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Post by greenhert on Jun 30, 2021 18:21:59 GMT
My brain found it easier to predict numbers rather than percentages, so I did the numbers first and then translated into percentages ..0.5% Paul Bickerdike (Christian People's Alliance) 150 ..0.7% Mike Davies (Alliance for Green Socialism) 210 ..0.1% Jayda Fransen (Independent) 30 ..6.1% George Galloway (Workers Party) 1900 ..3.1% Thomas Gordon (Liberal Democrat) 960 ..1.1% Thérèse Hirst (English Democrat) 340 ..0.4% Howling Laud Hope (OMRLP) 120 ..0.3% Susan Laird (Heritage Party) 80 46.2% Kim Leadbeater (Labour) 14,400 ..0.3% Oliver Purser (SDP) 90 ..1.4% Corey Robinson (Yorkshire Party) 450 ..0.2% Andrew Smith (Rejoin EU) 70 38.8% Ryan Stephenson (Conservative) 12,100 ..0.5% Jack Thomson (UKIP) 160 ..0.2% Jonathan Tilt (Freedom Alliance) 60 ..0.1% Anne Marie Waters (For Britain) 40 I highly doubt turnout in the Batley & Spen by-election will be that low (implied turnout: ~37%). |
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,473 
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Post by peterl on Jun 30, 2021 19:04:58 GMT
Ryan Stephenson (Conservative) - 43.8%
Kim Leadbeater (Labour) - 38.4%
George Galloway (Workers Party) - 9.9%
Thomas Gordon (Liberal Democrat) - 3.2%
Corey Robinson (Yorkshire Party) - 2.7%
Jack Thomson (UKIP) - 0.4%
Paul Bickerdike (Christian People's Alliance) - 0.2%
Jayda Fransen (Independent) - 0.2%
Thérèse Hirst (English Democrat) - 0.2%
Howling Laud Hope (OMRLP) - 0.2%
Oliver Purser (SDP) - 0.2%
Anne Marie Waters (For Britain) - 0.2%
Mike Davies (Alliance for Green Socialism) - 0.1%
Susan Laird (Heritage Party) - 0.1%
Jonathan Tilt (Freedom Alliance) - 0.1%
Andrew Smith (Rejoin EU) - 0.1%
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Post by agbutler on Jun 30, 2021 19:11:27 GMT
Ryan Stephenson (Conservative) - 40%
Kim Leadbeater (Labour) - 42.2%
George Galloway (Workers Party) - 7.0%
Thomas Gordon (Liberal Democrat) - 4.2%
Corey Robinson (Yorkshire Party) - 4.7%
Jack Thomson (UKIP) - 0.2%
Paul Bickerdike (Christian People's Alliance) - 0.2%
Jayda Fransen (Independent) - 0.1%
Thérèse Hirst (English Democrat) - 0.2%
Howling Laud Hope (OMRLP) - 0.4%
Oliver Purser (SDP) - 0.2%
Anne Marie Waters (For Britain) - 0.2%
Mike Davies (Alliance for Green Socialism) - 0.1%
Susan Laird (Heritage Party) - 0.1%
Jonathan Tilt (Freedom Alliance) - 0.1%
Andrew Smith (Rejoin EU) - 0.1%
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 30, 2021 20:04:45 GMT
Lab 39.0
Con 38.8
Workers Party 11.9
Yorkshire Party 2.3
Lib Dem 1.8
UKIP 1.5
Alliance for Green Socialism 0.8
SDP 0.7
Heritage 0.6
CPA 0.5
ED 0.5
For Britain 0.5
Jayda Fransen 0.4
OMRLP 0.4
Freedom Alliance 0.2
Rejoin 0.1
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Post by yellowperil on Jun 30, 2021 21:50:18 GMT
Con...37.6
Lab...36.0
WP....15.2
YP.....2.1
LD.....2.0
AGS....1.2
UKIP...1.1
SDP....1.0
CPA....0.8
Her....0.7
ED.....0.6
FB.....0.5
Ind....0.4
OMRL...0.4
FA.....0.3
Rej....0.1
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dibs
Non-Aligned
Posts: 63
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Post by dibs on Jun 30, 2021 22:44:17 GMT
Ryan Stephenson (Conservative) - 41.0%
Kim Leadbeater (Labour) - 36.0%
George Galloway (Workers Party) - 10.0%
Thomas Gordon (Liberal Democrat) - 8.0%
Corey Robinson (Yorkshire Party) - 0.2%
Jack Thomson (UKIP) - 2.0%
Paul Bickerdike (Christian People's Alliance) - 0.2%
Jayda Fransen (Independent) - 1.0%
Thérèse Hirst (English Democrat) - 0.2%
Howling Laud Hope (OMRLP) - 0.1%
Oliver Purser (SDP) - 0.6%
Anne Marie Waters (For Britain) - 0.1%
Mike Davies (Alliance for Green Socialism) - 0.2%
Susan Laird (Heritage Party) - 0.1%
Jonathan Tilt (Freedom Alliance) - 0.1%
Andrew Smith (Rejoin EU) - 0.2%
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sirbenjamin
IFP
True fame is reading your name written in graffiti, but without the words 'is a wanker' after it.
