Prediction competition for March 2013

[East Anglian Lefty]

Haven't had much time to research this week, so some shots in the dark:

Arun DC, Aldwick East
Con 38
UKIP 27
LD 22
Lab 13

Camden LBC, Gospel Oak
Lab 56
Con 24
LD 11
TUSC 4
Green 3
BNP 2

Oldham MBC, Royton South
Lab 69
Con 19
LD 9
Green 3

Runnymede BC, Foxhills
Con 44
UKIP 35
Lab 21

[Robert Waller]

Arun DC, Aldwick East
Con 50
UKIP 29
LD 12
Lab 9

Camden LBC, Gospel Oak
Lab 58.5
Con 21
LD 11
TUSC 1.5
Green 6
BNP 2

Oldham MBC, Royton South
Lab 71
Con 21
LD 5
Green 3

Runnymede BC, Foxhills
Con 40
UKIP 35
Lab 25

[marksenior]

Arun
Con 46 UKIP 28 LD 14 Lab 12
Camden
Lab 52 Con 23 LD 11 Green 9 TUSC 3 BNP 2
Oldham
Lab 64 Con 22 LD 9 Green 5
Runnymede
Con 43 UKIP 31 Lab 26

[marksenior]

Arun
Con 46 UKIP 28 LD 14 Lab 12
Camden
Lab 52 Con 23 LD 11 Green 9 TUSC 3 BNP 2
Oldham
Lab 64 Con 22 LD 9 Green 5
Runnymede
Con 43 UKIP 31 Lab 26

[hempie]

Arun, Aldwick East: Con 50, UKIP 20, LD 18, Lab 12
Camden, Gospel Oak: Lab 44, Con 27, LD 16. Green 9, TUSC 3, BNP 1
Oldham, Royton South: Lab 64, Con 23, LD 10, Green 3
Runnymede, Foxhills: Con 46, UKIP 30, Lab 24

[Arthur Figgis]

Arun, Aldwick East: C 49, LD 20, UKIP 17, L 14.
Camden, Gospel Oak: L 53, C 24, LD 10, G 8, TUSC 4, BNP 1.
Oldham, Royton South: L 65, C 24, LD 9, G 2.
Runnymede, Foxhills: C 39, UKIP 34, L 27.

[greatkingrat]

ARUN - Con 50, UKIP 18, LD 18, Lab 14
CAMDEN - Lab 49, Con 21, LD 18, Grn 9, TUSC 2, BNP 1
OLDHAM - Lab 71, Con 20, LD 5, Grn 4
RUNNYMEDE - Con 41, UKIP 34, Lab 25

[Pete Whitehead]

Mar 13, 2013 23:15:19 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

Camden LB - Gospel Oak

Lab  47.1%
Con 25.4%
LD   13.7%
Grn   8.9%
TUSC 3.7%
BNP   1.2%


Oldham MB - Royton South

Lab 67.8%
Con 22.2%
LD     7.9%
Grn    2.1%


Arun DC - Aldwick East

Con  45.2%
UKIP 24.8%
LD    15.8%
Lab  14.2%


Runnymede BC - Foxhills

Con  45.9%
UKIP 30.8%
Lab   23.3%

[Philip Davies]

Mar 14, 2013 0:49:04 GMT Philip Davies said:

ARUN - Aldwick East

Richard DAWSON (The Labour Party Candidate) 14.5
Bill SMEE (Conservative Party) 50.9
Janet TAYLOR (UKIP) 16.4
Paul WELLS (Liberal Democrats) 18.2


CAMDEN - Gospel Oak

Constantine BUHAYER (Green Party) 15.2
Stephen DORMAN (British National Party) 2.9
Maeve MCCORMACK (The Labour Party Candidate) 51.0
Laura NOEL (Liberal Democrats) 8.3
John REID (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) 2.2
Leila ROY (The Conservative Party Candidate) 20.4


OLDHAM - Royton South

Stephen BARROW (Liberal Democrats) 5.9
Marie BASHFORTH (Labour Party Candidate) 68.6
Allan FISH (The Conservative Party Candidate) 23.5
Roger PAKEMAN (The Green Party) 2.0


RUNNYMEDE - Foxhills

Chris BROWNE (UK Independence Party) 31.0
John GURNEY (Labour Party Candidate) 21.0
Barry PITT (The Conservative Party Candidate) 48.0

[Tony Otim]

