Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Feb 10, 2020 20:42:41 GMT
MIDDLESBROUGH UA; Coulby Newham (Ind elected as Con resigned)
Candidates:
CARNEY, Tom (Liberal Democrat)
LAW, Alex (Labour)
LOWTHER, Ellie (Independent)
MASON, Luke (Conservative)
MORRISH, Ian (Independent)
2019: Lab 857, 696, 515; Con 827
Apr 17by: Con 501; Lab 468; Ind 318; Grn 32
May 16by: Lab 732; Ind 475; Con 352; LD 48
2015: Lab 1464, 1291, 1079; Con 996; Ind 893, 762, 758; LD 524
The ex-councillor, who was not the Conservative by-election winner in 2017, is facing trial on 7 counts of sexual activity with a child. Alex Law was the unsuccessful candidate last May. Of the two independents, Morrish is the one backed by the Middlesbrough Independent Councillors Association (MICA).
Current Council: Lab 20; MICA 15; Middlesbrough Independent Group 8; Con 2; 1 vacancy
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Post by froome on Feb 20, 2020 9:50:44 GMT
Surprised at the lack of discussion for this by-election, given how marginal the ward is.
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
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Post by Chris from Brum on Feb 20, 2020 10:01:57 GMT
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Post by peterski on Feb 20, 2020 19:30:09 GMT
Very close to home this one . Not that it gives me any great foresight into the result. Genuinely a wide open contest . The independent interventions make extrapolating any indicators for the mayoral election difficult.
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 20, 2020 22:31:02 GMT
 (EDIT: Now hosted on my own webspace, this should work without a login) |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 20, 2020 22:36:53 GMT
Whatever that image is, it requires a valid login to see.
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Post by agbutler on Feb 20, 2020 22:37:06 GMT
That isn't showing up for me |
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Post by andrewp on Feb 20, 2020 23:33:04 GMT
Coulby Newham
Con 689
Lab 279
Lib Dem 259
Ind 90
Ind 88
Not sure which way round the Independents are
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Post by agbutler on Feb 20, 2020 23:34:41 GMT
Wow
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 20, 2020 23:35:22 GMT
If this is indeed what the winner Luke Mason looks like, then he reminds me of someone. Someone in another part of Yorkshire indeed.
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Post by andrewp on Feb 20, 2020 23:41:31 GMT
I thought the circumstances of the by election might hurt the Conservatives here, even in an area that they are doing well in at the moment.
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 20, 2020 23:45:51 GMT
Pretty good result for LibDems in the circs, which is good even if it makes a total hash of my predictions. Good for the Tories , obviously- I thought the business of the last candidate might have had some effect- but disaster for Labour and we expected far more from Morrish- does anyone know which way round the two Indys were?- not that it matters much now!
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Post by agbutler on Feb 20, 2020 23:47:30 GMT
Teaches me not to enter the prediction competition
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Post by andrewp on Feb 20, 2020 23:52:30 GMT
If this is indeed what the winner Luke Mason looks like, then he reminds me of someone. Someone in another part of Yorkshire indeed. It does seem so Attachments:
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Post by andrewp on Feb 20, 2020 23:56:08 GMT
Teaches me not to enter the prediction competition I wouldn’t take it to heart- I don’t think any of us got anywhere near that one! |
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Post by peterski on Feb 21, 2020 6:03:10 GMT
An active lib dem campaign just gifted a Tory landslide. Boris honeymoon still persists in ' aspirational ' areas like Coulby Newham . Labour need to get their shitshow back on the road quickly or we have 4 more years of Houchen's crap to put up with.
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 21, 2020 8:45:20 GMT
An active lib dem campaign just gifted a Tory landslide. Boris honeymoon still persists in ' aspirational ' areas like Coulby Newham . Labour need to get their shitshow back on the road quickly or we have 4 more years of Houchen's crap to put up with. I don't think you can blame the strong Lib Dem campaign- seems to me it mainly picked up the votes that many of us had expected to go to the Indies, especially Morrish. Either way it seems the voters weren't voting Labour, and even a single anti-Tory candidate would not have been enough. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Feb 21, 2020 10:30:35 GMT
If this is indeed what the winner Luke Mason looks like, then he reminds me of someone. Someone in another part of Yorkshire indeed Sorry, not getting this  |
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Post by london(ex)tory on Feb 21, 2020 10:31:25 GMT
An active lib dem campaign just gifted a Tory landslide. Boris honeymoon still persists in ' aspirational ' areas like Coulby Newham . Labour need to get their shitshow back on the road quickly or we have 4 more years of Houchen's crap to put up with. While it must be tempting to blame the lib dems, the responsibility for Labour's abject failure lies with labour and only labour. If you ever want to win the red wall back you should be hammering us on cost of living issues like boris' rumoured u-turn on fuel duty. But instead your leadership election has become a contest to see who's the biggest denier of basic human biology. And you wonder why your vote share implodes... |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 21, 2020 10:44:28 GMT
If this is indeed what the winner Luke Mason looks like, then he reminds me of someone. Someone in another part of Yorkshire indeed Sorry, not getting this Something jarred about his appearance. |
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