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Post by Deleted on May 19, 2019 12:17:50 GMT
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Post by robert1 on May 20, 2019 5:58:23 GMT
Yesterday, when 82.1% had been counted in Macquarrie, Lab were on 50.4%.
This morning with 84% in, Labour's share has reduced to 50.2%. By my calculations that is rounded up slightly.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on May 20, 2019 7:17:12 GMT
Yesterday, when 82.1% had been counted in Macquarrie, Lab were on 50.4%. This morning with 84% in, Labour's share has reduced to 50.2%. By my calculations that is rounded up slightly. According to the ABC website: 85.8% counted, Liberal leads by 23 votes, 44,519 to 44,496. |
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Post by carlton43 on May 20, 2019 10:45:09 GMT
Yesterday, when 82.1% had been counted in Macquarrie, Lab were on 50.4%. This morning with 84% in, Labour's share has reduced to 50.2%. By my calculations that is rounded up slightly. What are they doing now? Opening one envelope every 10-minutes, straightening it out, ironing it, counting it, having a cup of tea and then opening the next envelope? |
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Richard Allen
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Post by Richard Allen on May 20, 2019 10:56:23 GMT
Yesterday, when 82.1% had been counted in Macquarrie, Lab were on 50.4%. This morning with 84% in, Labour's share has reduced to 50.2%. By my calculations that is rounded up slightly. What are they doing now? Opening one envelope every 10-minutes, straightening it out, ironing it, counting it, having a cup of tea and then opening the next envelope? They are having a cup of tea waiting for more ballots to arrive. Postal votes will continue to trickle in over the coming days and so the count won't be completed for some time. |
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on May 20, 2019 11:01:46 GMT
What are they doing now? Opening one envelope every 10-minutes, straightening it out, ironing it, counting it, having a cup of tea and then opening the next envelope? They are having a cup of tea waiting for more ballots to arrive. Postal votes will continue to trickle in over the coming days and so the count won't be completed for some time. The AEC receives postal votes for 13 days, so 31 May is the cut-off. What I’m guessing are the final figures for today as it’s 9pm in Canberra for Macquarie are Liberals ahead by exactly 50 votes, 44,969 to 44,919 with 86.6% counted. |
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Post by timrollpickering on May 20, 2019 11:53:33 GMT
Also don't forget it takes time to transport declaration votes from other constituencies to the relevant counting centre.
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Post by Andrew_S on May 20, 2019 17:04:48 GMT
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on May 21, 2019 3:46:18 GMT
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Post by robert1 on May 21, 2019 8:33:40 GMT
Cowan has moved from 51.2% Labour on 72.2% counted, through 50.7% on 76.4% and is now at 50.5% on 77.9%
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on May 21, 2019 9:10:42 GMT
Cowan has moved from 51.2% Labour on 72.2% counted, through 50.7% on 76.4% and is now at 50.5% on 77.9%
I don’t know how fallible he is, but pollbludger has taken it off his at risk list and given Labor an 83% chance of retaining it. |
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Post by robert1 on May 21, 2019 9:31:13 GMT
He may well be correct. It seems a stretch for the Liberals to go that much further, particularly because the latest figures on ABC website still give Labour
50.5% but now on 78.7% counted
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on May 21, 2019 10:12:01 GMT
Liberal lead down to 33 (50.1%-49.9%) in Macquarie with 86.6% counted.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on May 21, 2019 10:30:37 GMT
YouGov doing the polling and gets it wrong, you say? Hmmmm.....
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Post by middleenglander on May 21, 2019 10:53:49 GMT
Liberal lead down to 33 (50.1%-49.9%) in Macquarie with 86.6% counted. I think it may be 133. |
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on May 21, 2019 11:03:19 GMT
Liberal lead down to 33 (50.1%-49.9%) in Macquarie with 86.6% counted. I think it may be 133. Indeed, apologies. |
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Post by timrollpickering on May 21, 2019 11:55:14 GMT
The New South Wales senate ballot was massive again. Here's Tony Abbott being given his Reps (green) and Senate (white) papers:  |
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Post by robert1 on May 21, 2019 12:54:21 GMT
Macquarie Liberal lead has now risen to 251 on 87.1% counted. Seems to be moving inexorably into the Liberal column.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on May 21, 2019 14:04:49 GMT
Macquarie Liberal lead has now risen to 251 on 87.1% counted. Seems to be moving inexorably into the Liberal column. I’m glad I’m not the only one who counts wrongly 😉 it’s 151 according to the AEC tallyroom.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionPage-24310-133.htmPollbludger is however now making the Liberals 58-42 favourites. |
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Post by robert1 on May 21, 2019 15:12:53 GMT
Apologies all round and thank you to Tim. It is 151 according to ABC as well. Clearly am having bad day when it comes to my maths-and a few other things which are not relevant to this site!
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