|
|
Post by andrewp on Oct 24, 2019 8:19:40 GMT
Certainly the prediction competitors here are divided - out of the 14 taking part, 10 have it down as a Tory gain from Labour. The other 4 have it down as a Lib Dem gain! Not a single one goes for a Labour hold. That probably owes something to the LD gain from the Tories in July in a rather different part of Daventry. I changed my mind and have gone for a Lib Dem gain. Anything could happen though. The Tory candidate lost another by election a few months ago, but she is on home turf this time. I think any of the 3 could win it. . I think the only one of this weeks 8 elections that I would bet on the result on is Exeter. I could see 5 Lib Dem gains or zero Lib Dem gains. |
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,902
|
Post by Tony Otim on Oct 24, 2019 8:26:51 GMT
Certainly the prediction competitors here are divided - out of the 14 taking part, 10 have it down as a Tory gain from Labour. The other 4 have it down as a Lib Dem gain! Not a single one goes for a Labour hold. That probably owes something to the LD gain from the Tories in July in a rather different part of Daventry. I changed my mind and have gone for a Lib Dem gain. Anything could happen though. The Tory candidate lost another by election a few months ago, but she is on home turf this time. I think any of the 3 could win it. . I think the only one of this weeks 8 elections that I would bet on the result on is Exeter. I could see 5 Lib Dem gains or zero Lib Dem gains. The real wildcard is Flintshire - I think we've all gone for a relatively even split (under 60-40), but potentially could go hugely one way or the other. |
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Oct 24, 2019 17:39:38 GMT
Even more splendid than usual! Thank you, Andrew. |
|
|
|
Post by olympian95 on Oct 24, 2019 21:40:41 GMT
LD gain in Llandrindod
|
|
|
|
Post by iainbhx on Oct 24, 2019 21:43:14 GMT
I am told. Lib Dem 226 Conservative 164 Labour 89 |
|
|
|
Post by andrewp on Oct 24, 2019 21:43:24 GMT
Some of us may have noted that the Tory candidate there lived a fair way away. Rural mid wales strikes me as the sort of place where that matters! |
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 24, 2019 21:44:33 GMT
Melksham Without South turnout 24.78%
|
|
|
|
Post by iainbhx on Oct 24, 2019 21:45:14 GMT
Some of us may have noted that the Tory candidate there lived a fair way away. Rural mid wales strikes me as the sort of place where that matters! So did the LibDem candidate to be fair, but he didn't live in Builth. |
|
Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
|
Post by Chris from Brum on Oct 24, 2019 21:45:26 GMT
Some of us may have noted that the Tory candidate there lived a fair way away. Rural mid wales strikes me as the sort of place where that matters! Maybe, but the last time we stood there we got 21 votes. Still have to put the effort in. |
|
|
|
Post by andrewp on Oct 24, 2019 21:45:37 GMT
Bagillt West is a Labour hold with 63%
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 24, 2019 21:49:25 GMT
POWYS Newtown South
Les Skilton (Con) 134
Kelly Healy (Lib Dem) 110
Richard Edwards (Plaid Cymru) 64
|
|
Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
|
Post by Chris from Brum on Oct 24, 2019 21:50:42 GMT
POWYS Newtown South Les Skilton (Con) 134 Kelly Healy (Lib Dem) 110 Richard Edwards (Plaid Cymru) 64 Disappointing for Plaid, considering they were second last time. |
|
|
|
Post by Adam in Stroud on Oct 24, 2019 21:51:35 GMT
Couple of encouraging results for LDs in the Brecon and Radnorshire constituency, then.
|
|
Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
|
Post by Chris from Brum on Oct 24, 2019 21:52:35 GMT
Couple of encouraging results for LDs in the Brecon and Radnorshire constituency, then. Newtown is in Montgomeryshire. |
|
|
|
Post by andrewteale on Oct 24, 2019 21:52:51 GMT
Some of us may have noted that the Tory candidate there lived a fair way away. Rural mid wales strikes me as the sort of place where that matters! The Tory candidate lives in Builth Wells, the Lib Dem in Abbeycwmhir which is even further away from Llandrindod. |
|
|
|
Post by andrewp on Oct 24, 2019 21:52:54 GMT
Couple of encouraging results for LDs in the Brecon and Radnorshire constituency, then. Newtown is in Montgomeryshire constituency |
|
Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
|
Post by Chris from Brum on Oct 24, 2019 21:54:43 GMT
Some of us may have noted that the Tory candidate there lived a fair way away. Rural mid wales strikes me as the sort of place where that matters! The Tory candidate lives in Builth Wells, the Lib Dem in Abbeycwmhir which is even further away from Llandrindod. But is in Radnorshire (like Llandrindod) rather than Brecknockshire, historically speaking. "Poor Radnorsheer, poor Radnorsheer, Never a park, and never a deer, Never a squire of five hundred a year, Save Richard Fowler of Abbey-Cwm-hir" |
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 24, 2019 21:55:07 GMT
FLINTSHIRE Bagillt West
Kevin RUSH (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) 251
David Eric STANLEY (Independent / Annibynnol) 144
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 24, 2019 21:56:41 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by Adam in Stroud on Oct 24, 2019 21:56:52 GMT
Couple of encouraging results for LDs in the Brecon and Radnorshire constituency, then. Newtown is in Montgomeryshire. Thanks, failed to spot that. I'll change that to: couple of encouraging results in Mid-Wales then! |
|
