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Post by phil156 on Feb 18, 2022 9:29:28 GMT
TAVISTOCK WARD count delayed to Saturday
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Post by jamesdoyle on Feb 18, 2022 9:29:54 GMT
'Forward With the People'! 'Solidarity With the working Classes'! 'Unity Is Our Strength'! You can just see the pebble-dash glasses, the forage cap with little red badges on it, can't you? A step back to happier days. Pushing it close? Really? Personally, I would _love_ to see some pebbledash glasses. |
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Post by La Fontaine on Feb 18, 2022 9:58:11 GMT
Stainburn and Clifton is a Labour gain. No figures yet. Apparently Lab 354 Con 294 Good result in the ancestral home. |
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Post by andrew111 on Feb 18, 2022 10:11:45 GMT
'Forward With the People'! 'Solidarity With the working Classes'! 'Unity Is Our Strength'! You can just see the pebble-dash glasses, the forage cap with little red badges on it, can't you? A step back to happier days. Pushing it close? Really? Personally, I would _love_ to see some pebbledash glasses. They would protect the wearer from the Bugblatter Beast of Traal, that is for sure... |
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Post by batman on Feb 18, 2022 10:25:10 GMT
'Forward With the People'! 'Solidarity With the working Classes'! 'Unity Is Our Strength'! You can just see the pebble glasses, the forage cap with little red badges on it, can't you? A step back to happier days. Pushing it close? Really? it is the Tories' strongest ward in Grimsby AFAIK & there was a pretty sharp swing to Labour. If I'm right about that, repeated constituency-wide the Tories would not win. calm down a little. |
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Post by andrewp on Feb 18, 2022 10:33:14 GMT
'Forward With the People'! 'Solidarity With the working Classes'! 'Unity Is Our Strength'! You can just see the pebble glasses, the forage cap with little red badges on it, can't you? A step back to happier days. Pushing it close? Really? it is the Tories' strongest ward in Grimsby AFAIK & there was a pretty sharp swing to Labour. If I'm right about that, repeated constituency-wide the Tories would not win. calm down a little. It was a 10.25% swing to Labour since 2021 and a 6% swing to Labour compared to 2019. Labour would need a 11.1% swing to gain Grimsby on the current boundaries. |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823 
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Post by timmullen1 on Feb 18, 2022 10:34:17 GMT
'Forward With the People'! 'Solidarity With the working Classes'! 'Unity Is Our Strength'! You can just see the pebble glasses, the forage cap with little red badges on it, can't you? A step back to happier days. Pushing it close? Really? it is the Tories' strongest ward in Grimsby AFAIK & there was a pretty sharp swing to Labour. If I'm right about that, repeated constituency-wide the Tories would not win. calm down a little. According to Andrew’s Preview Labour have only held the Ward once, in 2012, on just 29% of the vote. The Tories have been gradually chipping away at the LDs since 2018, taking the final LD seat last May with 53% of the vote. |
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Post by Merseymike on Feb 18, 2022 10:48:28 GMT
it is the Tories' strongest ward in Grimsby AFAIK & there was a pretty sharp swing to Labour. If I'm right about that, repeated constituency-wide the Tories would not win. calm down a little. It was a 10.25% swing to Labour since 2021 and a 6% swing to Labour compared to 2019. Labour would need a 11.1% swing to gain Grimsby on the current boundaries. Although some of these type of seats are going to be unpredictable given that the dominance of Brexit will not be present. And certainly Grimsby was a seat where that issue was very dominant and the leave vote very high |
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Post by andrewp on Feb 18, 2022 10:49:09 GMT
Oundle turn out is 35.4%
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Post by Merseymike on Feb 18, 2022 10:49:23 GMT
And it is a perfectly proper argument, whoever is in control, to say that monolithic control does not make for good governance, so vote for a decent opposition. The Tory candidate seems to have been high profile from a mark made further up the thread too. I'd think batman is right - it seems like the Manchester result of a couple of weeks back in reverse I wonder if Labour are regretting not standing a candidate? |
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Post by andrew111 on Feb 18, 2022 11:10:40 GMT
And it is a perfectly proper argument, whoever is in control, to say that monolithic control does not make for good governance, so vote for a decent opposition. The Tory candidate seems to have been high profile from a mark made further up the thread too. I'd think batman is right - it seems like the Manchester result of a couple of weeks back in reverse I wonder if Labour are regretting not standing a candidate? Well, given they have never come anything other than last in all elections since 2003, I doubt they would have done very well... |
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Post by andrew111 on Feb 18, 2022 11:13:48 GMT
The amount of detail and research that goes into Andrew’s previews is phenomenal. I don’t always get round to reading them but when I do I always enjoy them. Collingham is of particular interest this week as my mum lives there and has been complaining about the volume of literature from Debbie Darby in particular. As I think I noted on another thread, DD seems to be linked to the Ashfield Independents and her campaign has gone through the whole range of Lib Dem by-election templates - Mail merge letters, a3 risograph leaflets, fake local newspaper and even a “lifestyle magazine”. Her election expense return should be quite illuminating! Another example of "too many leaflets, that is putting everyone I know off"? |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 18, 2022 11:31:33 GMT
Oundle turnout 35.4%.
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Post by olympian95 on Feb 18, 2022 11:36:39 GMT
LD gain Oundle
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Post by andrewp on Feb 18, 2022 11:38:05 GMT
Oundle
LD 1683
Con 1423
Lab 337
Green 124
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,154
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Post by Chris from Brum on Feb 18, 2022 11:39:11 GMT
Oundle LD 1683 Con 1423 Lab 337 Green 124 Phew! Redemption. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,474
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Post by The Bishop on Feb 18, 2022 11:56:29 GMT
Blimey. What the hell happened there? Liz Darling - say no more. Cryptic comments like this don't really help, what about her exactly? |
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Post by melthamhd94nn on Feb 18, 2022 12:02:40 GMT
Liz Darling - say no more. Cryptic comments like this don't really help, what about her exactly? A Blackadder reference - but probably not relevant. |
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Post by evergreenadam on Feb 18, 2022 12:10:49 GMT
Oundle LD 1683 Con 1423 Lab 337 Green 124 Phew! Redemption. I always thought Oundle was the sort of place that the Lib Dems might have a chance in. Bit like Oakham in Rutland or Stamford in Lincolnshire. |
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Post by minionofmidas on Feb 18, 2022 12:51:19 GMT
it is the Tories' strongest ward in Grimsby AFAIK & there was a pretty sharp swing to Labour. If I'm right about that, repeated constituency-wide the Tories would not win. calm down a little. It was a 10.25% swing to Labour since 2021 and a 6% swing to Labour compared to 2019. Labour would need a 11.1% swing to gain Grimsby on the current boundaries. ... compared to december 2019. 3.7 since may 19. There seems to have been no election in one of Labour's stronger wards in the constituency in 2021 (no idea why; also going by the council website because the result is not on leap yet) but just putting that ward as casting 0 votes, a 10.25 swing compared to 2021 across the constituency is exactly what Labour need to tie the Conservatives in Grimsby. So yes, on this swing Labour would gain Grimsby. Mind you, an above-average Labour swing in the constituency's most affluent ward wouldn't exactly be surprising at the next ge. |
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