cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,598
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Post by cibwr on Jun 13, 2024 6:55:05 GMT
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,732
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Post by CatholicLeft on Jun 13, 2024 7:16:00 GMT
If "don't know" aren't excluded?
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jun 13, 2024 7:40:31 GMT
If "don't know" aren't excluded? The article says yes 33% no 57% d/k 10%
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,015
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 13, 2024 10:39:43 GMT
Again, as with Scotland there is a thread for Welsh polling
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cibwr
Plaid Cymru
Posts: 3,598
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Post by cibwr on Jun 13, 2024 15:02:09 GMT
Again, as with Scotland there is a thread for Welsh polling I did wonder if I should post there, maybe the mods can move it to there?
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Post by manchesterman on Jun 13, 2024 16:01:40 GMT
This is a poll of people who 'primarily' get their news from the Daily Mail. If accurate, they are truly stuffed. It does make you wonder how those 37% read page after page of that as the main news source and think a) I’ll vote Labour after reading all that and at the same time b) I must buy/ read that paper again, unless they skip lots of pages every day. 2 thoughts: 1) I'm surprised that, based on their headlines, Op Eds etc (especially recently) that Reform isnt polling ahead of the Conservatives 2) The Mail may be a propagandist rag politically, but it does have some excellent sports reporting, so maybe a lot of people buy it for that?
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Post by matureleft on Jun 13, 2024 16:13:04 GMT
It does make you wonder how those 37% read page after page of that as the main news source and think a) I’ll vote Labour after reading all that and at the same time b) I must buy/ read that paper again, unless they skip lots of pages every day. 2 thoughts: 1) I'm surprised that, based on their headlines, Op Eds etc (especially recently) that Reform isnt polling ahead of the Conservatives 2) The Mail may be a propagandist rag politically, but it does have some excellent sports reporting, so maybe a lot of people buy it for that? I haven't looked at it in ages but it used to have a reputation for having strong women's content. If so typically women are to the left of men nowadays. Of course not everyone necessarily buys the political slant of the paper they might read. And finally it may not be a paper they buy but it's the one available to read. Some are sold in bulk, for example to airlines, although I'm not sure the Mail does this now.
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Post by carolus on Jun 13, 2024 16:41:06 GMT
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Post by jamesdoyle on Jun 13, 2024 16:51:55 GMT
Crazy Davey ftw! Also, It's Happening (tm). Seriously, I think they're now doing named candidate polling, and we're probably starting to see tactical voting inteno impact the polling. It's all good.
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graham
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,350
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Post by graham on Jun 13, 2024 16:58:47 GMT
This is a poll of people who 'primarily' get their news from the Daily Mail. If accurate, they are truly stuffed. Of course, this poll might simply indicate how rightwing Labour is widely perceived by these readers. Perhaps Labour would be ahead with readers of Searchlight!
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Post by froome on Jun 13, 2024 19:52:19 GMT
Crazy Davey ftw! Also, It's Happening (tm). Seriously, I think they're now doing named candidate polling, and we're probably starting to see tactical voting inteno impact the polling. It's all good. Lib Dems do seem to be the main (and only) beneficiaries from all of today's polls. This does indeed look like tactical voting beginning to kick in.
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Post by jamesdoyle on Jun 13, 2024 19:57:34 GMT
Crazy Davey ftw! Also, It's Happening (tm). Seriously, I think they're now doing named candidate polling, and we're probably starting to see tactical voting inteno impact the polling. It's all good. Lib Dems do seem to be the main (and only) beneficiaries from all of today's polls. This does indeed look like tactical voting beginning to kick in. It willbe more difficult to see it for the Greens because their target list is much smaller, but it will be happening.
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Post by michaelarden on Jun 13, 2024 21:31:41 GMT
Crazy Davey ftw! Also, It's Happening (tm). Seriously, I think they're now doing named candidate polling, and we're probably starting to see tactical voting inteno impact the polling. It's all good. Lib Dems do seem to be the main (and only) beneficiaries from all of today's polls. This does indeed look like tactical voting beginning to kick in. Isn't it the bounce they got from their manifesto launch? I'd expect them to slip back a bit when the other parties launch and the Lib Dems get 'normal' coverage.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,452
Member is Online
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Post by iain on Jun 13, 2024 21:44:08 GMT
Lib Dems do seem to be the main (and only) beneficiaries from all of today's polls. This does indeed look like tactical voting beginning to kick in. Isn't it the bounce they got from their manifesto launch? I'd expect them to slip back a bit when the other parties launch and the Lib Dems get 'normal' coverage. Could be, though pre-2015 the Lib Dems normally got a small uplift during the election campaign due to more coverage / tactical voting. We won't know until the next set of polls, but if nothing else the Lib Dems won't mind a small bounce right as postal votes are dropping.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,144
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Post by cogload on Jun 17, 2024 11:57:43 GMT
10k sample R/W due at 5.
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 17, 2024 16:07:22 GMT
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Post by woollyliberal on Jun 17, 2024 16:08:13 GMT
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binky
Non-Aligned
Posts: 63
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Post by binky on Jun 17, 2024 16:17:35 GMT
Does this one have regional breakdowns too?
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,732
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Post by CatholicLeft on Jun 20, 2024 15:35:52 GMT
Labour 42% (-1) Reform UK 19% (+1) Conservative 18% (–) Liberal Democrat 11% (-1) Green 5% (–) Scottish National Party 3% (–) Other 1% (–) June 20th publication.
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graham
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,350
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Post by graham on Jun 20, 2024 16:34:44 GMT
Looking at Redfield & Wilton over the two weeks since 6th June the party vote share changes are pretty modest.
6th June - 20th June
Labour unchanged at 42% Tories down 1% to 18% Reform up 2% to 19% LD down 1% to 11% Grn down 1% to 5% SNP unchanged at 3%
No obvious sign of momentum there for any party.
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