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Post by greenchristian on Jul 5, 2019 16:27:22 GMT
That's another win for us with a candidate listed under "also standing" in Andrew's Previews; last time it was from Labour in Merton, now from Conservatives in Wiltshire. It is getting harder to predict these things, other than a consistent swing away from Con and Lab where there are alternatives. And yet 6 of 13 people in the prediction competition did predict precisely that outcome and Trowbridge has been a very longstanding area of Lib Dem strength. Not that it isn't a good result for your party, it obviously is, but hardly the kind of unthinkable result implied by Andrew's preview (if that is indeed what was implied) I always assume that the "also standing" candidates are ones that Andrew hasn't found anything interesting to say about, rather than it implying anything about their chances. |
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Post by spirit on Jul 5, 2019 16:49:07 GMT
It's all a bit fishy to me. A fish called Rhondda? That's a chip shop in Treorchy. |
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Post by andrewteale on Jul 5, 2019 17:25:49 GMT
And yet 6 of 13 people in the prediction competition did predict precisely that outcome and Trowbridge has been a very longstanding area of Lib Dem strength. Not that it isn't a good result for your party, it obviously is, but hardly the kind of unthinkable result implied by Andrew's preview (if that is indeed what was implied) I always assume that the "also standing" candidates are ones that Andrew hasn't found anything interesting to say about, rather than it implying anything about their chances. Unless there's a good reason not to do so, a party will go on the 'also standing' list if they didn't reach a certain threshold last time out. The threshold varies depending how fragmented the last result was. It's a crude metric but works most of the time. |
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Jul 5, 2019 18:35:20 GMT
It's a strange name, but it's been the name for the ward for a long time. Perhaps it's time to change it, but is there a real need? There's an apt comment above. Just because this is in RCTCBC, doesn't mean there is no Conservative vote. Certain southern parts of the authority are very much middle-class Cardiff commuter land. Just look at the map posted above. That is a commendable PC result with a very good uptick. Should have make you think harder about B&C. Our unchanged hold on our vote was a sound result. Wherever the seat is deemed to be! |
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Post by yellowperil on Jul 5, 2019 21:00:34 GMT
It's a strange name, but it's been the name for the ward for a long time. Perhaps it's time to change it, but is there a real need? There's an apt comment above. Just because this is in RCTCBC, doesn't mean there is no Conservative vote. Certain southern parts of the authority are very much middle-class Cardiff commuter land. Just look at the map posted above. That is a commendable PC result with a very good uptick. Should have make you think harder about B&C.
Our unchanged hold on our vote was a sound result. Wherever the seat is deemed to be! You now seem to be under the impression that this Rhondda ward, wherever you think it is, is some sort of indicator of performance in B&R ( which I assume you meant?). What have they got in common? er, both in Wales? That's just about the limit of it. |
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 6, 2019 9:10:29 GMT
Looks like the LibDem candidate in the Rhondda (not-Rhondda) byelection might be the same person who stood for them in the Rhondda (yes, the real one) parliamentary seat two years ago. Whilst only coming a fairly modest fourth this time, they still managed nearly half as many votes as then - which was in fact the lowest LibDems/Liberal/etc share at a Westminster election since universal male suffrage was introduced.
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