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Post by yellowperil on Aug 20, 2021 12:37:56 GMT
Official tweets here confirming the above So we know how many votes have been cast, and after that "the counting begins". Presumably they arrived at that number by weighing?  |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Aug 20, 2021 12:42:09 GMT
Not sure if that is no one getting 50% in Swindon or in both areas
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Aug 20, 2021 12:45:28 GMT
SWINDON ONLY
Ali (Lab and Co-op) 6,970 Malins – (Ref) 539 Mathew (LibDem) 2,114 Rees (Ind) 6,681 Wilkinson (Con) votes 9,172'
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
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Post by Chris from Brum on Aug 20, 2021 12:49:22 GMT
SWINDON ONLY
Ali (Lab and Co-op) 6,970 Malins – (Ref) 539 Mathew (LibDem) 2,114 Rees (Ind) 6,681 Wilkinson (Con) votes 9,172'
Swindon was always likely to be the weaker area from our PoV. |
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mboy
Liberal
Listen. Think. Speak.
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Post by mboy on Aug 20, 2021 12:50:09 GMT
This looks like an Ind win to me, given what the rural areas will likely deliver...
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Aug 20, 2021 12:52:55 GMT
Swindon only
May
Con 41.8%
Lab 30.9%
Ind 11.1%
LD 8.2%
Green 6%
Ref Uk 2%
August
Con 36%
Lab 27.4%
Ind 26.2%
LD 8.3%
Ref Uk 2.1%
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iang
Lib Dem
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Post by iang on Aug 20, 2021 12:53:44 GMT
Even if it is just Swindon, that doesn't look a great result for us
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Merseymike
Independent
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Post by Merseymike on Aug 20, 2021 12:55:25 GMT
Turnout so ridiculously low again.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Aug 20, 2021 12:59:30 GMT
For comparison, when we get them, the May 1st preferences in the Wiltshire council area were
Con 40.8%
LD 20.5%
Ind 17.1%
Lab 10.6%
Green 8.9%
Ref Uk 2.2%
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Post by froome on Aug 20, 2021 13:09:36 GMT
Turnout so ridiculously low again. But probably higher than many expected, given the timing. It will be interesting to know what percent are postals. I suspect it will be very high. |
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Post by froome on Aug 20, 2021 13:12:14 GMT
This looks like an Ind win to me, given what the rural areas will likely deliver... Yup, my prediction is looking good. Rees may even come top on the first round on those figures, or will at least be relatively close. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Aug 20, 2021 13:17:17 GMT
This looks like an Ind win to me, given what the rural areas will likely deliver... Yup, my prediction is looking good. Rees may even come top on the first round on those figures, or will at least be relatively close. Do you know What is Rees’ background? |
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
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Post by cogload on Aug 20, 2021 13:42:40 GMT
Yup, my prediction is looking good. Rees may even come top on the first round on those figures, or will at least be relatively close. Do you know What is Rees’ background? Ex Copper. |
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Post by swindonlad on Aug 20, 2021 13:42:44 GMT
Yup, my prediction is looking good. Rees may even come top on the first round on those figures, or will at least be relatively close. Do you know What is Rees’ background? He's ex police His website www.mrpcc.co.uk/ |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
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Post by timmullen1 on Aug 20, 2021 13:44:14 GMT
Yup, my prediction is looking good. Rees may even come top on the first round on those figures, or will at least be relatively close. Do you know What is Rees’ background? According to Andrew’s Previews he’s a retired 30 year veteran of Wiltshire Police who now runs a local cleaning company. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Aug 20, 2021 14:05:48 GMT
Total 1st preferences
Con 32564
Ind 25197
LD 17966
Lab 12971
Ref 1859
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 20, 2021 14:06:32 GMT
Total 1st preferences Con 32564 Ind 25197 LD 17966 Lab 12971 Ref 1859 Indie it is then !! |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Aug 20, 2021 14:08:59 GMT
Total 1st preferences Con 32564 Ind 25197 LD 17966 Lab 12971 Ref 1859 Indie it is then !! Probably, although it might be quite close. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Aug 20, 2021 14:13:19 GMT
Which means in the Wiltshire council area, first preferences were
Con 23,392. Ind 18,516. LD 15,852. Lab 6001, Ref 1320
Con 35.9%
Ind 28.5%
LD 24.4%
Lab 9.2%
Ref 2%
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 20, 2021 14:13:36 GMT
Total 1st preferences Con 32564 Ind 25197 LD 17966 Lab 12971 Ref 1859 Indie it is then !! Yes the received wisdom always was that the real battle was to come second to the Tories on first prefs and therefore be the ultimate winner. We will now see if that wisdom was correct- it didn't work like that last time, after all. |
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