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Post by Robert Waller on Mar 20, 2013 21:20:09 GMT
DACORUM - Adeyfield West (Labour resigned)
Simon DEACON (English Democrats - "Putting England First!") 2%
Mike MOORE (The Labour Party Candidate) 46
Barry NEWTON (The Conservative Party Candidate) 26
Noel SWINFORD (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 10
Ron TINDALL (Liberal Democrats) 16
HAVERING - Gooshays (Conservative died)
Mick BRAUN (British National Party) 5
Malvin BROWN (Residents' Association of London Official Candidate) 5
Marcus LLEWELLYN-ROTHSCHILD (The Conservative Party Candidate) 22
Christine MCGEARY (Labour Party Candidate) 35
Lawrence WEBB (UKIP Local Residents) 27
Darren WISE (Harold Wood Hill Park Residents Association) 6
ISLINGTON - Junction (Independent (ex LD) resigned)
Mick HOLLOWAY (Green Party Candidate) 16
Stefan KASPRZYK (Liberal Democrats) 22
Kaya MAKARAU-SCHWARTZ (The Labour Party Candidate) 50
Bill MARTIN (The Socialist Party (GB)) 2
Patricia NAPIER (The Conservative Party Candidate) 8
Gary TOWNSEND (British National Party) 2
ISLINGTON - St Georges (Labour resigned)
Walter BARFOOT (British National Party) 2
Kat FLETCHER (The Labour Party Candidate) 44
Julian GREGORY (Liberal Democrats) 36
Jon NOTT (Green Party Candidate) 13
Evan WILLIAMS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 5
NORTH DORSET - Lodbourne (Conservative resigned)
Richard ARNOLD (Liberal Democrats) 50
Mike GOULD (The Conservative Party Candidate) 40
Bob MESSER (The Labour Party Candidate) 10
NORTH DORSET - The Stours (Conservative resigned)
Traci HANDFORD (The Conservative Party Candidate) 71
Joseph PESTELL (The Labour Party Candidate) 29
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dibs
Non-Aligned
Posts: 63
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Post by dibs on Mar 20, 2013 23:05:42 GMT
DACORUM - Adeyfield West
LAB 40 CON 30 LIBDEM 18 UKIP 11 ENGDEM 1
HAVERING - Gooshays
LAB 32 CON 27 UKIP 22 BNP 8 BROWN 7 WISE 4
ISLINGTON - Junction
LAB 45 LIBDEM 28 GREEN 13 CON 10 BNP 3 SOCIALIST 1
ISLINGTON - St Georges
LAB 43 LIBDEM 32 GREEN 15 CON 7 BNP 3
NORTH DORSET - Lodbourne
CON 47 LIBDEM 44 LAB 9
NORTH DORSET - The Stours
CON 65 LAB 35
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Post by marksenior on Mar 20, 2013 23:25:15 GMT
My forecasts
Dacorum Lab 39 Con 30 LD 14 UKIP 13 Eng Dem 4
Havering Lab 29 Con 21 UKIP 15 BNP 14 HWHPR 14 Brown 7
Islington Junction Lab 47 LD 27 Green 10 Con 7 BNP 6 Soc 3
Islington St Georges Lab 40 LD 34 Green 12 Con 9 BNP 5
N Dorset Lodbourne LD 56 Con 36 Lab 8
N Dorset The Stours Con 76 Lab 24
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Mar 21, 2013 0:44:49 GMT
Dacorum BC, Adeyfield West
Lab 47
Con 26
LD 18
UKIP 7
ED 2
Havering LBC, Gooshays
Lab 39
Con 21
BNP 18
UKIP 11
HWHPRA 8
RAL 3
Islington LBC, Junction
Lab 48
LD 26
Green 15
Con 7
SPGB 2
BNP 2
Islington LC, St George's
Lab 45
LD 37
Green 8
Con 7
BNP 3
North Dorset DC, Lodbourne
LD 55
Con 36
Lab 9
North Dorset DC, The Stours
Con 68
Lab 32
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Post by hempie on Mar 21, 2013 7:59:37 GMT
Dacorum, Adeyfield West: Lab 37, Con 31, LD 19, UKIP 10 ,Eng Dem 3
Havering, Gooshays: Lab 33, Con 24, UKIP 20,BNP 16, HWHPR 4, Brown 3
Islington, Junction: Lab 45, LD 34.5, Green 10, Con 7, SPGB 2, BNP 1.5
Islington, St Georges: Lab 41.5, LD 40, Green 10, Con 7, BNP 1.5
N Dorset Lodbourne: LD 51, Con 44, Lab 5
N Dorset The Stours: Con 82, Lab 18
Sorry I haven't been able to give any updates on Adeyfield - illness prevented me getting out & about. My prediction is pure guesswork.
