jamie
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Post by jamie on Dec 7, 2019 13:30:23 GMT
Well on their Twitter account the author has acknowledged Labour needs to do better with leave voters than at present to have any hope of a repeat  Tbf Labour are doing as well with Leave voters as the Tories are with Remain voters. But they only win 1/2 Remain voters compared to the Tories winning 3/4 of Leave voters. |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 7, 2019 13:44:07 GMT
And indeed in 2015 the exit poll didn't predict an outright Tory majority? No, but a few results in - and Sir John's bit about them being cautious on it being a hung parliament or majority - suggested the way the wind was blowing. Of course, the exit poll suggested a second Green seat in Norwich too!
Weirdly, the memory cheats. I was watching the election night coverage of 2015 yesterday from the Beeb and my memory was it had far more on screen declarations than usual. In fact, its less than 2005!
Of course it was the election in between - 2010 - when the BBC's coverage really went to s***. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 7, 2019 13:51:28 GMT
Some polls have tories on 3/4 of leave vote which seems unlikely
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 7, 2019 13:51:55 GMT
No, but a few results in - and Sir John's bit about them being cautious on it being a hung parliament or majority - suggested the way the wind was blowing. Of course, the exit poll suggested a second Green seat in Norwich too!
Weirdly, the memory cheats. I was watching the election night coverage of 2015 yesterday from the Beeb and my memory was it had far more on screen declarations than usual. In fact, its less than 2005!
Of course it was the election in between - 2010 - when the BBC's coverage really went to s***. Was that the one with Andrew Neil on the boat with all the stupid celebs and when Jeremy Vine did his cringeworthy cowboy routine ? |
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msc
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Post by msc on Dec 7, 2019 13:52:34 GMT
No, but a few results in - and Sir John's bit about them being cautious on it being a hung parliament or majority - suggested the way the wind was blowing. Of course, the exit poll suggested a second Green seat in Norwich too!
Weirdly, the memory cheats. I was watching the election night coverage of 2015 yesterday from the Beeb and my memory was it had far more on screen declarations than usual. In fact, its less than 2005!
Of course it was the election in between - 2010 - when the BBC's coverage really went to s***.
The 2010 coverage had the voyage of the damned itself in that election boat. Why have stats and declarations when you can have Joan Collins waffling drunkenly about David Cameron?  |
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Vibe
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Post by Vibe on Dec 7, 2019 14:15:24 GMT
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Vibe
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Post by Vibe on Dec 7, 2019 14:19:25 GMT
Of course it was the election in between - 2010 - when the BBC's coverage really went to s***.
The 2010 coverage had the voyage of the damned itself in that election boat. Why have stats and declarations when you can have Joan Collins waffling drunkenly about David Cameron? Could have been worse, they could have had John Bercow doing the commentary 😆 |
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 7, 2019 14:22:23 GMT
And its not like 2010 was a dull election where little happened.....
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Post by andrewp on Dec 11, 2019 21:14:36 GMT
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Post by evergreenadam on Dec 11, 2019 21:23:48 GMT
Who was most accurate in 2017?
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minionofmidas
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only here for the boundary review
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Post by minionofmidas on Dec 11, 2019 21:32:06 GMT
Who was most accurate in 2017? Tie between Survation (C +1) and SurveyMonkey (C +4) acc'd to wikipedia.
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Post by evergreenadam on Dec 11, 2019 21:40:10 GMT
Who was most accurate in 2017? Tie between Survation (C +1) and SurveyMonkey (C +4) acc'd to wikipedia.
Ok so Survation’s final poll is yet to come. |
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Post by archaeologist on Dec 11, 2019 21:44:54 GMT
The 2017 Survation poll was done by telephone rather than online, and methodology will have changed. We can't assume it will be the most accurate this time. In 2015, Survation had an unpublished telephone poll that was also the most accurate, closely followed by ComRes. Their 2015 online poll was the least accurate for that election.
We simply can't know which will be the most accurate until Friday morning.
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