Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 14, 2017 14:39:26 GMT
|
|
neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
|
Post by neilm on Mar 14, 2017 15:01:28 GMT
Vaguely interesting article about Cambridge Analytica: capx.co/did-the-dark-lords-of-data-really-win-it-for-trump/ This is a bit misleading as they're far more numbers driven than this implies, and in a very different way to the Clinton operation which had zero qualitative input- clearly there is a sweet spot where the two can be combined). |
|
|
|
Post by carlton43 on Mar 14, 2017 16:40:43 GMT
Bollocks on stilts. It was a clear case of 'Piss Poor Candidate Syndrome'. She was so bloody awful she couldn't even beat Trump! I mean to say! Gave you every opportunity and still a giant balls up! 'Comey Effect'!!! Ho, Ho, Ho! |
|
|
|
Post by carlton43 on Mar 14, 2017 16:44:57 GMT
I wonder what R originally stood for. Third attempt at spelling Ruler by the ignorant wee prat. Nice example of 'Rent-A-Snowflake' Arthur. When they grow up a bit some might make it to Rent-A-Mob if they lay off the tofu? |
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
Member is Online
|
Post by The Bishop on Mar 15, 2017 11:40:05 GMT
Bollocks on stilts. It was a clear case of 'Piss Poor Candidate Syndrome'. She was so bloody awful she couldn't even beat Trump! I mean to say! Gave you every opportunity and still a giant balls up! 'Comey Effect'!!! Ho, Ho, Ho! Clinton was a terrible candidate in several respects, and that so many of her acolytes remain in total denial of that can only be described as - Sad! But that is not inconsistent with Comey swinging the election, given how close it turned out. His intervention was intended to be devastating - and was. Make no mistake, he knew what he was doing. |
|
|
|
Post by carlton43 on Mar 15, 2017 11:56:32 GMT
Bollocks on stilts. It was a clear case of 'Piss Poor Candidate Syndrome'. She was so bloody awful she couldn't even beat Trump! I mean to say! Gave you every opportunity and still a giant balls up! 'Comey Effect'!!! Ho, Ho, Ho! Clinton was a terrible candidate in several respects, and that so many of her acolytes remain in total denial of that can only be described as - Sad! But that is not inconsistent with Comey swinging the election, given how close it turned out. His intervention was intended to be devastating - and was. Make no mistake, he knew what he was doing. That is a reasonable point made reasonably. It was a close result and he must have had some effect. But I contend that by that late hour the die was cast and the contest already lost. In fact I think that Trump peaked a bit early and that latterly both camps were probably shedding vote? |
|
Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
|
Post by Richard Allen on Mar 19, 2017 1:21:25 GMT
Clinton was a terrible candidate in several respects, and that so many of her acolytes remain in total denial of that can only be described as - Sad! But that is not inconsistent with Comey swinging the election, given how close it turned out. His intervention was intended to be devastating - and was. Make no mistake, he knew what he was doing. That is a reasonable point made reasonably. It was a close result and he must have had some effect. But I contend that by that late hour the die was cast and the contest already lost. In fact I think that Trump peaked a bit early and that latterly both camps were probably shedding vote? Given the narrow Trump margins in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin things almost certainly were not decided at that point. |
|
|
|
Post by mrhell on Mar 30, 2017 13:32:34 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by mrhell on Mar 31, 2017 1:29:15 GMT
Trump's 11/4 to be reelected in 2020 which I suspect is unprecedented this early in a presidency. Partly, that's due to his age (not wanting to restand, falling ill or even dying), the possibility of a scandal forcing his resignation or his being too unpopular to win.
|
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Feb 3, 2018 23:46:06 GMT
|
|
cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,142
|
Post by cogload on Feb 17, 2018 4:25:53 GMT
Mueller's indictment is remarkable reading.
And utterly frightening.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
Member is Online
|
Post by The Bishop on Feb 17, 2018 11:07:44 GMT
Fake News!
|
|
neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
|
Post by neilm on Feb 17, 2018 12:29:48 GMT
Apparently 'aggravated identity theft' is a different offence to identity theft. They do have some stupidly named crimes in the US.
|
|
jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 7,054 
Member is Online
|
Post by jamie on Feb 19, 2018 20:11:56 GMT
New Pennsylvania map released which will likely be used in November. Everything Dems could have hoped for in a non-partisan map. Potentially up to 11/18 in a wave election.
4 current seats are safe. NE rust belt seat keeps together Scranton metro so safe for time being. New safe seat in Philly. Another 2 competitive. Competitive seats also in Bethlehem, Pittsburgh and Harrisburg.
|
|
jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 7,054
Member is Online
|
Post by jamie on Feb 19, 2018 21:32:55 GMT
Clinton-Trump numbers + some partisan analysis (many seats were so gerrymandered it's difficult to name a successor)
1 - 49-47 - Flips from marginal Trump but GOP run well ahead down ballot so every little helps.
2 - 73-25
3 - 91-7
4 - 58-38
5 - 63-34 - Ironically this is currently a GOP seat while the 4th was a Dem vote sink. Obvs Dem gain.
6 - 53-43 - Closest thing to a Dem gerrymander you can get. Combines purple Philly suburbs with Reading city. Easy gain in November.
7 - 49-48 - Reunites Lehigh Valley, turning seat from Trump +8 to Clinton +1. Will be open as well so good chance of Dem gain.
8 - 44-53 - This is currently a Democrat vote sink that flipped hard to Trump. Actually becomes more Democratic on new map. Comfortable hold.
9 - 31-65
10 - 43-52 - Best seat Democrats could hope for in the Harrisburg area. Will be open and could go blue in a wave.
11 - 35-61
12 - 30-66
13 - 25-71
14 - 34-62
15 - 27-70
16 - 38-58
17 - 47-49 - Pittsburgh suburbs that is better than anything Democrats can get short of splitting Pittsburgh city in half. Competitive in a good year.
18 - 62-35
7 safe Dem
2 toss-up
2 Republican leaning marginals
7 safe Republican
|
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Apr 25, 2018 18:02:37 GMT
|
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,310
|
Post by maxque on Apr 25, 2018 23:22:05 GMT
Why are you posting some video of a random university teacher?
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 28, 2018 21:48:04 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Jul 29, 2018 2:19:38 GMT
My brother lives in a place which voted Clinton 599 Trump 164. Under normal circumstances he would vote Republican (USA) / Conservative (UK) as a matter of routine, but in 2016 he was vitriolic and scathing in his condemnation of Trump, so he didn't. He's always been fairly secretive about how he votes, and I think he voted for one of the minor candidates and probably not Clinton. |
|
iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435
Member is Online
|
Post by iain on Jul 30, 2018 0:56:02 GMT
|
|