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Post by greatkingrat on Mar 21, 2013 8:26:21 GMT
DACORUM - Lab 43, Con 33, LD 13, UKIP 8, ED 3
HAVERING - Lab 29, Con 23, UKIP 21, Wise 14, BNP 8, Brown 5
ISLINGTON (Junction) - Lab 46, LD 32, Grn 11, Con 8, SPGB 1.5, BNP 1.5
ISLINGTON (St Georges) - Lab 43, LD 38, Grn 10, Con 7, BNP 2
NORTH DORSET (Lodbourne) - LD 50, Con 42, Lab 8
NORTH DORSET (The Stours) - Con 76, Lab 24
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 21, 2013 10:00:40 GMT
Havering LB - Gooshays Lab 33.2% UKIP 27.2% Con 17.4% BNP 13.8% HWHPRA 5.7% RAL 2.7% Islington LB - Junction Lab 53.3% LD 21.5% Grn 12.9% Con 8.1% SPGB 2.8% BNP 1.4% Islington LB - St George's Lab 48.6% LD 25.8% Grn 15.9% Con 7.9% BNP 1.8% Dacorum BC - Adeyfield West Lab 36.6% Con 25.2% LD 21.9% UKIP 12.1% ED 4.2% North Dorset DC - Lodbourne LD 46.8% Con 36.3% Lab 16.9% North Dorset DC - Lodbourne The Stours Con 74.7% Lab 25.3% |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Mar 21, 2013 10:53:32 GMT
Dacorum: Lab 43.1 Con 28.5 UKIP 16.2 LD 8.7 ED 3.5 Havering: Lab 33.5 Con 24.3 UKIP 20.2 HWPR 8.8 BNP 7.8 LR 5.4 Islington - Junction: Lab 49.3 LD 30.7 Con 9.5 Grn 5.7 SPGB 3.6 BNP 1.2 Islington - St Georges Lab 43.9 LD 35.5 Grn 10.2 Con 8.9 BNP 1.5 North Dorset - Lodbourne LD 47.8 Con 41.2 Lab 11.0 North Dorset - The Stours Con 70.0 Lab 30.0 I was in a rush doing these earlier in the week and missed the fact that the LD in Dacorum is a county councillor - I may have significantly underestimated them there. |
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Post by Philip Davies on Mar 21, 2013 13:01:24 GMT
Moving house tomorrow so sending it in early...before the budget! DACORUM - Adeyfield West Simon DEACON (English Democrats - "Putting England First!") 2.5 Mike MOORE (The Labour Party Candidate) 40.4 Barry NEWTON (The Conservative Party Candidate) 32.2 Noel SWINFORD (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 13.2 Ron TINDALL (Liberal Democrats) 11.7 HAVERING - Gooshays Mick BRAUN (British National Party) 9.9 Malvin BROWN (Residents' Association of London Official Candidate) 3.5 Marcus LLEWELLYN-ROTHSCHILD (The Conservative Party Candidate) 22.4 Christine MCGEARY (Labour Party Candidate) 34.8 Lawrence WEBB (UKIP Local Residents) 18.6 Darren WISE (Harold Wood Hill Park Residents Association) 10.8 ISLINGTON - Junction Mick HOLLOWAY (Green Party Candidate) 15.9 Stefan KASPRZYK (Liberal Democrats) 26.4 Kaya MAKARAU-SCHWARTZ (The Labour Party Candidate) 42.5 Bill MARTIN (The Socialist Party (GB)) 1.9 Patricia NAPIER (The Conservative Party Candidate) 12.1 Gary TOWNSEND (British National Party) 1.2 ISLINGTON - St Georges Walter BARFOOT (British National Party) 1.6 Kat FLETCHER (The Labour Party Candidate) 42.6 Julian GREGORY (Liberal Democrats) 26.3 Jon NOTT (Green Party Candidate) 17.6 Evan WILLIAMS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 11.9 NORTH DORSET - Lodbourne Richard ARNOLD (Liberal Democrats) 53 Mike GOULD (The Conservative Party Candidate) 37 Bob MESSER (The Labour Party Candidate) 10 NORTH DORSET - The Stours Traci HANDFORD (The Conservative Party Candidate) 87.5 Joseph PESTELL (The Labour Party Candidate) 12.5 |
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Post by Philip Davies on Mar 21, 2013 13:04:21 GMT
Is "Gooshays" pronounced Goose-hays or Goo-shays?
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 21, 2013 13:06:08 GMT
The first, I think.
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Post by andrewteale on Mar 21, 2013 19:27:24 GMT
ADEYFIELD WEST: Lab 40 C 32 LD 16 UKIP 9 EDP 3
GOOSHAYS: Lab 37 C 23 UKIP 20 BNP 7 HWHPRA 8 RAL 5
JUNCTION: Lab 50 LD 32 Grn 8 C 7 BNP 2 SPGB 2
ST GEORGE'S: Lab 43 LD 42 Grn 7 C 7 BNP 1
LODBOURNE: C 51 LD 36 Lab 13
THE STOURS: C 80 Lab 20
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Post by middleenglander on Mar 21, 2013 22:44:51 GMT
10 entries this week with Dibs rejoining but no Arthur Figgis. Andrew Teale gets 1 additional point for adding to 101% in Islington, Junction.
