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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 24, 2019 22:39:59 GMT
DAVENTRY Abbey North
Lauryn Harrington-Carter (Conservative) 376
Alan Knape (Liberal Democrat) 280
Emily Carter (Labour) 262
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 24, 2019 22:40:48 GMT
WEST LINDSEY Torksey
Sarah Jane ELLIS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 378
Noel Joseph MULLALLY (Liberal Democrat) 346
Nicholas PEARSON (The Brexit Party) 299
Perry Peter SMITH (Labour Party) 37
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Post by Robert Waller on Oct 24, 2019 22:44:33 GMT
Coupe Green & Gregson Lane (South Ribble) result:
CON: 49.1% (-0.8)
IND: 38.5% (+38.5)
LDEM: 12.4% (+12.4)
Conservative HOLD.
No Labour (-32.0) and UKIP (-18.1) as prev.
Melksham Without South (Wiltshire) result:
CON: 60.4% (+5.1)
LDEM: 39.6% (+21.5)
Conservative HOLD.
No UKIP (-13.9) and Ind (-12.7) as prev.
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 24, 2019 22:48:26 GMT
DAVENTRY Abbey North Lauryn Harrington-Carter (Conservative) 376 Alan Knape (Liberal Democrat) 280 Emily Carter (Labour) 262 Sorry we weren't able to complete the double over Ms Harrington-Carter, but another pretty solid LD result, and an awful one for Labour -coming third when defending your own seat is never a good look. |
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Oct 24, 2019 22:50:08 GMT
I don't understand the comments that Llandrindod North is a Lib Dem gain from Con. I have in front of me copies of the Llandrindod North Notice of Poll and Declaration of Result of Poll from 4 May 2017 - and Gary price clearly stood as Plaid Cymru. There was no Conservative candidate in Llandrindod North back in 2017. So Llandrindod North is a Lib Dem gain from Plaid Cymru, sitting as an Independent. Interesting - haven't got quick access to the 2017 official notices, but every other source I have checked clearly has Price down as a Conservative at the time of the 2017 election. Can anybody else resolve this ? edit: Robert has sorted this to everyone's satisfaction, I think. Robert is correct. Gary Price used to be a member of Plaid Cymru. Not sure when he switched. He was the Conservative candidate for B&R in the 2016 Assembly Election. I seem to remember he was suspended as a councillor at some point between 2016 and 2017 too. Not that it matters now though. |
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Post by ElectionMapsUK on Oct 24, 2019 22:51:25 GMT
Fun fact
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Post by Deleted on Oct 24, 2019 22:56:19 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 24, 2019 22:56:30 GMT
DEVON Heavitree and Whipton Barton
Greg Sheldon (Labour) - 1032 - (31.9%)
John Harvey (Conservatives) - 992 (30.7%)
Rowena Squires (Liberal Democrats) - 576 - (17.8)
Lizzie Woodman (Green) - 563 - (17.4)
Frankie Rufolo (For Britain Movement) - 70 - (2.2%)
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 24, 2019 23:05:46 GMT
WEST LINDSEY Torksey Sarah Jane ELLIS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 378 Noel Joseph MULLALLY (Liberal Democrat) 346 Nicholas PEARSON (The Brexit Party) 299 Perry Peter SMITH (Labour Party) 37 Very disappointing to miss this one by 32 votes. That had been my banker for a big upset as it was a good campaign and with the Brexit Party also campaigning hard and splitting the vote I really saw the chance of an improbable LD gain in brexity Lincs. There are some consolations though - we rather do want a strong BxP campaign against the Tories, so giving them a bit of encouragement may not be altogether a bad thing.  |
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Post by bjornhattan on Oct 24, 2019 23:07:42 GMT
DEVON Heavitree and Whipton Barton Greg Sheldon (Labour) - 1032 - (31.9%) John Harvey (Conservatives) - 992 (30.7%) Rowena Squires (Liberal Democrats) - 576 - (17.8) Lizzie Woodman (Green) - 563 - (17.4) Frankie Rufolo (For Britain Movement) - 70 - (2.2%) I can't help but feel that's an awful result for Labour - obviously the left wing vote is split, but if the Tories are able to challenge strongly in a fairly typical part of Exeter, that should set alarm bells ringing. Demographically one would expect this to be the sort of place Labour should do well (especially Heavitree). |
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Post by lancastrian on Oct 24, 2019 23:20:51 GMT
DEVON Heavitree and Whipton Barton Greg Sheldon (Labour) - 1032 - (31.9%) John Harvey (Conservatives) - 992 (30.7%) Rowena Squires (Liberal Democrats) - 576 - (17.8) Lizzie Woodman (Green) - 563 - (17.4) Frankie Rufolo (For Britain Movement) - 70 - (2.2%) I can't help but feel that's an awful result for Labour - obviously the left wing vote is split, but if the Tories are able to challenge strongly in a fairly typical part of Exeter, that should set alarm bells ringing. Demographically one would expect this to be the sort of place Labour should do well (especially Heavitree). The Tory vote is practically unchanged (actually down very slightly from 31.4% last time). All that's happened is the left wing split. Exeter was one of the best Green performances in the Euros, and at just 12% must have been one of Labour's worst for an area mostly represented by a Labour MP. |
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Post by yellowperil on Oct 24, 2019 23:37:37 GMT
I would have been canvassing for Labour in the 1950s in this area but I guess the demographics have changed a lot in that time! I'm encouraged by a better than expected Lib Dem performnce- I didn't epect them to beat the Greens for third place here. Usually the Labour machine in Exeter is pretty formidable, so this weak performance probably means that the voters in this part of Exeter have been really turned off Labour and quite a few are voting LD, I guess on the Brexit issue.
