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Post by tonygreaves on Oct 30, 2019 16:48:45 GMT
Quite a good result for us - if you get 55% you cannot lose whatever happens to the other parties. But another result showing the Tories are going up in line with opinion polls. We ought to have been able to squeeze the Green vote better - perhaps it just stayed at home.
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Post by tonyhill on Oct 30, 2019 17:12:18 GMT
Warwick & Leamington 1968 was the first parliamentary by-election I was involved with. A group of my friends thought it would be a good idea to watch the sun rise from the top of the Castle mound in Cambridge while drinking a bottle of wine. After that experience I got in a clapped out van which someone drove to Warwick, and I somehow managed to avoid being sick until I got there. After Christmas I hitchhiked up there and spent a week canvassing. The day I came home I was waiting for a bus to take me back to Leamington station, freezing because a foot of snow had fallen overnight. A coach turns up and the driver opens the door and asks, "Anyone for Winchester?" But because I'd already planned how I was going to get home I shook my head, and drove off.
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Post by phil156 on Oct 30, 2019 18:35:31 GMT
Awaiting Andrews preview of tonight's Con defense of Windsor some unusual party's like The borough comes first & women's Equality parties
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 30, 2019 22:01:33 GMT
Awaiting Andrews preview of tonight's Con defense of Windsor some unusual party's like The borough comes first & women's Equality parties Why does everyone refer to this as Windsor when surely the Riverside ward is in the Maidenhead half of the Borough? So this must be more like the Con defence of Theresa's Maidenhead? |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 30, 2019 23:49:03 GMT
News from Maidenhead:
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 30, 2019 23:50:02 GMT
35% turnout, incidentally. 1,953 votes.
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
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Post by timmullen1 on Oct 31, 2019 0:00:00 GMT
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Post by iainbhx on Oct 31, 2019 0:11:02 GMT
Windsor Riverside
CON 794 41.0%
LDM 566 29.3%
TBF 428 22.6%
LAB 70 3.6%
GRN 60 3.1%
WEP 16. 0.8%
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Post by lancastrian on Oct 31, 2019 0:24:58 GMT
Not that close then.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Oct 31, 2019 7:54:48 GMT
A ‘three way split’ where the winner gets nearly twice the vote of the third party in the three way split! |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Oct 31, 2019 7:55:48 GMT
Windsor Riverside CON 794 41.0% LDM 566 29.3% TBF 428 22.6% LAB 70 3.6% GRN 60 3.1% WEP 16. 0.8% Changes since May Con + 5.6% LD +9.5% TBF -5.4% Lab -4% Green -5.9% |
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Post by thirdchill on Oct 31, 2019 8:30:58 GMT
Windsor Riverside CON 794 41.0% LDM 566 29.3% TBF 428 22.6% LAB 70 3.6% GRN 60 3.1% WEP 16. 0.8% Changes since May Con + 5.6% LD +9.5% TBF -5.4% Lab -4% Green -5.9% Solid performances for both Cons and LD. Labour were never in contention so this result hardly matters to them. Same with Greens. TBF definitely underperformed. |
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Post by andrew111 on Oct 31, 2019 9:07:24 GMT
Changes since May Con + 5.6% LD +9.5% TBF -5.4% Lab -4% Green -5.9% Solid performances for both Cons and LD. Labour were never in contention so this result hardly matters to them. Same with Greens. TBF definitely underperformed. Tbf was an ex Con Councillor as i recall so presumably had been splitting the Tory vote |
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 31, 2019 10:27:10 GMT
So simplifying (yes I do know there will be churn) the Tory took back the 5%+ from the TBF ex- Tory, while the LibDem took 9%+ from the combined Lab/Green vote. Pretty much as-you-were, really, and a bit disappointing but not unexpected.
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Post by Merseymike on Oct 31, 2019 17:11:26 GMT
This ward is seriously upmarket in parts
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Post by tonygreaves on Oct 31, 2019 19:24:58 GMT
Same pattern really. (Close 3-way split for bottom place though  ). More signs that we are able to squeeze both Lab and Green at present - could be important if it applies in the GE. I think this is a good result for us - I thought the fancy-party Indy might win. |
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Post by iainbhx on Oct 31, 2019 23:33:10 GMT
Bromsgrove South (Worcestershire) result:
CON: 40.2% (-0.3)
IND: 22.8% (+22.8)
LDEM: 18.7% (+13.7)
LAB: 18.3% (-32.2)
Conservative GAIN from Labour.
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Post by evergreenadam on Oct 31, 2019 23:40:22 GMT
Bromsgrove South (Worcestershire) result: CON: 40.2% (-0.3) IND: 22.8% (+22.8) LDEM: 18.7% (+13.7) LAB: 18.3% (-32.2) Conservative GAIN from Labour. Ind and Lib Dem doing very well but splitting anti Tory vote. |
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Post by Adam in Stroud on Oct 31, 2019 23:43:51 GMT
Bromsgrove South (Worcestershire) result: CON: 40.2% (-0.3) IND: 22.8% (+22.8) LDEM: 18.7% (+13.7) LAB: 18.3% (-32.2) Conservative GAIN from Labour. Ind and Lib Dem doing very well but splitting anti Tory vote. I was just wondering what sort of Indy she was - not much clue from Andrew's preview. Can't be sure her voters were potential LDs or Labour (or vice versa,) though it'd be nice to think this was a potential LD gain without the Indy |
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 31, 2019 23:44:43 GMT
Labour finishing fourth in a seat they were defending- they have had some pretty poor results lately but that is beyond anything, surely?
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). More signs that we are able to squeeze both Lab and Green at present - could be important if it applies in the GE. I think this is a good result for us - I thought the fancy-party Indy might win.