Posts: 4,979
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Post by sirbenjamin on Jun 30, 2021 22:54:59 GMT
I never do well at these but...
LAB 38.1
CON 36.9
GAL 9.9
LD 4.2
YP 4.1
UKIP 1.8
SDP 1.1
IND 1.1
CPA 1.0
FB 1.0
AGS 0.9
FRE 0.6
HP 0.5
RJ 0.4
LOON 0.4
EU 0.3
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Post by carlton43 on Jun 30, 2021 23:13:02 GMT
CON 41.0
LAB 33.0
WP 19.0
LD 2.6
CPA 0.2
AGS 0.1
IND 0.3
ED 0.5
OMRLP 0.3
HP 0.1
SDP 0.1
YP 2.1
REU 0.1
UKIP 0.4
FA 0.1
FB 0.1
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Post by Andrew_S on Jul 1, 2021 0:31:25 GMT
Ryan Stephenson (Conservative) - 35.3%
George Galloway (Workers Party) - 30.3%
Kim Leadbeater (Labour) - 27.5%
Thomas Gordon (Liberal Democrat) - 2.0%
Mike Davies (Alliance for Green Socialism) - 1.5%
Corey Robinson (Yorkshire Party) - 1.0%
Jack Thomson (UKIP) - 0.5%
Oliver Purser (SDP) - 0.5%
Paul Bickerdike (Christian People's Alliance) - 0.2%
Thérèse Hirst (English Democrat) - 0.2%
Jayda Fransen (Independent) - 0.2%
Andrew Smith (Rejoin EU) - 0.2%
Howling Laud Hope (OMRLP) - 0.2%
Anne Marie Waters (For Britain) - 0.2%
Susan Laird (Heritage Party) - 0.1%
Jonathan Tilt (Freedom Alliance) - 0.1%
Turnout: 50%
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jul 1, 2021 7:02:17 GMT
I never do well at these but... LAB 38.1 CON 36.9 GAL 9.9 LD 4.2 YP 4.1 UKIP 1.8 SDP 1.1 IND 1.1 CPA 1.0 FB 1.0 AGS 0.9 FRE 0.6 HP 0.5 RJ 0.4 LOON 0.4 EU 0.3
I have taken RJ to mean Rejoin EU and EU to mean English Democrats please confirm or deny.
Additionally it adds up to 102.3%, you may wan to redo before deadline of close of poll.
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Post by carlton43 on Jul 1, 2021 7:16:36 GMT
I never do well at these but... LAB 38.1 CON 36.9 GAL 9.9 LD 4.2 YP 4.1 UKIP 1.8 SDP 1.1 IND 1.1 CPA 1.0 FB 1.0 AGS 0.9 FRE 0.6 HP 0.5 RJ 0.4 LOON 0.4 EU 0.3
I have taken RJ to mean Rejoin EU and EU to mean English Democrats please confirm or deny.
Additionally it adds up to 102.3%, you may wan to redo before deadline of close of poll.
It never fails to amaze me how many members can't count to 100 and can't transpose a set of initials without help and advice, week after week after week. And we carp and criticize at the incompetence of politicians with real problems. |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jul 1, 2021 7:21:55 GMT
20 predictions so far, more welcome.
Also if people want to change their predictions before the deadline, 10pm tonight, please resubmit lower in thread rather than by editing their post earlier in the thread.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 1, 2021 7:25:52 GMT
| Con | 40.5% | | Lab | 31.0% | | WP | 19.1% | | LD | 2.9% | | YP | 2.1% | | UKIP | 1.4% | | ED | 0.6% | | FB | 0.5% | | SDP | 0.4% | | AGS | 0.4% | | CPA | 0.3% | | Ind | 0.2% | | OMRLP | 0.2% | | R EU | 0.2% | | FA | 0.1% | | HP | 0.1% |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jul 1, 2021 7:37:07 GMT
I have taken RJ to mean Rejoin EU and EU to mean English Democrats please confirm or deny.
Additionally it adds up to 102.3%, you may wan to redo before deadline of close of poll.
It never fails to amaze me how many members can't count to 100 and can't transpose a set of initials without help and advice, week after week after week. And we carp and criticize at the incompetence of politicians with real problems.
Probably just distracted by the uprising in eSwanti
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Post by carlton43 on Jul 1, 2021 8:07:05 GMT
It never fails to amaze me how many members can't count to 100 and can't transpose a set of initials without help and advice, week after week after week. And we carp and criticize at the incompetence of politicians with real problems.
Probably just distracted by the uprising in eSwanti
Yes. I saw that thread and thought 'Wot?' What the Woden is happening to us? It is one of a number of threads I not only have zero interest in but don't even understand. The world seems to be going even more insane each day. But even more amazing is the fact some of you seem interested in the madness. It is like the daily quotes about what some black foreign know-thing women has to say on various issues. Why quote it? Who bloody cares? Well !! It seems some of you do. Why?? |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 1, 2021 9:28:32 GMT
I have taken RJ to mean Rejoin EU and EU to mean English Democrats please confirm or deny.
