nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,456
|
Post by nodealbrexiteer on Jul 23, 2021 10:55:26 GMT
|
|
nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,456
|
Post by nodealbrexiteer on Jul 25, 2021 13:36:31 GMT
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Jul 27, 2021 8:21:49 GMT
|
|
Merseymike
Independent
Posts: 40,519
Member is Online
|
Post by Merseymike on Jul 27, 2021 8:32:59 GMT
Wouldn't be at all surprising. But still a long time until an election. What sort of figures would indicate hung parliament territory? |
|
|
|
Post by hullenedge on Jul 27, 2021 8:33:01 GMT
To be fair the previous dip in Labour's ratings was mainly caused by 2019 Labour voters 'switching off' rather than 'switching over'. |
|
Merseymike
Independent
Posts: 40,519
Member is Online
|
Post by Merseymike on Jul 27, 2021 8:35:36 GMT
Also, shaky Tories do have a habit of returning to the fold - or voting LibDem.
I still think the position of the LibDems will be more important than often discussed in terms of how many seats Labour end up with.
|
|
|
|
Post by hullenedge on Jul 27, 2021 8:37:03 GMT
Wouldn't be at all surprising. But still a long time until an election. What sort of figures would indicate hung parliament territory? Depends upon boundary changes, unwind of the 2019 Brexit vote, differential turnout etc but it's not impossible that a 2% Con lead at the next election would produce a small overall majority. Equally if there's widespread anti-Con tactical voting and a substantial replacement for the Brexit Party a 5-6% lead could be required for a majority. |
|
nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,456
|
Post by nodealbrexiteer on Jul 27, 2021 10:25:22 GMT
Wouldn't be at all surprising. But still a long time until an election. What sort of figures would indicate hung parliament territory? Depends upon boundary changes, unwind of the 2019 Brexit vote, differential turnout etc but it's not impossible that a 2% Con lead at the next election would produce a small overall majority. Equally if there's widespread anti-Con tactical voting and a substantial replacement for the Brexit Party a 5-6% lead could be required for a majority. Current boundaries and UNS require 4.7% Con lead so this is entirely feasible |
|
|
|
Post by hullenedge on Jul 28, 2021 15:49:37 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by hullenedge on Aug 27, 2021 8:58:12 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by hullenedge on Aug 30, 2021 14:37:04 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by andrew111 on Aug 30, 2021 21:15:09 GMT
That is quite an impressive trend line for Starmer. At least he knows it can't go on like that forever |
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,913
|
Post by Tony Otim on Aug 30, 2021 21:26:27 GMT
It's interesting that both are becoming more unpopular at the same time...
|
|
|
|
Post by andrew111 on Aug 31, 2021 8:06:27 GMT
It's interesting that both are becoming more unpopular at the same time... Tory press has turned on the govt, but they don't give any credit to Labour. I was astonished to see Layla Moran quoted in a lengthy article in the Mail calling on Raab to resign! |
|
|
|
Post by hullenedge on Oct 17, 2021 11:45:34 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by hullenedge on Oct 19, 2021 15:02:54 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Oct 19, 2021 15:23:22 GMT
Not sure how they arrive at this figure. Average of last 10 polls is Tory lead of 5%. One poll has put the lead at 1% and all the others are higher. |
|
|
|
Post by hullenedge on Oct 19, 2021 15:35:01 GMT
Not sure how they arrive at this figure. Average of last 10 polls is Tory lead of 5%. One poll has put the lead at 1% and all the others are higher. It's their model and the code has been released within the thread. They are getting some stick for not listing the Greens and other parties. |
|
|
|
Post by london(ex)tory on Oct 19, 2021 19:36:47 GMT
Not sure how they arrive at this figure. Average of last 10 polls is Tory lead of 5%. One poll has put the lead at 1% and all the others are higher. Also that Labour lead they’re showing at the end of last year is clearly bollocks - yes the gap narrowed pre-vaccine bounce but Labour did not take a clear and sustained lead before the Tory lead reopened. |
|
nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,456
|
Post by nodealbrexiteer on Oct 22, 2021 8:55:15 GMT
|
|
