johng
Labour
Posts: 4,491 
Member is Online
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Post by johng on Nov 11, 2021 23:28:08 GMT
Labour GAIN in Heath.
Lab 1729
Con 1128
Lib Dem 561
Plaid 250
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Nov 11, 2021 23:29:06 GMT
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Post by Ben Walker on Nov 11, 2021 23:30:54 GMT
Melton Dorian:
Con 362
Lab 284
Turnout 15.3%
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Post by ElectionMapsUK on Nov 11, 2021 23:38:41 GMT
PC HOLD Llandrillo
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Post by spirit on Nov 11, 2021 23:54:23 GMT
Con gain in Sleaford Castle
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Toylyyev
Mebyon Kernow
CJ Fox avatar
Posts: 1,067
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Post by Toylyyev on Nov 12, 2021 0:13:12 GMT
For some reason this link doesn't work for me, it just leads the the dreaded 'about: blank' The same thing happened last week, iirc I did find another route then, but so far not today ... can anyone help? Generic link: www.britainelects.com/category/council-by-elections/ |
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Post by spirit on Nov 12, 2021 0:29:53 GMT
Thanet Villages
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European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,509
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Post by European Lefty on Nov 12, 2021 0:43:52 GMT
I see the new PC/Green alliance worked wonders in Cardiff then
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Post by andrewp on Nov 12, 2021 0:52:18 GMT
Metheringham involved lots being drawn
Con 424/404
Lincs Ind 404/369
Lab 85/69
LD 29
1x Lin Ind hold on the drawing of lots, 1x Con gain.
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Post by phil156 on Nov 12, 2021 0:53:08 GMT
Just Denbighshire Llandrillo full result and its off to bed then
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Post by matureleft on Nov 12, 2021 7:14:41 GMT
Its a few years since I last bet on anything, but I'm confident enough that we will win Lancaster this week to put a few pounds on it. Ouch? |
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Post by phil156 on Nov 12, 2021 7:58:39 GMT
DENBIGHSHIRE - Llandrillo Ward result
PC HOLD
PC 179
Ind 140
Con 88
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,279
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 12, 2021 9:17:04 GMT
The actual votes in Thanet Villages were:
GRN 638
CON 358
LD 67
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Post by John Chanin on Nov 12, 2021 9:42:54 GMT
The actual votes in Thanet Villages were: GRN 638 CON 358 LD 67 I’m assuming this amounts to a referendum on Manston airport, with those opposed to reopening it winning 2-1. (The NIMBY always wins). |
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 12, 2021 9:45:04 GMT
Cardiff: Heath - Labour gain from Heath & Birchgrove Independent who did not contest by-election| Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2017 "top" | since 2017 "average" | since 2012 "top" | since 2012 "average" | | Labour | 1,729 | 47.1% | +16.1% | +14.7% | +20.8% | +20.4% | | Conservative | 1,128 | 30.8% | +2.5% | +1.2% | +7.0% | +5.1% | | Liberal Democrat | 561 | 15.3% | +11.5% | +12.1% | +8.8% | +10.6% | | Plaid Cymru | 250
| 6.8% | +0.5% | -0.6% | +0.8% | -0.1% | | Heath & Birchgrove Independent |
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| -26.8% | -22.9% | -27.9% | -25.1% | | Green |
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| -3.9% | -4.5% | -4.7% | -5.4% | | Independent |
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| -4.9% | -5.6% | | Total votes | 3,668 |
| 56% | 66% | 68% | 78% |
Swing: not meaningful Council now: 39 Labour, 21 Conservative, 11 Liberal Democrats, 3 Propel, 1 Independent Denbighshire: Llandrillo - Plaid Cymru hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | 2017 result | 2012 result | since 2008 | | Plaid Cymru | 179 | 44.0% | unopposed | unopposed | -34.4% | | Independent | 140 | 34.4% |
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| +16.4% | | Conservative | 88 | 21.6% |
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| +17.9% | | Total votes | 407 |
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| 79% |
Swing: if meaningful Plaid Cymru to Independent 25½% since 2008 Council now: 15 Conservative, 11 Labour, 11 Independent, 10 Plaid Cymru Lancaster: University & Scotforth Rural - Labour hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2018 B "top" | since 2018 B "average" | since 2016 B | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Labour | 216 | 46.1% | +5.0% | +3.2% | -1.6% | +0.0% | +11.2% | +10.6% | +10.2% | | Green | 193 | 41.2% | +11.0% | +13.9% | +16.8% | +16.7% | +13.0% | +8.7% | +9.2% | | Conservative | 44 | 9.4% | -7.2% | -8.2% | -7.6% | -8.6% | -14.8% | -14.3% | -16.3% | | Liberal Democrat | 16 | 3.4% | -8.8% | -9.0% | -7.6% | -8.0% | -9.4% | -5.0% | -3.1% | | Total votes | 469 |
| 65% | 72% | 43% | 46% | 167% | 27% | 31% |
Swing: Labour to Green 3% / 5½% since 2019, 9¼% / 8½% since 2018 "double" by-election, 1% since 2016 by-election but Green to Labour 1% / ½% since 2015 Council now: 15 Labour, 11 Conservative, 10 Green, 9 Morecambe Bay Independent, 5 Independent Group, 4 Eco-Socialist, 2 Liberal Democrat, 1 Independent, 3 vacancies
Melton: Melton Dorian - Conservative hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | Since 2015 "average" | | Conservative | 362 | 56.0% | +3.9% | +6.5% | +10.1% | +9.7% | | Labour | 284 | 44.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | +14.0% | +16.5% | | Green |
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| -47.9% | -50.4% |
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| -24.1% | -26.2% | | Total votes | 646 |
| 71% | 74% | 24% | 26% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 2% / 3½% since 2015 Council now: 20 Conservative, 5 Opposition (4 Independent and 1 Green), 3 Independent North Kesteven: Metheringham - 1 Conservative gain from Lincolnshire Independent, 1 Lincolnshire Independent hold following drawing of lots | Party | 2021 votes
first | 2021 votes
second | 2021 votes
average | 2021 share
average | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average | | Conservative | 424 | 404 | 414 | 45.7% | +5.6% | +6.7% | -9.5% | -7.1% | | Lincolnshire Independent | 404 | 369 | 387 | 42.6% | -17.3% | -18.4% | -2.2% | -4.6% | | Labour | 85 | 69 | 77 | 8.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 29 |
| 29 | 3.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Total votes | 942 | 842 | 907 |
| 67% | 68% | 30% | 32% |
Swing: Lincolnshire Independent to Conservative 11½% / 12½% since 2019 but Conservative to Lincolnshire Independent 3¾% / 1¼% since 2015 Council now: 24 Conservative out of 43 North Kesteven: Sleaford Castle - Conservative gain from Lincolnshire Independent who did not contest by-election| Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 | since 2015 | since 2011 | | Conservative | 135 | 42.2% | +10.2% | +2.3% | +10.8% | | Labour | 93 | 29.1% | -2.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent Mason | 49 | 15.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent Fernandes | 22 | 6.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 21 | 6.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Lincolnshire Independent |
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| -36.1% |
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| -60.1% | -68.6% | | Total votes | 320 |
| 59% | 28% | 45% |
Swing: not meaningful Council now: 24 Conservative out of 43 Thanet: Thanet Villages - Green hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2016 B | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Green | 638 | 60.0% | +36.8% | +35.4% | +54.8% | +48.6% | +48.0% | | Conservative | 358 | 33.7% | +8.9% | +10.4% | -15.6% | +9.4% | +10.1% | | Liberal Democrat | 67 | 6.3% | -15.7% | -13.9% | -18.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | UKIP |
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| -21.4% | -22.7% |
| -22.8% | -21.0% | | Labour |
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| -8.7% | -9.2% | -16.4% | -9.8% | -10.3% | | Independent |
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| -4.1% | -6.4% | -6.7% | | Elected Independent |
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| -25.3% | -26.5% | | Total votes | 1,063 |
| 41% | 44% | 85% | 20% | 21% |
Swing: if particularly meaningful Conservative to Green 14% / 12½% since 2019, 35¼% since 2016 by-election and 19½% / 19% since 2015 Council now: 26 Conservative. 17 Labour, 6 Thanet Independent, 4 Green, 3 Independent
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,525
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 12, 2021 10:39:49 GMT
Its a few years since I last bet on anything, but I'm confident enough that we will win Lancaster this week to put a few pounds on it. Ouch? I think that result surprised most people, Labour must have had a strong candidate. |
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Post by andrewp on Nov 12, 2021 11:06:21 GMT
I just read the comments on Twitter to some of Britain Elects tweets on some of last nights votes. Every week you get the following:
The assumption that any Conservative win with less than 50% would be an automatic loss for them with a Progressive alliance. Even if like Lincolnshire last night, some of that non Conservative vote is for Independents.
There is also genuine surprise/ excitement from some that Labour can be competitive in any ward in a safe Conservative parliamentary seat. If there’s ever a by election in one of the safe Labour wards in Bridgwater, I think they might explode.
Then there is the surprise/ disgust from some that anyone votes Conservative ever anywhere.
And then there are those who think that every local by election is a parliamentary by election.
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Post by owainsutton on Nov 12, 2021 11:13:46 GMT
The most millennial ward? If the 2011 census figure of "94% were aged between 18 and 29" is broadly similar now, and let's face it most of them are going to be in the younger half of that bracket, it's now the most Gen Z ward. Some millennials are now hitting their 40s and waving their own children off to university! No millennials are hitting 40 yet, that starts on 1st Jan next year (I speak as a back end Gen Xer who's younger sister is a very early millennial and can attest that those extra couple of years made a lot of difference...). The cohort is widely seen as being 1981 births onwards? (Wikipedia gives 1981-1996 as the typical definition, for instance.) |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,279
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 12, 2021 11:17:30 GMT
I think that result surprised most people, Labour must have had a strong candidate. Really the result was pretty much in line with what happened in May in the divisions that covered Lancaster City itself - Green vote up significantly, but Labour vote also up a bit (in 2 out of 3 divisions in May), leading to a small swing to the Greens, but not quite enough in this case as it wasn't in May either. I'm not sure how much the candidate played a part, but in Lancaster itself (as opposed to the rest of the district) at least, the Labour vote does appear quite resilient. Still we have another 3 elections in other parts of Lancaster district coming up in the next few weeks, which will make an interesting comparison. |
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Post by andrewteale on Nov 12, 2021 11:20:31 GMT
I just read the comments on Twitter to some of Britain Elects tweets to some of last nights votes. Every week you get the following: The assumption that any Conservative win with less than 50% would be an automatic loss for them with a Progressive alliance. Even if like Lincolnshire last night, some of that non Conservative vote is for Independents. There is also genuine surprise/ excitement from some that Labour can be competitive in any ward in a safe Conservative parliamentary seat. If there’s ever a by election in one of the safe Labour wards in Bridgwater, I think they might explode. Then there is the surprise/ disgust from some that anyone votes Conservative ever anywhere. And then there are those who think that every local by election is a parliamentary by election. I laughed quite a lot at some of the BE comments on the Bolton result two weeks back. The concept of somewhere in Bolton voting 70% Conservative is apparently too difficult for some people to understand. |
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