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Post by rcronald on Oct 30, 2022 21:26:49 GMT
Mato Grosso do Sul- Conservative state representative Renan Contar (PRTB) is slightly favoured over right leaning Eduardo Reidel (PSDB). First race call, and it’s a win for Reidel. The polls significantly underestimated him, I assume that Teresa Cristina’s support helped him. |
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Post by finsobruce on Oct 30, 2022 21:33:32 GMT
First race call, and it’s a win for Reidel. The polls significantly underestimated him, I assume that Teresa Cristina’s support helped him. Triumph of the Toucans! |
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Post by Old Fashioned Leftie on Oct 30, 2022 21:35:28 GMT
almost crossover time
50.2% to 49.8% at 56% count
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Post by rcronald on Oct 30, 2022 21:37:53 GMT
The polls significantly underestimated him, I assume that Teresa Cristina’s support helped him. Triumph of the Toucans! Probably the most right wing Tuscan I have ever seen tbh, he run with the support of Teresa Cristina and Bolsonaro (who kinda supported both him and Contar) and consistently attacked his party for not being right leaning enough. |
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Post by rcronald on Oct 30, 2022 21:38:36 GMT
almost crossover time 50.2% to 49.8% at 56% count should be noted that unlike in the first round, a lot of the remaining votes are from the south and south East. |
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Post by finsobruce on Oct 30, 2022 21:38:43 GMT
Probably the most right wing Tuscan I have ever seen tbh, he run with the support of Teresa Cristina and Bolsonaro (who kinda supported both him and Contar) and consistently attacked his party for not being right leaning enough. Bolsonaro was hedging his bets there alright.
And, as if by magic, the Guardian live blog on the election has an advert for a language programme called Toucan.  |
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Post by rcronald on Oct 30, 2022 21:41:29 GMT
Couple of Gubernatorial projections: Espírito Santo:Incumbent Renato Casagrande (PSB) Mato Grosso do Sul: Eduardo Reidel (PSDB) Amazonas: Wilson Lima (União) Rio Grande do Sul: Eduardo Leite (PSDB) Santa Catarina: Jorginho Mello (PL) Paraiba: João Azevêdo (PSB) Pernambuco: Raquel Lyra (PSDB) |
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Post by rcronald on Oct 30, 2022 21:42:21 GMT
It looks like Bolsonaro has flipped Amapa.
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 30, 2022 21:43:23 GMT
I just had a polling report from Recife- which was reckoning that voting was very slow- blaming the heat and that people would rather "pay the fine than turn out" in the heat. If at all general would probably favour Bolsonaro, but maybe it happens all the time.
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Post by rcronald on Oct 30, 2022 21:44:49 GMT
I just had a polling report from Recife- which was reckoning that voting was very slow- blaming the heat and that people would rather "pay the fine than turn out" in the heat. If at all general would probably favour Bolsonaro, but maybe it happens all the time. Seems like a north east thing to do. lol Btw, Lyra has almost certainly won the gubernatorial race. |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,435 
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Post by iain on Oct 30, 2022 21:46:22 GMT
Lula now ahead.
Surely that’s game over.
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Post by rcronald on Oct 30, 2022 21:46:37 GMT
almost crossover time 50.2% to 49.8% at 56% count should be noted that unlike in the first round, a lot of the remaining votes are from the south and south East. Lula has taken the lead 50.01-49.99, but most of the remaining vote is in the South East. |
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Post by Old Fashioned Leftie on Oct 30, 2022 21:47:29 GMT
Lula takes the lead at just under 70% of the count, very similar to the first round it would appear
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 30, 2022 21:54:38 GMT
Lula now ahead. Surely that’s game over. Not convinced if its the south east still to come this time. I still say too close to call. |
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Post by rcronald on Oct 30, 2022 21:56:33 GMT
I think Lula is going to win by less than 2%.
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,723
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Post by CatholicLeft on Oct 30, 2022 21:58:18 GMT
I think Lula is going to win by less than 2%. In the words of the late, great, David Penhaligon: "One vote is all it takes". |
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Post by rcronald on Oct 30, 2022 21:59:40 GMT
I think Lula is going to win by less than 2%. In the words of the late, great, David Penhaligon: "One vote is all it takes". If I’m Bolsonaro, Roberto Jefferson is a dead man. |
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Post by Old Fashioned Leftie on Oct 30, 2022 22:00:47 GMT
Lula now 50.4 - 49.6 at 82% count
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Post by finsobruce on Oct 30, 2022 22:03:33 GMT
In the words of the late, great, David Penhaligon: "One vote is all it takes". If I’m Bolsonaro, Roberto Jefferson is a dead man. He's a colourful character isn't he.
There's resisting arrest but throwing grenades at the police?
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Post by rcronald on Oct 30, 2022 22:06:17 GMT
If I’m Bolsonaro, Roberto Jefferson is a dead man. He's a colourful character isn't he.
There's resisting arrest but throwing grenades at the police?
Even Bolsonaro didn’t want anything to do with him BEFORE the (unjust) arrest warrant. |
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