The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 20, 2024 11:52:13 GMT
And this pollster tends to give higher SNP scores in both its GB-wide and Scottish surveys.
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Post by hullenedge on May 20, 2024 8:18:01 GMT
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graham
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,350
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Post by graham on May 20, 2024 9:05:42 GMT
The Greens are far too high there - more than double the vote share likely to be polled in a GE. |
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polupolu
Lib Dem
Liberal (Democrat). Socially Liberal, Economically Keynesian.
Posts: 1,261 
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Post by polupolu on May 20, 2024 9:16:08 GMT
Is that the highest Green number we have seen?
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Post by batman on May 20, 2024 9:18:36 GMT
Ipsos MORI are getting a reputation for going out on a limb with their Scottish polls, is this going to become a feature of their Britain-wide ones too? I also don't think for one moment that the Tories will get as little as 20% in the general election (although Ipsos MORI aren't alone in this, YouGov have their share extremely low too).
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Post by woollyliberal on May 20, 2024 9:53:36 GMT
Lib Dems, Greens, Reform is not a polling order we've seen in a while. Tories going *UP* to 20% is also notable.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on May 20, 2024 10:28:43 GMT
Is that the highest Green number we have seen? Don't think so, but it can't be far off. What is the record out of interest? |
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Post by batman on May 20, 2024 12:06:43 GMT
They would have been pretty high around 1989 when they polled so strongly in the Euro-elections
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 6, 2024 8:18:13 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,144
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Post by cogload on Jun 6, 2024 10:40:24 GMT
From the last poll..
Lab +2
Cons +3
Reform -
Greens -2
LD -3
🫤.
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 6, 2024 10:44:46 GMT
Check the fieldwork dates, much of it will have been done before Farage's announcement.
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Post by uthacalthing on Jun 6, 2024 21:31:53 GMT
Caroline from IPSO Mori called me today. I hope I gave her pause for thought, but she certainly gave me some
Who do I trust most as First Minister? Anas fucking Sarwar. I was appalled at myself
Who do I trust most as Prime Minister? Keir Starmer
Who do I trust most on the cost of living crisis? Labour. I felt bad about that so refused to credit them as best on the NHS which is probably the wrong way round.
90% likely to vote Lib Dem, if not Reform
IPSO Mori on Times Radio absolutely slaughtering the Tories. They are facing an extinction level event
But it gave me cause for thought. If I felt that my vote for Reform might save a deposit or allow them to overtake the Tory, I just might, providing I was sure Wendy Chamberlain would hold the SNP off
I am rising to 20% likely to vote Reform
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johng
Labour
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Post by johng on Jun 18, 2024 16:14:27 GMT
IPSOS has released an MRP poll. Headline figures are: Labour - 43% Conservatives - 25% ReformUK - 12% Lib Dems - 10%, Greens - 6% SNP - 3%
Seat Totals: Labour - 453 Conservatives - 115 Lib Dem - 38 SNP - 15 Plaid - 4 Green - 3 ReformUK - 3
20,000 interviewed. Data is a bit old though as fieldwork was June 7 to June 12.
Not sure numbers are comparable to their previous poll as this is an MRP and their last poll was weeks ago. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 18, 2024 16:38:39 GMT
Interesting, has the Greens winning 3, but Brighton Pavilion not among them...
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Post by woollyliberal on Jun 18, 2024 16:42:29 GMT
Ipsos using a Random Probability sample. What's that then?
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Jun 18, 2024 17:15:49 GMT
Interesting, has the Greens winning 3, but Brighton Pavilion not among them... Looks like they've taken some liberties with the Green and Reform seats, as I can't see how they could have predicted such divergent results in these specific seats (where there isn't even a metric like 'minor party in second') with this sample size. |
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Post by edgbaston on Jun 18, 2024 17:46:57 GMT
Anyone got a link to the data / constituency tables on this
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Post by evergreenadam on Jun 18, 2024 17:47:14 GMT
Ipsos using a Random Probability sample. What's that then? Am reading on Twitter that it is some kind of gold standard for polling but I have doubts about the individual seat projections produced by this poll. The lag time between the start of the fieldwork and the publication of the poll should also be taken in consideration. |
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Jun 18, 2024 18:04:02 GMT
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Post by bjornhattan on Jun 18, 2024 18:08:09 GMT
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