Prediction Competition - June 2021

[yellowperil]

Chichester, Chi East: Con 34, Lab 30, LD 36
Gwynedd, Harlech:PC 48, Ind Hughes 32, ND Birks 20
North Lanarkshire, Murdostoun: Con 12, Lab 21, SNP27, Ind McKendrick 31. Ind Arthur 3, SGP 4, IFS 1.5, Reform 0.5. Ind McKendrick wins on transfers.
Rugby, Wolvey& Shilton: Con 68, Lab 14, LD 6. GP 12.
Somerset West & Taunton, North Curry and Ruishton: Con 28, LD 61, GP 11,
Swindon, Priory Vale: Con 51, Lab 29, LD 5, GP 8, Ind 4.

[iainbhx]

Chichester DC, Chichestet East : Lab 37;  Con 35;  LDm 28
Gwynedd UA, Harlech : PC 60;  Ind (Hughes) 28 ; Ind Birks 12
North Lanarkshire SUA, Murdostoun :  SNP 29;  Ind McKendrick 26;  Lab  21; Con 16;  Ind Arthur 3.1;  SGP 2.9;  IndForScot 1.5; Reform 0,5 (Ind McKendrick win on transfers)
Rugby DC, Wolvey & Shilton : Con 63;  LDm 16;  Lab 13; Grn 8
Somerset West & Taunton DC, North Curry & Ruishton: LDm 56 ; Con 30;  Grn 14
Swindon UA, Priory Vale : Con 58;  Lab 26;  LDm 7; Grn 6;  Ind 3

[Toylyyev]

Chichester DC, Chichester East: Conservative 38.9, Labour 22.1, Liberal Democrat 39.

Gwynedd UA, Harlech: Plaid Cymru 35, Independent Hughes 40, Birks (No Description) 25.

North Lanarkshire UA, Murdostoun: Conservative 13, Labour 22, Green 2.5, SNP 26, Reform UK 0.5, Independence for Scotland 1, Independent Arthur 3, Independent McKendrick 32. McKendrick win on transfers.

Rugby DC, Wolvey and Shilton: Conservative 64, Labour 16, Liberal Democrat 7, Green 14.

Somerset West and Taunton DC, North Curry & Ruishton: Conservative 40, Liberal Democrat 51, Green 9.

Swindon UA, Priory Vale: Conservative 51, Labour 31, Liberal Democrat 6, Green 7, Independent 5.

[robbienicoll]

12 entries for the final week this month, welcoming back Richard Cromwell but losing European Lefty. Andykernow receives 1.2 faults for going 0.2 over in Murdostoun and 1 under in Swindon, Toylyyev receives 1 for going over in Rugby and Yellow Peril receives 3 for going over in Swindon.

Chichester East, Chichester: 6 Conservative gain from Labour, with andykernow, iainbhx and Richard Cromwell Labour hold, and andrewp, Toylyyev and yellowperil Liberal Democrat gain.
Harlech, Gwynedd: 9 Plaid Cymru gain from Independent, with andrewp, Robert Waller and Toylyyev Independent (Hughes) win.
Murdostoun, North Lanarkshire: 100% Independent (McKendrick) win after transfers. 10 have the SNP ahead on first preferences, with Toylyyev and yellowperil having McKendrick ahead on those.
Wolvey and Shilton, Rugby: 11 Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 26% (peterl) to 54% (yellowperil), with Richard Cromwell Green gain (2% majority).
North Curry and Ruishton, Somerset West and Taunton: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 8% (peterl) to 40% (alien8ted).
Priory Vale, Swindon: 9 Conservative hold, with andykernow, peterl and Richard Cromwell Labour gain.

Quite a lot of split opinion to close the month. Results are available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vTbRBnNyYmE070nmn0RfuGTSTK4b5FUF6nysKioW7gM/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all!

[andrewp]

Jun 24, 2021 18:37:24 GMT robbienicoll said:

12 entries for the final week this month, welcoming back Richard Cromwell but losing European Lefty. Andykernow receives 1.2 faults for going 0.2 over in Murdostoun and 1 under in Swindon, Toylyyev receives 1 for going over in Rugby and Yellow Peril receives 3 for going over in Swindon.

Chichester East, Chichester: 6 Conservative gain from Labour, with andykernow, iainbhx and Richard Cromwell Labour hold, and andrewp, Toylyyev and yellowperil Liberal Democrat gain.
Harlech, Gwynedd: 9 Plaid Cymru gain from Independent, with andrewp, Robert Waller and Toylyyev Independent (Hughes) win.
Murdostoun, North Lanarkshire: 100% Independent (McKendrick) win after transfers. 10 have the SNP ahead on first preferences, with Toylyyev and yellowperil having McKendrick ahead on those.
Wolvey and Shilton, Rugby: 11 Conservative hold, with majorities ranging from 26% (peterl) to 54% (yellowperil), with Richard Cromwell Green gain (2% majority).
North Curry and Ruishton, Somerset West and Taunton: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 8% (peterl) to 40% (alien8ted).
Priory Vale, Swindon: 9 Conservative hold, with andykernow, peterl and Richard Cromwell Labour gain.

Quite a lot of split opinion to close the month. Results are available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vTbRBnNyYmE070nmn0RfuGTSTK4b5FUF6nysKioW7gM/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all!

It’s not very often that we get 3 different predicted winners, as we have in Chichester this week.

[yellowperil]

I think I can safely now congratulate Toylyyev on the month's win, before the result is officially posted by our "boss". Just for a moment when I knew the result from Harlech but not the actual figures, and knowing Toy had got a wrong winner result I just wondered, but no even with a wrong winner I think he still managed to beat me in Harlech

[Tony Otim]

Jun 25, 2021 8:07:03 GMT yellowperil said:

I think I can safely now congratulate Toylyyev on the month's win, before the result is officially posted by our "boss". Just for a moment when I knew the result from Harlech but not the actual figures, and knowing Toy had got a wrong winner result I just wondered, but no even with a wrong winner I think he still managed to beat me in Harlech

I think you were the only one who managed to get all the winners right this week, so that deserves some congratulations too.

[robbienicoll]

Results are now updated, congratulations to Toylyyev for a very strong showing to take the month and to yellowperil and andrewp for the podium finishes.