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Post by listener on Oct 25, 2019 0:21:50 GMT
Labour fielded only 5 candidates for the 8 by-elections this week. They did not contest Torksey in May 2019 and they were unopposed in Bagillt West in 2017.
So there are only three seats where the vote share can be compared.
I make Lab down by 11.4% in Abbey North (last contested in 2018), down by 19.4% in Heavitree and Barton Whipton (last contested in 2017) and up by 1.1% in Llandrindod North (last contested in 2017).
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Post by ideal4radio on Oct 25, 2019 0:47:16 GMT
So, 4 Con. holds, 1 Con. gain ( from Lab ), 2 Lab. holds and a Lib.Dem gain ( from Con, sitting as Ind ) .... I don't think there's much here to convince Labour to take up Mr Johnson's offer of an early election. Losing 20% of it's vote share to other left leaning parties in a strong Labour area of Exeter, and a swing of over 12% Lab. to Con. in Daventry, doesn't suggest the great British public are quite ready to carry Mr Corbyn and his cohorts shoulder high into the Palaces of the mighty just yet ... |
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Post by andrewp on Oct 25, 2019 6:52:12 GMT
I think that’s an awful result for Labour in Exeter. Vote share down 20% on a baseline of the poor year of 2017. Exeter Labour have an excellent campaigning machine usually.
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Post by andrewp on Oct 25, 2019 6:53:42 GMT
I can't help but feel that's an awful result for Labour - obviously the left wing vote is split, but if the Tories are able to challenge strongly in a fairly typical part of Exeter, that should set alarm bells ringing. Demographically one would expect this to be the sort of place Labour should do well (especially Heavitree). The Tory vote is practically unchanged (actually down very slightly from 31.4% last time). All that's happened is the left wing split. Exeter was one of the best Green performances in the Euros, and at just 12% must have been one of Labour's worst for an area mostly represented by a Labour MP. If the Tory vote stays unchanged in a GE, and the left vote splinters, that’s all it needs for a big Tory majority! I don’t think that is what will happen |
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Post by andrewp on Oct 25, 2019 6:56:24 GMT
WEST LINDSEY Torksey Sarah Jane ELLIS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 378 Noel Joseph MULLALLY (Liberal Democrat) 346 Nicholas PEARSON (The Brexit Party) 299 Perry Peter SMITH (Labour Party) 37 Very disappointing to miss this one by 32 votes. That had been my banker for a big upset as it was a good campaign and with the Brexit Party also campaigning hard and splitting the vote I really saw the chance of an improbable LD gain in brexity Lincs. There are some consolations though - we rather do want a strong BxP campaign against the Tories, so giving them a bit of encouragement may not be altogether a bad thing. I thought you would win this one too, I think if someone had said that the Brexit party would get 28%, many would have thought that would have led to a Lib Dem gain. |
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Post by Mike Drew on Oct 25, 2019 7:22:54 GMT
I think that’s an awful result for Labour in Exeter. Vote share down 20% on a baseline of the poor year of 2017. Exeter Labour have an excellent campaigning machine usually. It is Labour’s Brexit position(s) that has demotivated Labour activist. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 25, 2019 7:32:33 GMT
I seem to remember both the Tories & the Liberal Party winning in Heavitree in the not too distant past. Labour's strongest areas in Exeter tend to be on the other side of the city, though they have no genuinely weak wards in th constituency now. The Conservatives won Heavitree (which had previously been a safe Liberal ward) very narrowly over Labour in the delayed elections of September 2010 after which it has been fairly reliably Labour. Whipton & Barton though has always been a very safe Labour ward. So presumably the Conservatives were quite well ahead in Heavitree yestrerday |
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Post by Tony Otim on Oct 25, 2019 7:51:22 GMT
I seem to remember both the Tories & the Liberal Party winning in Heavitree in the not too distant past. Labour's strongest areas in Exeter tend to be on the other side of the city, though they have no genuinely weak wards in th constituency now. The Conservatives won Heavitree (which had previously been a safe Liberal ward) very narrowly over Labour in the delayed elections of September 2010 after which it has been fairly reliably Labour. Whipton & Barton though has always been a very safe Labour ward. So presumably the Conservatives were quite well ahead in Heavitree yestrerday That would be quite different from the way the 5 wards that are partially in this division voted in May. Heavitree was Lab from the Greens with the Conservatives further back. St Loyes was won by the Conservatives and they came very close in Pinhoe. UKIP came second in Mincinglake and Whipton with the Conservatives a close third. |
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