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Post by willpower3 on Apr 19, 2022 19:10:10 GMT
Strange definition of 'wide majority' he's got there.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on Apr 19, 2022 21:01:24 GMT
It's an altogether strange analysis, tbh...
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jamie
Top Poster
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Post by jamie on Jul 13, 2022 10:50:42 GMT
Interesting segment analysis of 2019 Conservative voters. It sounds an obvious thing to say, but it seems they are not losing really any support among their core voters but rather their cross-pressured voters, especially the more communitarian ones whose big swing in 2019 has been more than completely reversed.
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Post by andrew111 on Jul 18, 2022 17:10:55 GMT
It is a bit hard to believe there is a group (let alone "Established Liberals") where only 5% think the world is becoming a more dangerous place??
Otherwise quite interesting, and Labour is losing support among "Progressive Activists", probably mostly to the Greens. It backs up the "Red Wall" polling. Would be interesting to see all the other Parties though.
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Dec 6, 2022 21:04:25 GMT
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Dec 23, 2022 18:52:42 GMT
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Post by aargauer on Dec 23, 2022 20:13:32 GMT
Interesting segment analysis of 2019 Conservative voters. It sounds an obvious thing to say, but it seems they are not losing really any support among their core voters but rather their cross-pressured voters, especially the more communitarian ones whose big swing in 2019 has been more than completely reversed. Id see myself as a core voter and if the election was tomorrow I wouldn't vote. What's the point knocking on doors for lowering taxes then to have the tories raise them? Incidentally - Luke Tryl is a name I haven't heard in a long time. Was President of the Oxford Union when I was there. |
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Post by andrewp on Jan 5, 2023 13:55:40 GMT
In the Sunday Times this weekend, there was a big article of polling. The source of which seems to be a MRP poll conducted in October which found 20-30% of people are ‘ undecided’
They then pick 4 constituencies where the amount of undecided voters give the Tories hope. Aldridge Brownhills, Boston and Skegness, Plymouth Moor View and Bognor Regis and Littlehampton. Describing the Tories as having’ hope’ in Aldridge Brownhills.
Boston and Skegness is the 2nd safest Tory seat FFS and if they are having ‘ hope’ in Aldridge Brownhills then they don’t have much hope elsewhere.
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Post by woollyliberal on Jan 5, 2023 16:36:27 GMT
Interesting segment analysis of 2019 Conservative voters. It sounds an obvious thing to say, but it seems they are not losing really any support among their core voters but rather their cross-pressured voters, especially the more communitarian ones whose big swing in 2019 has been more than completely reversed. That's an interesting set of charts. Hard Lefties have moved away from Labour but still don't like the Tories Other Labour supporting groups haven't changed their minds much The blue wall has swung away from the Tories towards Labour The red wall has swung massively from the Tories towards Labour Support for the Tories from Tory voters has waned slightly but not to Labour. Conclusion? Tory heartlands might be OK but the red and blue walls are going to be bad. |
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Post by andrewp on Mar 18, 2023 14:57:32 GMT
I think 12 different companies have conducted at least 1 poll in March 2023. The average of those 12 polls is
Lab 46.6%
Con 27.4%
LD 8.5%
I thought I would compare that to the equivalent point in the 1992-97 parliament which was July 1995. The average of the 8 polls taken in that month was
Lab 54.7%
Con 27.4%
LD 13.4%
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Post by woollyliberal on Apr 16, 2023 21:32:06 GMT
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Post by michaelarden on Apr 17, 2023 9:54:11 GMT
Apparently specialists in understanding opinion in the North of England from the comfort of their office in N1. |
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Post by grahammurray on Apr 17, 2023 10:02:59 GMT
Apparently specialists in understanding opinion in the North of England from the comfort of their office in N1. To some people N1 is in the north. I once met someone from Kensington whose furthest foray north had been to Camden Square. |
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Post by andrewp on Apr 18, 2023 13:42:29 GMT
I think 12 different companies have conducted at least 1 poll in March 2023. The average of those 12 polls is Lab 46.6% Con 27.4% LD 8.5% I thought I would compare that to the equivalent point in the 1992-97 parliament which was July 1995. The average of the 8 polls taken in that month was Lab 54.7% Con 27.4% LD 13.4% So far 9 pollsters have conducted a poll in April. The average of the last poll from each company is Lab 44.4% Con 28.1% LD 9.5% Ref 6.1% Green 4.6% The average Labour poll lead in March was 19.2%. The average in April so far is 16.3% |
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bigfatron
Lib Dem
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Post by bigfatron on Apr 18, 2023 14:06:50 GMT
Interesting that though the Labour - Tory average gap is down nearly three percent, most of that is down to a drop in Labour support rather than an increase in Tory VI.
It kind of puts a bit of a puncture in the ‘Tory revival’ nonsense being peddled by the Express etc…
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nodealbrexiteer
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non aligned favour no deal brexit!
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Post by nodealbrexiteer on May 24, 2023 10:46:35 GMT
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Post by andrewp on May 25, 2023 21:14:32 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 26, 2023 3:36:50 GMT
You’re unable to view this Tweet because this account owner limits who can view their Tweets. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on May 26, 2023 13:58:45 GMT
That wasn't the case yesterday, the account in question is a very good one and I hope it becomes available to all again soon. EDIT: and now it is  |
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Post by andrewp on Aug 2, 2023 16:49:04 GMT
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