Mar 12, 2013 14:42:26 GMT Tony Otim said:

Arun
Con 49.4
UKIP 22.2
LD 14.6
Lab 13.8

Camden:
Lab 54.3
Con 22.0
Grn 11.6
LD 6.7
BNP 3.1
TUSC 2.3

Oldham:
Lab 68.2
Con 21.5
Ld 6.9
Grn 3.4

Runnymede:
Con 45.2
UKIP 29.5
Lab 25.3

[andrewteale]

Mar 13, 2013 23:36:39 GMT andrewteale said:

ALDWICK EAST: C 50 UKIP 23 LD 14 Lab 13
GOSPEL OAK: Lab 46 C 26 LD 17 Grn 7 TUSC 3 BNP 1
ROYTON SOUTH: Lab 68 C 23 LD 6 Grn 3
FOXHILLS: C 45 UKIP 29 Lab 26

[middleenglander]

10 entries this week - nothing from Dibs - and no additional points for anyone.

100% unanimity
- Conservative hold in Arun, majority ranges from 11% over UKIP (East Anglian Lefty) to 32.7% over Lib Dems (PhilDav)
- Labour hold in Camden, majority over Conservatives from 17% (Hempie) to 37.5% (Robert Waller)
- Labour hold in Oldham, majority over Conservatives from 41% (Arthur Figgis & hempie)) to 51% (greatkingrat)
- Conservative hold in Runnymede, majority over UKIP from 5%(Arthur Figgis & Robert Waller) to 17% (PhilDav)

[Robert Waller]

Do we have Andrew Teale's predictions?

[Pete Whitehead]

Top of this page!

[Robert Waller]

That would be a yes, then.

My apologies.

[Pete Whitehead]

Looks like EAL continuing his run of relative success from last week

[Philip Davies]

Two wooden spoons for me :-( My poorest week in a long time.

[middleenglander]

Arun DC, Aldwick East
East Anglian Lefty 28.7+10 faults, Mark Senior 42.7+10, Robert Waller 44.7+10, Pete Whitehead 45.5+10, hempie 50.7+10, Andrew Teale & Arthur Figgis 52.7+10, tonyotim 53.1+10, greatkingrat 54.7+10, PhilDav 57.5+10

Camden LB, Gospel Oak
Robert Waller 12.1 faults, tonyotim 16.9, East Anglian Lefty 18.1, Arthur Figgis 19.5, Mark Senior 21.5, PhilDav 23.7, greatkingrat & Pete Whitehead 31.5, Andrew Teale 35.5, hempie 39.5

Oldham MB, Royton South
Mark Senior 12.0 faults, hempie 13.5, East Anglian Lefty 15.5, Arthur Figgis 17.5, tonyotim 18.9, Pete Whitehead 19.5, Andrew Teale & greatkingrat 21.5, Robert Waller 23.5, PhilDav 23.7

Runnymede DC, Foxhills
Robert Waller 10.5+10 faults, East Anglian Lefty 11.8+10, Arthur Figgis & greatkingrat 12.5+10, Mark Senior 18.5+10, Pete Whitehead 18.9+10, PhilDav 19.8+10, hempie 20.5+10, tonyotim 21.5+10, Andrew Teale 22.5+10

and for the week:
East Anglian Lefty 94.1 faults, Robert Waller 110.7, Mark Senior 114.6, Arthur Figgis 122.1, tonyotim 130.4, Pete Whitehead 135.3, greatkingrat 140.1, hempie 144.1, PhilDav 144.7, Andrew Teale 152.1

and month to date:

137.8 East Anglian Lefty
167.6 Mark Senior
169.2 Robert Waller
175.6 tonyotim
180.5 Arthur Figgis

183.6 Pete Whitehead
190.9 greatkingrat
196.7 PhilDav
203.8 hempie
218.4 Andrew Teale

452.9 Dibs

Objection please by 5.00pm Saturday

6 contests next week, predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday.

[Tony Otim]

Congratulations to EAL on another weekly win, starting to build up a wee bit of a lead there.

Didn't do quite as badly as I thought I had when I first saw the results, but I guess we've all got 60% of the winners wrong so far this month

[East Anglian Lefty]

Not to worry, there are enough contests where Labour is competitive this month for my usual over-optimism to put me back into mid-table. In all honesty, kicking myself that I didn't go with my instincts and tip UKIP in Runnymede.