Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 26, 2021 17:54:40 GMT
And the final one of the year:
NEW FOREST DC; Bransgore & Burley (Con resigned)
Candidates:
BRAMLEY, Lucy Joanna (Green)
FRAMPTON, Richard Leslie (Independent)
HOWARD, Sarah Anne (Conservative)
SWYER, James Nigel (Labour)
2019: Con 1002, 964; Lab 385
2015: Con 2386, 1805; Grn 740; Lab 464
Dec 14by: Con 834; UKIP 171; Lab 74
2011: Con 1789, 1539; LD 536; Lab 386
2007: Con 1335, 1164; Ind 888; LD 430
2003: Con 961, 886; Ind 880; LD 678
Richard Frampton is a former Conservative councillor for the ward, having won the 2014 by-election and topped the poll in 2015. He did not re-stand in 2019.
Current Council: Con 44; LD 12; Ind 2; 2 vacancies
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Post by kevinf on Nov 28, 2021 16:08:38 GMT
Mr Frampton’s nomination papers were signed by the outgoing Tory Councillor whose resignation caused the byelection. He resigned following an internal party dispute around the former Council Leader who was convicted over environmental crime issues. The assumption therefore is the Independent’s campaign will be targeting the Tories.
For my sins, I’m the Labour Party agent. Expecting a turnout of around 15 - voters, not percentage…..
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 28, 2021 16:48:38 GMT
Mr Frampton’s nomination papers were signed by the outgoing Tory Councillor whose resignation caused the byelection. He resigned following an internal party dispute around the former Council Leader who was convicted over environmental crime issues. The assumption therefore is the Independent’s campaign will be targeting the Tories. For my sins, I’m the Labour Party agent. Expecting a turnout of around 15 - voters, not percentage….. Well best of luck! Anything can happen in low turnout by-elections.... |
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Post by batman on Nov 28, 2021 16:56:50 GMT
Mr Frampton’s nomination papers were signed by the outgoing Tory Councillor whose resignation caused the byelection. He resigned following an internal party dispute around the former Council Leader who was convicted over environmental crime issues. The assumption therefore is the Independent’s campaign will be targeting the Tories. For my sins, I’m the Labour Party agent. Expecting a turnout of around 15 - voters, not percentage….. perhaps you should have red Labour colours? hope you do well Kevin..... |
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Post by minionofmidas on Nov 28, 2021 17:37:10 GMT
More on that conviction svp/aub
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 28, 2021 20:08:16 GMT
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Post by kevinf on Nov 28, 2021 23:57:55 GMT
Mr Frampton’s nomination papers were signed by the outgoing Tory Councillor whose resignation caused the byelection. He resigned following an internal party dispute around the former Council Leader who was convicted over environmental crime issues. The assumption therefore is the Independent’s campaign will be targeting the Tories. For my sins, I’m the Labour Party agent. Expecting a turnout of around 15 - voters, not percentage….. perhaps you should have red Labour colours? hope you do well Kevin..... If I could work out how, I would! Cheers. |
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Post by lackeroftalent on Nov 29, 2021 0:38:02 GMT
perhaps you should have red Labour colours? hope you do well Kevin..... If I could work out how, I would! Cheers. |
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Post by iainbhx on Nov 29, 2021 7:11:34 GMT
Mr Frampton’s nomination papers were signed by the outgoing Tory Councillor whose resignation caused the byelection. He resigned following an internal party dispute around the former Council Leader who was convicted over environmental crime issues. The assumption therefore is the Independent’s campaign will be targeting the Tories. For my sins, I’m the Labour Party agent. Expecting a turnout of around 15 - voters, not percentage….. On the day voters may well be minimal, but I expect there will be a reasonable return of postal votes as usual. The number of those will probably determine overall turnout. You do have to wonder who thought it would be wise to have a by-election that week. |
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Post by minionofmidas on Nov 29, 2021 7:21:42 GMT
Mr Frampton’s nomination papers were signed by the outgoing Tory Councillor whose resignation caused the byelection. He resigned following an internal party dispute around the former Council Leader who was convicted over environmental crime issues. The assumption therefore is the Independent’s campaign will be targeting the Tories. For my sins, I’m the Labour Party agent. Expecting a turnout of around 15 - voters, not percentage….. On the day voters may well be minimal, but I expect there will be a reasonable return of postal votes as usual. The number of those will probably determine overall turnout. You do have to wonder who thought it would be wise to have a by-election that week. i presume there was some legal provision involved that ruled out the next three days. -_- |
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Post by AdminSTB on Nov 29, 2021 17:47:06 GMT
If I could work out how, I would! Cheers. I have added kevinf to the Labour group, assuming that this was what he wanted.  |
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Post by kevinf on Nov 29, 2021 22:46:10 GMT
Cheers!
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Post by kevinf on Dec 7, 2021 15:39:20 GMT
Counting on the night…am sure you’ll all be staying up for this one. Perhaps Shadsy could do a market on whether the count will go into Christmas Eve…
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Post by andrewp on Dec 19, 2021 13:49:12 GMT
The Conservative candidate’s proposer is Desmond Swayne so he must live in this ward.
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Post by shadsy on Dec 21, 2021 11:24:39 GMT
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Post by kevinf on Dec 21, 2021 17:02:08 GMT
I wouldn’t advise it…
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Post by jamesdoyle on Dec 22, 2021 12:55:00 GMT
Importance Index | | Con | Lab | LDm | Grn | | New Forest (Bransgore and Burley) | 54 | 3 | | 3 |
Notes: 1. This is not a predictive index; it is attempting to assess how each party might view the importance of each seat; where, if they had the choice, they might target their efforts. 2. It is based on the strength of control (if any) of the largest party on the council, the strength of the respective party, and the vote shaer at the last election. Other criteria may be available or applicable. 3. Ratings range from 0-100. |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823 
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Post by timmullen1 on Dec 23, 2021 13:24:08 GMT
I know we only do first tier authorities, but I thought, in the spirit of Christmas, this was worth a mention:
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Post by andrewteale on Dec 23, 2021 13:41:18 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Dec 23, 2021 13:45:11 GMT
If the New Forest weather is anything like Eastleigh's it is a pretty dreich day to turnout and vote.
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