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Post by Deleted on Aug 19, 2021 6:37:04 GMT
Yes, Republicans usually perform better down ballot in most of New England. The GOP brand in most of NE (especially in suburban CT & MA) is economically dry & socially wet Darien and New Canaan in southwestern Connecticut voted for John Kasich in the 2016 Republican primary. |
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Post by rcronald on Aug 19, 2021 6:41:24 GMT
Yes, Republicans usually perform better down ballot in most of New England. The GOP brand in most of NE (especially in suburban CT & MA) is economically dry & socially wet Darien and New Canaan in southwestern Connecticut voted for John Kasich in the 2016 Republican primary. Tells you all you need to know about the GOP brand preference in the area. |
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Post by Deleted on Aug 19, 2021 9:15:06 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Aug 23, 2021 5:46:49 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Aug 23, 2021 6:27:31 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Aug 24, 2021 6:14:27 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Aug 24, 2021 16:06:53 GMT
Chicago is another example of Trump performing better than in 2016. He was still far, far behind:  ...but these are the changes 2016 vs. 2020:  ...and the ethnies:  |
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Post by rcronald on Aug 24, 2021 17:33:23 GMT
Chicago is another example of Trump performing better than in 2016. He was still far, far behind: ...but these are the changes 2016 vs. 2020: ...and the ethnies: If Illinois wasn’t a gerrymandered state then Black Majority CD-1 would have almost certainly been the eliminated district. (If you take out the non Cook parts of CD-1,CD-2 and give it to a seat mostly outside of Chicagoland) |
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Post by Deleted on Aug 25, 2021 21:04:25 GMT
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Aug 26, 2021 0:27:41 GMT
Apropos: The same Twitter-account published numberless Ohio-maps (since ~1900!). |
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Post by Deleted on Aug 26, 2021 17:16:01 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Aug 26, 2021 18:28:25 GMT
My prediction: IL: Bidan-13 Trump-4 (Can also be B-14 T-3 but it would make Maryland look like a clean map) IN: Bidan-1 Trump-7 Toss up-1 (IN-1 would probably be Bidan by less then 1%) MI: Bidan-6 Trump-7 (with MI-3 being marginal Bidan) OH: Bidan-3 Trump-12 (can also be B-3 T-11 and 1 very marginal Bidan) WI: Bidan-2 Trump-5 Toss up-1 (Trump leaning marginal) MN: Bidan-4 Trump-4
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Post by Deleted on Aug 27, 2021 18:52:22 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Aug 28, 2021 3:14:26 GMT
The GOP was very unpopular in farming states in the 80s & 90s (almost lost South Dakota in1988) |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 28, 2021 9:10:50 GMT
Iowa was the only state to swing against the Dems in 1992. They fell short in SD by about 3.5% both then and in 1996.
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Post by Deleted on Aug 28, 2021 9:50:12 GMT
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 28, 2021 16:26:39 GMT
Apropos: The same Twitter-account published numberless Ohio-maps (since ~1900!). They have been publishing them on Twitter since 1900? Impressive! |
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Post by Deleted on Aug 30, 2021 13:24:50 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Aug 30, 2021 17:00:12 GMT
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Aug 30, 2021 17:42:49 GMT
Trump improved his margin and vote share in Utah from 2016, although McMullin not being on the ballot can explain that easily |
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