Quite a good result for us - if you get 55% you cannot lose whatever happens to the other parties. But another result showing the Tories are going up in line with opinion polls. We ought to have been able to squeeze the Green vote better - perhaps it just stayed at home.
Warwick & Leamington 1968 was the first parliamentary by-election I was involved with. A group of my friends thought it would be a good idea to watch the sun rise from the top of the Castle mound in Cambridge while drinking a bottle of wine. After that experience I got in a clapped out van which someone drove to Warwick, and I somehow managed to avoid being sick until I got there. After Christmas I hitchhiked up there and spent a week canvassing. The day I came home I was waiting for a bus to take me back to Leamington station, freezing because a foot of snow had fallen overnight. A coach turns up and the driver opens the door and asks, "Anyone for Winchester?" But because I'd already planned how I was going to get home I shook my head, and drove off.
So simplifying (yes I do know there will be churn) the Tory took back the 5%+ from the TBF ex- Tory, while the LibDem took 9%+ from the combined Lab/Green vote. Pretty much as-you-were, really, and a bit disappointing but not unexpected.
Same pattern really. (Close 3-way split for bottom place though ). More signs that we are able to squeeze both Lab and Green at present - could be important if it applies in the GE. I think this is a good result for us - I thought the fancy-party Indy might win.
Ind and Lib Dem doing very well but splitting anti Tory vote.
I was just wondering what sort of Indy she was - not much clue from Andrew's preview. Can't be sure her voters were potential LDs or Labour (or vice versa,) though it'd be nice to think this was a potential LD gain without the Indy