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Post by ElectionMapsUK on Jul 11, 2019 23:20:56 GMT
Boy am I glad I entered the prediction competition this week XD
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823 
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 11, 2019 23:23:19 GMT
This has the other Independents:
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yorkshireluke
Lib Dem
I run @polmapsinfoUK, @YorkshireElects and /r/PoliticalMaps/
Posts: 776
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Post by yorkshireluke on Jul 11, 2019 23:35:45 GMT
Knew we had that in the bag ever since other York Lib Dem members went over to help. We only ever help when we know we have a good chance and there's nothing the York Lib Dem Campaign team do better than gain Tory seats.
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 11, 2019 23:41:07 GMT
This has the other Independents: Note also, UKIP and YP were presumably transposed in the earlier post by olympian95 |
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J.G.Harston
Lib Dem
Leave-voting Brexit-supporting Liberal Democrat
Posts: 14,774
Member is Online
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Post by J.G.Harston on Jul 11, 2019 23:47:01 GMT
My thoughts exactly! I'd been ignoring the deluge of emails "come and help us get the biggest swing in history" dismissing them as normal LibDem hyperbole. |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 12, 2019 0:00:25 GMT
This has the other Independents: Note also, UKIP and YP were presumably transposed in the earlier post by olympian95I don’t know if olympian95 has a better source than me, I just found Cllr Langley through Twitter’s search function, so as I don’t know him I wouldn’t bet my house on his accuracy. |
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obsie
Non-Aligned
Posts: 862
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Post by obsie on Jul 12, 2019 0:01:38 GMT
Lib Dem Mike Heslop-Mullens 1308 Cons 815 Yorkshire Party 349 Ind 259 UKIP 196 Lab 135 Change from 2 May Lib Dem +43% Cons -44% Lab -25% I believe that on what used to be called Boothroyd Swing  back in the days of uk.politics.electoral, that would represent a 9.2 swing to Labour. |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 12, 2019 5:52:02 GMT
This has the other Independents: Worth pointing out that the candidate with the fewest votes of all is a former incumbent councillor.... |
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Yorkie
Yorkshire Party
Posts: 180
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Post by Yorkie on Jul 12, 2019 6:29:05 GMT
Note also, UKIP and YP were presumably transposed in the earlier post by olympian95I don’t know if olympian95 has a better source than me, I just found Cllr Langley through Twitter’s search function, so as I don’t know him I wouldn’t bet my house on his accuracy. His post is wrong - YP in third on 11%. UKIP 4th on 6%. |
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Post by iainbhx on Jul 12, 2019 6:32:21 GMT
Worth pointing out that the candidate with the fewest votes of all is a former incumbent councillor.... It makes you wonder what she did during her period of office? That's not just the vote of a former councillor who had delusions of their personal vote level. That's "we really didn't like her" levels. |
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Post by Adam in Stroud on Jul 12, 2019 6:32:30 GMT
Note also, UKIP and YP were presumably transposed in the earlier post by olympian95 I don’t know if olympian95 has a better source than me, I just found Cllr Langley through Twitter’s search function, so as I don’t know him I wouldn’t bet my house on his accuracy. BritainElects has it the other way round, which seems to me more credible in current conditions than UKIP pushing towards 11% from a standing start, given their current travails. Perhaps Yorkie can confirm the Yorkshire Party share? EDIT - now done! Thanks Yorkie |
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Post by andrewp on Jul 12, 2019 6:35:13 GMT
Unless they have won a previous by election, I think that’s the first Lib Dem elected in Bridlington since 1991
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Post by andrewp on Jul 12, 2019 6:36:56 GMT
Worth pointing out that the candidate with the fewest votes of all is a former incumbent councillor.... It makes you wonder what she did during her period of office? That's not just the vote of a former councillor who had delusions of their personal vote level. That's "we really didn't like her" levels. She was elected as a UKIP candidate though, so perhaps it had been a 2015 we are voting for UKIP and we couldn’t care less who the candidate is |
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Yaffles
Non-Aligned
Posts: 520
Member is Online
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Post by Yaffles on Jul 12, 2019 7:36:30 GMT
Lib Dem Mike Heslop-Mullens 1308 Cons 815 Yorkshire Party 349 Ind 259 UKIP 196 Lab 135 Change from 2 May Lib Dem +43% Cons -44% Lab -25% Quite the result - does this lead us to the conclusion that only 4% of the good folk of Bridlington are Trot apologists for anti-semitism? |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 12, 2019 7:41:13 GMT
Lib Dem Mike Heslop-Mullens 1308 Cons 815 Yorkshire Party 349 Ind 259 UKIP 196 Lab 135 Change from 2 May Lib Dem +43% Cons -44% Lab -25% Quite the result - does this lead us to the conclusion that only 4% of the good folk of Bridlington are Trot apologists for anti-semitism? no |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jul 12, 2019 7:42:02 GMT
Lib Dem Mike Heslop-Mullens 1308 Cons 815 Yorkshire Party 349 Ind 259 UKIP 196 Lab 135 Change from 2 May Lib Dem +43% Cons -44% Lab -25% Quite the result - does this lead us to the conclusion that only 4% of the good folk of Bridlington are Trot apologists for anti-semitism? It leads me to the conclusion that we should have been standing here more recently than 2007. But seriously, Labour have lost 6/7ths of their vote since May. I'd love to hear the positive spin on that. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 12, 2019 7:44:50 GMT
Quite the result - does this lead us to the conclusion that only 4% of the good folk of Bridlington are Trot apologists for anti-semitism? It leads me to the conclusion that we should have been standing here more recently than 2007. But seriously, Labour have lost 6/7ths of their vote since May. I'd love to hear the positive spin on that. 2 parties stood |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 12, 2019 7:57:56 GMT
It doesn't need spin. The May result had a very restricted number of candidates and was not an accurate reflection of real Labour (or indeed Conservative) strength if a multi-party field of candidates had been available.
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jul 12, 2019 7:58:52 GMT
It leads me to the conclusion that we should have been standing here more recently than 2007. But seriously, Labour have lost 6/7ths of their vote since May. I'd love to hear the positive spin on that. 2 parties stood Nice try, but Labour should, on the face of it, have been the leading challenger. Not being beaten into fifth place by the Yorkshire Party and bloody UKIP. |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jul 12, 2019 7:59:35 GMT
It doesn't need spin. The May result had a very restricted number of candidates and was not an accurate reflection of real Labour (or indeed Conservative) strength if a multi-party field of candidates had been available. See my response to priceofdawn. |
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back in the days of uk.politics.electoral, that would represent a 9.2 swing to Labour.
