditable Labour effort. |
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Post by michaelarden on Jun 24, 2022 7:51:07 GMT
Lib Dems apparently had 60 people knocking up in New Malden and their call centre ran out of Tiverton numbers so they phoned New Malden too. Not a great result in the circumstances with that effort.
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ricmk
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Post by ricmk on Jun 24, 2022 8:13:06 GMT
Might have made some mistakes but who got the most votes last night overall?
With a simple add I get a close result at the top:
LIB DEM - 27,795
CON - 26,967
LABOUR - 18,652
GREEN - 2,707
LOCAL - 2,685
INDY - 2,507
REFUK - 994
PLAID - 611
OTHER - 1733
(Local = Harlow Alliance + Yorkshire Party + Kingston Residents)
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Chris from Brum
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jun 24, 2022 8:51:07 GMT
Lib Dems apparently had 60 people knocking up in New Malden and their call centre ran out of Tiverton numbers so they phoned New Malden too. Not a great result in the circumstances with that effort. It's ok, we get it, a Lib Dem stole your dinner money when you were about 5. But there are three more Lib Dem councillors here as of this morning, and we'll take that any day of the week. |
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Post by michaelarden on Jun 24, 2022 9:04:40 GMT
Lib Dems apparently had 60 people knocking up in New Malden and their call centre ran out of Tiverton numbers so they phoned New Malden too. Not a great result in the circumstances with that effort. It's ok, we get it, a Lib Dem stole your dinner money when you were about 5. But there are three more Lib Dem councillors here as of this morning, and we'll take that any day of the week. Wow - was simply contrasting with Lib Dem posts above commenting on the efforts of Labour in Highley and suggesting the result wasn't as good as it should have been. This was a ward that the Lib Dems saw their vote drop significantly despite massive effort. Yes you got three councillors over the line and have an even bigger majority on the council. But generally all your majorities are lower than last time and non-Tory parties have moved into challengers in several wards.
But it's obviously OK for Lib Dems to criticise Labour's efforts in Shropshire but not OK for others to do the same for Lib Dems in Kingston. there's a word for that isn't there?
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jun 24, 2022 9:18:04 GMT
It's ok, we get it, a Lib Dem stole your dinner money when you were about 5. But there are three more Lib Dem councillors here as of this morning, and we'll take that any day of the week. Wow - was simply contrasting with Lib Dem posts above commenting on the efforts of Labour in Highley and suggesting the result wasn't as good as it should have been. This was a ward that the Lib Dems saw their vote drop significantly despite massive effort. Yes you got three councillors over the line and have an even bigger majority on the council. But generally all your majorities are lower than last time and non-Tory parties have moved into challengers in several wards.
But it's obviously OK for Lib Dems to criticise Labour's efforts in Shropshire but not OK for others to do the same for Lib Dems in Kingston. there's a word for that isn't there?
It's difficult to avoid noticing that your comments on Lib Dem performances are unremittingly negative, whenever and wherever. Criticism is fine, so long as it's balanced. Yours seems not to be. |
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