Additionally it adds up to 102.3%, you may wan to redo before deadline of close of poll.
It never fails to amaze me how many members can't count to 100 and can't transpose a set of initials without help and advice, week after week after week. And we carp and criticize at the incompetence of politicians with real problems. It never fails to amaze me how intolerant of the errors of others you can be. For a start members here are often entering these competitions as a bit of fun, knowing nothing of significance happens if they mess up, so their attention is only partially on this while the rest stays on the things that really matter. On the other hand politicians are dealing with real problems, as you say, matters of life and death for other people sometimes, and they are being paid handsomely for their efforts whether that's financially or in terms of the attention they crave. It sometimes seems they are more taken up with their own needs of the moment, like satisfying the requirements of their mistresses, or whtever. So of course we carp. It's a big fish. On the issue of failing to add up to 100, I was guilty of that only last week in the normal weekly competition, when I managed to add up to 103 in one entry. Being old fashioned, I like to make my entries initially into a notebook. Pen and paper, nothing like it, and that's the stage I make the effort. My entry of course added up to 100 there. But then I have the boring job of transposing those onto the computer late at night, and so on the very last touch my finger slipped and and I didn't notice. So what? It didn't matter very much after all. |
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Sg1
Conservative
Posts: 1,084
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Post by Sg1 on Jul 1, 2021 11:10:54 GMT
Ryan Stephenson (Conservative) - 40.9%
Kim Leadbeater (Labour) - 31.0%
George Galloway (Workers Party) - 20.9%
Thomas Gordon (Liberal Democrat) - 2.2%
Corey Robinson (Yorkshire Party) - 2.0%
Mike Davies (Alliance for Green Socialism) - 0.6%
Jack Thomson (UKIP) - 0.5%
Thérèse Hirst (English Democrat) - 0.4%
Oliver Purser (SDP) - 0.3%
Paul Bickerdike (Christian People's Alliance) - 0.2%
Jayda Fransen (Independent) - 0.2%
Andrew Smith (Rejoin EU) - 0.2%
Howling Laud Hope (OMRLP) - 0.2%
Anne Marie Waters (For Britain) - 0.2%
Susan Laird (Heritage Party) - 0.1%
Jonathan Tilt (Freedom Alliance) - 0.1%
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Jul 1, 2021 12:21:57 GMT
Probably just distracted by the uprising in eSwanti
Yes. I saw that thread and thought 'Wot?' What the Woden is happening to us? It is one of a number of threads I not only have zero interest in but don't even understand. The world seems to be going even more insane each day. But even more amazing is the fact some of you seem interested in the madness. It is like the daily quotes about what some black foreign know-thing women has to say on various issues. Why quote it? Who bloody cares? Well !! It seems some of you do. Why?? Well, as the man who wrote the posts you're condemning, I'm interested in foreign affairs/international relations personally. Always have been, and many on the forum also feel the same way. The Kingdom of eSwatini is the last absolute monarchy in Africa. It is extremely autocratic, impoverished and has many of the trappings of a tribal society. Yet, simultaneously, it is also trying to make its way in a modern world where, as a species, we are exploring the furthest reaches of the solar system and where we're building machines that live in the blood stream. It is also surrounded almost entirely by South Africa, which, for all its faults, is a wealthy and sophisticated modern democracy. That kind of quirk of history, and the conflicts and tensions it causes, also interests me. |
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Post by robbienicoll on Jul 1, 2021 13:34:28 GMT
Conservative - 40%
Labour - 38%
Workers Party - 8%
Liberal Democrat - 5%
Yorkshire Party - 3%
Alliance for Green Socialism - 1%
UKIP - 1%
English Democrat - 0.8%
SDP - 0.7%
OMRLP - 0.6%
For Britain - 0.6%
Christian People's Alliance - 0.5%
Rejoin EU - 0.3%
Heritage Party - 0.2%
Freedom Alliance - 0.2%
Ind (Fransen) - 0.1%
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sirbenjamin
IFP
True fame is reading your name written in graffiti, but without the words 'is a wanker' after it.
Posts: 4,979
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Post by sirbenjamin on Jul 1, 2021 13:44:09 GMT
I never do well at these but... LAB 38.1 CON 36.9 GAL 9.9 LD 4.2 YP 4.1 UKIP 1.8 SDP 1.1 IND 1.1 CPA 1.0 FB 1.0 AGS 0.9 FRE 0.6 HP 0.5 RJ 0.4 LOON 0.4 EU 0.3
I have taken RJ to mean Rejoin EU and EU to mean English Democrats please confirm or deny.
Additionally it adds up to 102.3%, you may wan to redo before deadline of close of poll.
I said I was no bloody good!
I'll have another go:
LAB 37.8
CON 36.9
GAL 9.7
YP 4.0
LD 3.7
UKIP 1.6
SDP 1.0
IND 1.0
CPA 0.9
FB 0.9
AGS 0.8
FRE 0.6
HP 0.4
EDEM 0.3
LOON 0.3
RJEU 0.2
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