bsjmcr
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Post by bsjmcr on Jul 5, 2022 15:28:23 GMT
I think Pincher probably will stand down as an MP in the next few weeks. Warburton still hasn’t though? He is also seeking medical treatment, at least that’s the last I heard about him.
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Post by John Chanin on Jul 5, 2022 17:12:49 GMT
I really don’t understand why Paterson or Parish resigned. They could quietly have retreated to the back benches and stood down at the next General election. The same applies to Pincher and Warburton.
Incidentally I’m pondering whether there is something about MPs whose names begin with P. Mark Pritchard? Mike Penning?
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YL
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Post by YL on Jul 5, 2022 17:22:35 GMT
I really don’t understand why Paterson or Parish resigned. They could quietly have retreated to the back benches and stood down at the next General election. The same applies to Pincher and Warburton. Paterson was going to face a recall petition, and Pincher and Warburton may be heading that way as well. I don't think Parish was, though.
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Post by minionofmidas on Jul 5, 2022 19:34:14 GMT
So how do ongoing developments affect the chances of a Tamworth byelection? Negatively I presume, as attention moves elsewhere?
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 5, 2022 19:44:11 GMT
So how do ongoing developments affect the chances of a Tamworth byelection? Negatively I presume, as attention moves elsewhere? Negatively. Probably increases the chance of an Uxbridge and South Ruislip by election.
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Post by minionofmidas on Jul 5, 2022 20:43:13 GMT
So how do ongoing developments affect the chances of a Tamworth byelection? Negatively I presume, as attention moves elsewhere? Negatively. Probably increases the chance of an Uxbridge and South Ruislip by election. I could totally picture Boris Johnson not setting foot in the UK for the remainder of his life but not resigning his seat until the next ge.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jul 6, 2022 10:20:17 GMT
Decent chance of a Richmond by-election if the right job comes up in Silicon Valley.
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Post by aargauer on Jul 6, 2022 10:29:39 GMT
Decent chance of a Richmond by-election if the right job comes up in Silicon Valley. He doesn't need the money. I personally don't think his time in politics is over, and that he will be in the cabinet in a post Johnson administration.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 6, 2022 10:46:28 GMT
I think he has been giving off "fallen out of love with this politics lark" vibes for a while now.
Very possible that Javid started all this off, and Sunak tagged along because of the above.
(to add to this, he really really didn't like his wife being dragged into political knockabout - maybe slightly naive of him but there you go)
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Harry Hayfield
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Jul 6, 2022 11:09:42 GMT
Now that the allegation has been announced in Parliament, will there be a by-election because the MP will now resign?
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 6, 2022 11:26:44 GMT
Now that the allegation has been announced in Parliament, will there be a by-election because the MP will now resign? Sorry but have been away from things for the last half hour - who is this a reference to?
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Post by johnloony on Jul 6, 2022 11:57:57 GMT
Now that the allegation has been announced in Parliament, will there be a by-election because the MP will now resign? It might help if you were to specify what you mean by “the allegation” instead of being deliberately and hysterically obscurantist about it, thereby demonstrating that you want to be hit on the head with a frozen-sold hedgehog.
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Post by stb12 on Jul 6, 2022 13:45:16 GMT
When Boris accepts reality and presumably doesn’t fancy hanging around Parliament we can expect a Labour gain in the Uxbridge by-election?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 6, 2022 13:55:18 GMT
What is the more unlikely scenario? Boris accepting reality or Harry making a post on this thread which makes any fucking sense to anybody
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 6, 2022 13:57:17 GMT
When Boris accepts reality and presumably doesn’t fancy hanging around Parliament we can expect a Labour gain in the Uxbridge by-election? Not necessarily, in my opinion. There could be a new leader ‘ bounce’.
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r34t
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Post by r34t on Jul 6, 2022 14:06:25 GMT
When Boris accepts reality and presumably doesn’t fancy hanging around Parliament we can expect a Labour gain in the Uxbridge by-election? Not necessarily, in my opinion. There could be a new leader ‘ bounce’. There will almost certainly be a new leader bounce, but how much & how long depends on how dead the cat is.
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Post by Wisconsin on Jul 6, 2022 14:08:11 GMT
Decent chance of a Richmond by-election if the right job comes up in Silicon Valley. He doesn't need the money. I personally don't think his time in politics is over, and that he will be in the cabinet in a post Johnson administration. It’s not about money, but he clearly loves being in California (no offence to Yorkshire).
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Post by Ron Swanson on Jul 6, 2022 14:14:45 GMT
He doesn't need the money. I personally don't think his time in politics is over, and that he will be in the cabinet in a post Johnson administration. It’s not about money, but he clearly loves being in California (no offence to Yorkshire). You’d be hard pressed to find a better constituency to represent than his. Not just because it is (for now) a safe Tory seat. If he’d rather be in California than up there, I’m afraid he’s taken leave of his senses.
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Jul 6, 2022 14:34:46 GMT
When Boris accepts reality and presumably doesn’t fancy hanging around Parliament we can expect a Labour gain in the Uxbridge by-election? Not necessarily, in my opinion. There could be a new leader ‘ bounce’. Although given current events, it may be a polling bounce from a very poor position (even for the last few months).
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Post by johnloony on Jul 6, 2022 15:13:29 GMT
If there is a by-election in Richmond (Yorkshire) constituency, we will have to hope that the SDP stands so that the Lib Dem vote is split enough for the Conservative candidate to hold it despite a big swing against the Conservative government.
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