Unanimity for 5 of the contests:
Dacorum, Adeyfield West - Labour hold
Havering, Gooshays - Labour gain from Conservative
Islington, Junction - Labour gain from Lib Dem
Islington, St Georges - Labour hold
North Dorset, The Stours - Conservative hold
In North Dorset, Lodbourne - 8 predict a Lib Dem gain from Conservative whilst Andrew Teale and Dibs a Conservative hold
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Post by Robert Waller on Mar 22, 2013 0:11:41 GMT
After a quick look at the first five results, I think Pete has rushed into a substantial lead for the month after a massive victory this week.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 22, 2013 0:15:27 GMT
Despite predicting two of those first three winners incorrectly. Like you I did have a good feeling about Gooshays but wasn't prepared to put my money where my mouth was
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Mar 22, 2013 0:29:19 GMT
I overslept today and had to get to Birmingham.  |
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Post by middleenglander on Mar 22, 2013 0:39:27 GMT
Dacorum BC, Adeyfield West:
Pete Whitehead 32.6 faults +10, hempie 45.0+10, Mark Senior 47.0+10, Dibs 49.0+10, tonyotim 52.2+10, Andrew Teale & Robert Waller 53.0+10, PhilDav 54.2+10, East Anglian Lefty 55.0+10, greatkingrat 61.0+10
Havering LB, Gooshays:
Pete Whitehead 33.4 +10 faults, greatkingrat 38.9+10, PhilDav 40.7+10, Robert Waller 42.1+10, tonyotim 44.5+10, Mark Senior 47.9+10, Andrew Teale 48.1+10, Dibs 50.1+10, hempie 51.2+10, East Anglian Lefty 61.2+10
Islington LB, Junction:
Pete Whitehead 26.6 faults, Robert Waller 27.0, East Anglian Lefty 33.0, PhilDav 42.6, Dibs 43.0, Andrew Teale 44.0, greakingrat & Mark Senior 45.0, hempie 49.0, tonyotim 49.4
Islington, St Georges
Pete Whitehead 45.4, East Anglian Lefty 53.9, Robert Waller 54.6, tonyotim 54.8, Dibs & greatkingrat 56.6, PhilDav 57.4, hempie 59.6, Andrew Teale 59.9, Mark Senior 62.6
North Dorset DC, Lodbourne:
Pete Whitehead 3.9 faults, tonyotim 13.7, PhilDav & Robert Waller 15.4, East Anglian Lefty 17.4, greatkingrat & Mark Senior 19.4, hempie 25.4, Dibs 25.3+10, Andrew Teale 33.3+10
North Dorset, The Stours
Andrew Teale 0.5 faults, hempie 3.5, greatkingrat & Mark Senior 8.5, Pete Whitehead 11.1, PhilDav 14.5, Robert Waller 18.5, tonyotim 20.5, East Anglian Lefty 24.5, Dibs 30.5
and for the week:
Pete Whitehead 172.9 faults, Robert Waller 230.5, PhilDav 244.8, greatkingrat 249.2, Mark Senior 250.3, hempie 253.6, tonyotim 255.1, East Anglian Lefty 264.9, Andrew Teale 268.7, Dibs 284.4
and for the month to date:
356.5 Pete Whitehead
399.7 Robert Waller
402.7 East Anglian Lefty
417.8 Mark Senior
430.7 tonyotim
440.1 greatkingrat
441.5 PhilDav
457.5 hempie
487.1 Andrew Teale
737.4 Dibs
780.5 Arthur Figgis
Objections please by 5.00 pm Saturday.
Final 3 by-elections for the month next Thursday. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on day of contests.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Mar 22, 2013 10:28:30 GMT
Well done to Pete for the week.
Have we ever had a month where we have all unanimously got so many contests wrong?
I'm surprised I came that high this week given how crap some of my predictions were!
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Post by Robert Waller on Mar 22, 2013 16:54:23 GMT
Yes, remarkably high faults total ... but a dominant performance by Pete all the same. Looks like he is going to recapture his crown after the weird aberration of the winner last month.
It just shows how much local variation still applies.
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Post by Robert Waller on Mar 24, 2013 23:50:03 GMT
FENLAND - Parson Drove and Wisbech St Mary (Conservative died)
David BROKER (The Conservative Party Candidate) 32%
Maria GOLDSPINK (English Democrats - "Putting England First") 4
Mary LANE (Liberal Democrat) 44
Alan LAY (UKIP) 20
LEWISHAM - Evelyn (Labour resigned)
Olufunke ABIDOYE (The Labour Party Candidate) 63
Simon NUNDY (The Conservative Party Candidate) 9
Paul OAKLEY (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 6
Barbara RAYMOND (Lewisham People Before Profit) 4
Bill TOWN (Liberal Democrats) 18
TENDRING - Harwich West (Labour died)
Simon BANKS (Liberal Democrats) 6
John HAWKINS (The Labour Party Candidate) 46
Steven HENDERSON (Community Representatives Party) 12
Hugh THOMPSON (Conservative Party Candidate) 36
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