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Post by Andrew_S on Apr 6, 2019 14:08:09 GMT
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Post by greenhert on Apr 6, 2019 21:59:03 GMT
And within four months from now. |
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Post by Andrew_S on Apr 6, 2019 22:53:37 GMT
"Internal Liberal Party polling is "diabolically bad" for Tony Abbott in Warringah, according to senior Liberal sources, with the former prime minister facing a 12 per cent swing that could sweep him out of his blue-ribbon seat. But with Prime Minister Scott Morrison poised to call an election any day, the Liberal Party is increasingly confident of a positive or neutral result in NSW by regaining Malcolm Turnbull's old seat of Wentworth and even winning Lindsay from Labor in the western suburbs." www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/diabolically-bad-poll-abbott-facing-12-per-cent-swing-to-lose-seat-20190406-p51bhg.html |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,029
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Post by Sibboleth on Apr 6, 2019 23:23:02 GMT
"Internal Liberal Party polling is "diabolically bad" for Tony Abbott in Warringah, according to senior Liberal sources, with the former prime minister facing a 12 per cent swing that could sweep him out of his blue-ribbon seat. Specifically, he's being challenged by a liberal independent. It's rather like Richmond, Twickenham etc; the sort of place that will never vote Labo(u)r, never, but isn't necessarily ironclad for the traditional party of property. |
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,012
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Post by Khunanup on Apr 7, 2019 2:41:18 GMT
"Internal Liberal Party polling is "diabolically bad" for Tony Abbott in Warringah, according to senior Liberal sources, with the former prime minister facing a 12 per cent swing that could sweep him out of his blue-ribbon seat. Specifically, he's being challenged by a liberal independent. It's rather like Richmond, Twickenham etc; the sort of place that will never vote Labo(u)r, never, but isn't necessarily ironclad for the traditional party of property. Indeed. As I said at the time when Wentworth was lost, there's no chance if there was a relatively competitive established centrist party in Australia's political landscape that seats like this and Warringah would be as hyper-safe as they have been in the politically polarised environment of Australia. Centrist indys are a real threat in places like this, it'll be interesting to see if this becomes more of a trend in the next few elections. |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Apr 7, 2019 7:42:34 GMT
The Australian Democrats once filled that niche. And it is strange that nothing emerged to replace them.
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Post by pragmaticidealist on Apr 7, 2019 8:23:04 GMT
And within four months from now. It won't be called for any later than May, given the rules about the Senate. |
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Post by greenhert on Apr 7, 2019 15:01:49 GMT
The Australian Democrats once filled that niche. And it is strange that nothing emerged to replace them. The Centrist Alliance fka the Xenophon Team has tried, though. |
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Post by finsobruce on Apr 7, 2019 15:07:35 GMT
The Australian Democrats once filled that niche. And it is strange that nothing emerged to replace them. The Centrist Alliance fka the Xenophon Team has tried, though. Although Xenephon himself left the party when it became the Centrist Alliance.
Against both Pokies and Wind farms.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,308 
Member is Online
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Post by maxque on Apr 7, 2019 22:31:58 GMT
The Australian Democrats once filled that niche. And it is strange that nothing emerged to replace them. The Centrist Alliance fka the Xenophon Team has tried, though. And Xenophon wasn't a centrist, he's an authoritarian with an huge sense of self. |
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Post by uhurasmazda on Apr 7, 2019 23:28:34 GMT
The Centrist Alliance fka the Xenophon Team has tried, though. And Xenophon wasn't a centrist, he's an authoritarian with an huge sense of self. You repeat yourself, surely? *looks meaningfully across at David Owen* |
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,012
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Post by Khunanup on Apr 7, 2019 23:38:34 GMT
And Xenophon wasn't a centrist, he's an authoritarian with an huge sense of self. You repeat yourself, surely? *looks meaningfully across at David Owen* It's really important to use proper names in certain contexts (in this case of course, Doctor Death)...  |
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Post by pragmaticidealist on Apr 8, 2019 9:00:54 GMT
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Post by timrollpickering on Apr 9, 2019 11:47:06 GMT
Look what's back:
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Post by finsobruce on Apr 9, 2019 12:08:52 GMT
Just in time for the European elections... oh, wait. |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Apr 10, 2019 22:59:06 GMT
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Post by Andrew_S on Apr 10, 2019 23:22:48 GMT
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Post by Andrew_S on Apr 11, 2019 0:05:50 GMT
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Post by Andrew_S on Apr 11, 2019 17:10:21 GMT
The graphs on this page must be a bit worrying for Labor. www.pollbludger.net/bludgertrack2019/leaders.htm?Net satisfaction: Scott Morrison -2.1% Bill Shorten -17.8% Preferred PM: Morrison +9.2% Shorten -9.2% Why does Bill Shorten have these poor ratings? |
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Post by pragmaticidealist on Apr 11, 2019 17:27:10 GMT
The graphs on this page must be a bit worrying for Labor. www.pollbludger.net/bludgertrack2019/leaders.htm?Net satisfaction: Scott Morrison -2.1% Bill Shorten -17.8% Preferred PM: Morrison +9.2% Shorten -9.2% Why does Bill Shorten have these poor ratings? Shorten is about as stereotypical and generic as it gets for an ALP politician - he has a history of being a factional power broker and he was formerly the leader of the Australian Workers' Union. In any case, leaders' rating have a tendency to improve during the short federal election campaign itself, particularly if they are low beforehand. They are also not always the best guide; both Tony Abbott and Paul Keating led their parties to victory despite have mostly dire personal ratings, and Mark Latham led the ALP to a quasi-landslide defeat despite (as odd as it now seems) being popular on a personal basis. Morrison has, it must be said, done pretty well to keep his ratings as high as they are. |
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