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Post by jollyroger93 on Apr 3, 2022 17:17:24 GMT
Exit poll?
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Apr 3, 2022 17:23:49 GMT
Not yet. In theory there are still people voting (if they were queuing still by 7pm) so they won't publish anything until a while after. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 3, 2022 17:38:09 GMT
All found OpinionPolls since NewYear:  "CarolinaPlescia" will clearly either turn out as genial or as FullIdiots... |
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Apr 3, 2022 17:41:17 GMT
All found OpinionPolls since NewYear: "CarolinaPlescia" will clearly either turn out as genial or as FullIdiots... You can add this one by Medián, which was just published with field work done 30-31st March Fidesz-KDNP: 49% United for Hungary: 41% Hungarian Two-tailed Dog Party: 4.5% Mi Hazánk: 4.5% |
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Apr 3, 2022 19:13:04 GMT
16.76% of the list votes are in:
Fidesz-KDNP: 61.93%
United for Hungary: 27.06%
Mi Hazánk: 6.61%
These are mostly from rural districts. No votes from the big cities, including Budapest have come in yet.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Apr 3, 2022 19:18:51 GMT
16.76% of the list votes are in: Fidesz-KDNP: 61.93% United for Hungary: 27.06% Mi Hazánk: 6.61% These are mostly from rural districts. No votes from the big cities, including Budapest have come in yet. Do they have like a percentage change from the last election. So we know who's advancing and falling back.? |
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Apr 3, 2022 19:22:30 GMT
Not that I've seen. It would be interesting!
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 3, 2022 19:26:24 GMT
16.76% of the list votes are in: Fidesz-KDNP: 61.93% United for Hungary: 27.06% Mi Hazánk: 6.61% These are mostly from rural districts. No votes from the big cities, including Budapest have come in yet. Do they have like a percentage change from the last election. So we know who's advancing and falling back.? At least i haven't found anything. But with 41% of FPTP and 28% of PR counted, Fidesz is at 134 (1 more). |
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Apr 3, 2022 19:30:32 GMT
With 41% of the constituency vote counted, Fidesz are leading in 89 constituencies, United for Hungary in 17 (15 of which are in Budapest).
With 28% of the list vote counted, Fidesz are on 59.36%, United for Hungary on 29.44% and Mi Hazánk on 6.59%. That would work out as 134/57/8 seats respectively.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 3, 2022 19:30:40 GMT
With 4% from Budapest done the opPosition is only minimally ahead. Could in theory be mostly Fidesz-StrongHolds, of course.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 3, 2022 19:41:50 GMT
17 FPTP-leads of the opPosition:
5 Momentum
4 DK
4 MSZP (1 outside BudaPest)
2 Dialogue
1 Jobbik (1 outSide BudaPest)
1 LMP (Greens)
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Apr 3, 2022 19:41:57 GMT
Interestingly, with 74% of the vote counted in Hódmezővásárhely constituency, where opposition Marki-Zay is hoping to get elected, he is trailing the Fidesz incumbent 51.5% - 40.37%.
In the unlikely event that the opposition wins, does this mean that they will need to choose a new leader?
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Apr 3, 2022 19:44:39 GMT
17 FPTP-leads of the opPosition: 5 Momentum 4 DK 4 MSZP (1 outside BudaPest) 2 Dialogue 1 Jobbik (1 outSide BudaPest) 1 LMP (Greens) I make it 18. 2 MSZP outside Budapest (Pécs and Dunaújváros) |
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Post by minionofmidas on Apr 3, 2022 19:45:22 GMT
With 41% of the constituency vote counted, Fidesz are leading in 89 constituencies, United for Hungary in 17 (15 of which are in Budapest). With 28% of the list vote counted, Fidesz are on 59.36%, United for Hungary on 29.44% and Mi Hazánk on 6.59%. That would work out as 134/57/8 seats respectively. Is that what the current results would give if they were the complete results, or is that actually a projection? |
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Apr 3, 2022 19:47:07 GMT
With 41% of the constituency vote counted, Fidesz are leading in 89 constituencies, United for Hungary in 17 (15 of which are in Budapest). With 28% of the list vote counted, Fidesz are on 59.36%, United for Hungary on 29.44% and Mi Hazánk on 6.59%. That would work out as 134/57/8 seats respectively. Is that what the current results would give if they were the complete results, or is that actually a projection? As they stand now. I've not seen any projections yet. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 3, 2022 19:51:31 GMT
17 FPTP-leads of the opPosition: 5 Momentum 4 DK 4 MSZP (1 outside BudaPest) 2 Dialogue 1 Jobbik (1 outSide BudaPest) 1 LMP (Greens) I make it 18. 2 MSZP outside Budapest (Pécs and Dunaújváros) The opp--candidate in Fejer-04 is from Jobbik, won also last time by them. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 3, 2022 20:06:13 GMT
3 leads for the opp. outside of BudaPest:
Baranya-01 (Pécs): PM/Dialogue
Csongrád-Csanád-01 (Szeged): MSZP
Féjer-04 (Dunaújváros): Jobbik
EnCountered by 3 leads for Fidesz in the capital.
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Apr 3, 2022 20:26:34 GMT
Another interesting titbit: With 72% of the vote counted, the Fidesz candidate in Vásárosnamény constituency, which is the only one to border Ukraine, is currently sitting on almost 70% of the vote, compared to 59% in 2018.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Apr 3, 2022 20:29:30 GMT
Have You detected any VoteStream-anaLysis or other kinds of surveys, WJ? |
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Apr 3, 2022 20:33:32 GMT
Have You detected any VoteStream-anaLysis or other kinds of surveys, WJ ? Nope, not yet. I really don't know where to look. I assume that this will all start appearing in the coming days. |
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