|
|
Post by andrew111 on Aug 2, 2019 11:26:56 GMT
I have my computer back but much catching up to do. Huntingdonshire, Godmanchester & Hemingford Abotts - Liberal Democrat hold | Party | 2019 votes | 2019 share | since 2018 "top" | since 2019 "average" | | Liberal Democrat | 929 | 48.2% | -3.7% | -3.5% | Conservative | 666 | 34.5% | +0.7% | +2.9% | Independent | 333 | 17.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Labour |
|
| -14.2% | -16.6% | Total votes | 1,928 |
| 72% | 84% |
Swing Liberal Democrat to Conservative 2¼% / 3¼% since 2018 Council now 30 Conservative, 10 Independent Group, 7 Liberal Democrat, 4 Labour, 1 Independent Stockport, Hazel Grove - Liberal Democrat hold | Party | 2019 B votes | 2019 B share | since 2019 | since 2018 | since 2016 | since 2015 | | Liberal Democrat | 1,401 | 45.7% | -2.0% | +1.6% | +6.7% | +17.5% | Conservative | 1,194 | 38.9% | +9.6% | -1.6% | +6.2% | +0.3% | Labour | 329 | 10.7% | -0.2% | -1.7% | -3.2% | -5.1% | Green | 142 | 4.6% | +0.3% | +1.7% | +2.0% | +0.9% | UKIP |
|
| -7.7% |
| -11.7% | -13.5% | Total votes | 3,066 |
| 73% | 69% | 67% | 40% |
Swing Liberal Democrat to Conservative ~ 5¾% since May, but Conservative to Liberal Democrat ~ 1½% since 2018, ¼% since 2016 and 8½% since 2015 Council now 26 Labour, 26 Liberal Democrat, 8 Conservative, 3 Independent Ratepayers Thanks for the effort you put into this site MiddleEnglander. It is appreciated |
|
steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
|
Post by steve on Aug 3, 2019 9:30:40 GMT
Some interesting Lib Dem/ Conservative results this week. The Conservatives doing a bit better than in recent weeks. Boris bounce or just the way the elections have fallen? A decent swing to the Conservatives in Hazel Grove- doesn’t strike me as the sort of the place the Conservatives would do well at the moment but their candidate was an ex councillor for the ward and lived locally. The Lib Dem lived a little way away A slight swing to the Conservatives in Huntingdonshire. And then of course a decent Lib Dem gain in Brecon and Radnorshire. Not a mammoth swing by by election standards. An interesting test of what happens when the MP subject to a recall position stands again. I think Chris Davies has more of the back story that fits the constituency than Jane Dodds and minimised his defeat. Bar the expenses issue he might have been difficult for the Lib Dem’s to shift here, and it will be interesting if he stands again at the GE- which could of course be very soon. A possibility that Jane Dodds might only sit in parliament for a few weeks. I think that it proves that an MP in a very safe seat with an expenses issue and subject to a recall position would win a by election. Would a Brexit Alliance have won the seat- quite possibly. The timing of the GE may have an impact on the outcome here. Will Dodds have time to dig herself in. Worth noting her initial majority is actually bigger than that of her two Lib Dem predecessors who both went on to be re-elected. As for a Brexit alliance there are Conservative voters who would be repelled by linking up with Farage so there would be no guarantee that the sum of the two parts would be as great as that achieved by the two parties running separate candidates. |
|
