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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 13, 2014 13:48:27 GMT
Survation has 'No' ahead 54-46
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Post by Devonian on Sept 13, 2014 13:49:25 GMT
Report that Survation poll is No 54% Yes 46%
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Post by Devonian on Sept 13, 2014 14:05:38 GMT
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Post by finsobruce on Sept 13, 2014 14:15:46 GMT
Report that Survation poll is No 54% Yes 46% which irresistibly leads us to:
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 13, 2014 18:38:13 GMT
Rumours that the ICM poll will show YES ahead by 54% to 46%. Not sure how well sourced these rumours are.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 13, 2014 18:54:34 GMT
Rumours that the ICM poll will show YES ahead by 54% to 46%. Not sure how well sourced these rumours are. Online for the Torygraph. Sample size 705. Confirmed.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
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Post by Sibboleth on Sept 13, 2014 19:04:50 GMT
I didn't know ICM did online polls.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 13, 2014 19:05:59 GMT
53/47 No to Opinium.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,038
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Post by Sibboleth on Sept 13, 2014 19:07:24 GMT
And it's being reported that an Opium (Opinium, whatever) poll has No 53/Yes 47.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,038
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Post by Sibboleth on Sept 13, 2014 19:09:25 GMT
This is all starting to get slightly ridiculous.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,952
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 13, 2014 19:09:31 GMT
I didn't know ICM did online polls. They have done, though not VI ones recently. But that sample size is suspiciously small - how many were in their recent phone poll??
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,038
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Post by Sibboleth on Sept 13, 2014 19:13:19 GMT
I didn't know ICM did online polls. They have done, though not VI ones recently. But that sample size is suspiciously small - how many were in their recent phone poll?? 1,000
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,038
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Post by Sibboleth on Sept 13, 2014 19:17:43 GMT
705 is the smallest sample size for a poll on this subject since one by Angus Reid over a year ago (549 people).
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Post by thirdchill on Sept 13, 2014 19:19:42 GMT
This is all starting to get slightly ridiculous. Am sure the pollsters will take a well earned break after the independence referendum, they will need a holiday.
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 13, 2014 20:41:52 GMT
Panelbase: No 50.6%, Yes 49.4%.
Average of today's four polls: No lead = 1.8%.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,952
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 13, 2014 21:11:08 GMT
Or 51-49 if Panelbase rounded like all the other pollsters (last week's headline grabbing YouGov was actually 50.55 - 49.45 to yes)
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Post by Devonian on Sept 13, 2014 23:08:54 GMT
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,038
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Post by Sibboleth on Sept 13, 2014 23:53:32 GMT
I like (or not?) that we've reached one of those situations where we basically get to pick our own realities, even if only briefly. Because some of these polls have to be wrong...
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Post by Devonian on Sept 14, 2014 12:14:36 GMT
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Post by greenchristian on Sept 14, 2014 18:38:36 GMT
I like (or not?) that we've reached one of those situations where we basically get to pick our own realities, even if only briefly. Because some of these polls have to be wrong... It's perfectly possible for all of them to be within the margin of error.
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