Prediction Competition - April 2019

[Deleted]

Labour 35 lib Dems 33 Conservatives 17 Greens 10 UKIP 5

[greenhert]

Shropshire UA, Belle Vue: Labour 36, Liberal Democrats 35, Conservative 17, Green 8, UKIP 4.

[hempie]

Shropshire, Belle Vue: Lab 39, LD 33, Con 17, Green 8, UKIP 3

[Deleted]

Belle Vue (Shropshire): Lab 43 LD 37 Con 12 Grn 5 UKIP 3

[Right Leaning]

Shropshire, Belle Vue: Lab 41, LD 35, C 14, Gn 8, UKIP 2.

[iainbhx]

Shropshire UA, Belle Vue: Lab 38 LDm 33, Con 17, Grn 7, UKIP 5

[Toylyyev]

Shropshire UA, Belle Vue: Labour 40, Liberal Democrat 29, Conservative 14, Green 9, UKIP 8.

[jamesrodriguez]

Shropshire, Belle Vue: LD 39, Lab 36, Con 13, UKIP 7 Grn 5.

[syorkssocialist]

Shropshire, Belle Vue: Labour 38%, LD 34%, Conserrvative 18%, UKIP 6%, Green 4%

[robbienicoll]

Belle Vue, Shropshire: Con 18, Lab 40, LD 36, Green 5, UKIP 1

[Robert Waller]

Belle Vue, Shropshire: Con 15, Lab 35, LD 40, Green 5, UKIP 5

[Davıd Boothroyd]

SHROPSHIRE Belle Vue: Lab 38, L Dem 31, C 20, UKIP 8, GP 3

[yellowperil]

Shropshire, Belle Vue:  Con 10, Lab 36, LD 39, Green 8, UKIP  7

[zoe]

Belle Vue, Shropshire
LD 38
Lab 36
Con 16
UKIP 06
Grn 04

[andrewp]

Shropshire Belle Vue Lab 38, Lib Dem 35, Con 14, Green 7, UKIP 6

[olympian95]

Shropshire: Lab 37, LD 32, Con 18, UKIP 9, Green 4

[middleenglander]

19 entrants this week with nothing again from electionmapsuk and harryb. Olympian95 gets 5 additional faults for posting over ½ hour late.

Shropshire, Belle Vue: 14 Labour holds, jamesrodriguez, ricmk, Robert Waller, Yellow Peril and Zoe a Liberal Democrat gain.

The range of the share for all five candidates is approximately 10%:
- Conservative from 10% (Yellow Peril) to 20% (David Boothroyd & John Loony)
- Labour from 33% (ricmk) to 43% (europeanlefty)
- Liberal Democrat from 26.7% (John Loony) to 40% (Robert Waller)
- Green from 3% (David Boothroyd) to 13.3% (John Loony)
- UKIP from 1% (robbienicoll) to 12% (ricmk)

[middleenglander]

Week 4:

Authority	Weeks 1 & 2	Shropshire	Weeks 1 - 4	Weeks 1 - 4
Division	faults	Belle Vue	faults	position
Tony Otim	106.3	23.1	129.4	1st
Right Leaning	121.2	17.2	138.4	2nd
David Boothroyd	123.6	23.2	146.8	3rd
Robert Waller	125.7	24.3+10	160.0	6th
Olympian95	136.1	22.3+5	163.4	8th
andrewp	137.1	18.1	155.3	4th
greenrobinhood	139.9	23.2	163.1	7th
toylyyev	140.5	19.1	159.5	5th
hempie	147.8	19.2	167.0	9th
robbienicoll	149.8	21.3	171.2	10th
John Loony	153.6	37.1	190.7	11th
ricmk	174.1	30.3+10	214.4	16th
priceofdawn	174.2	24.1	198.3	12th
jamesrodriguez	174.6	22.3+10	206.9	14th
southyorkssocialist	179.6	20.3	199.9	13th
Yellow Peril	181.7	25.9+10	217.5	18th
Zoe	183.0	24.3+10	217.3	17th
iainbhx	191.5	18.1	209.7	15th
electionsmapsuk	217.9	+100	317.9	19th
eurpeanlefty	412.5	11.3	423.9	20th
harryb	430.2	+100	530.2	21st
Total	3,800.8	624.8+50+5	4,480.6

Objections please by noon Sunday.

New thread after 02 May elections.

[yellowperil]

Congratulations to Tony Otim for confirming his win for the month of April and to @europeanlefty for coming out top in a crowded final field. As for me, my two month sabbatical does not seem to have done me much good! Not sure whether I would have gone for the LD win in Belle Vue except in the situation where there really was nothing to lose by taking a gamble

[Tony Otim]

Apr 26, 2019 1:17:10 GMT yellowperil said:

Congratulations to Tony Otim for confirming his win for the month of April and to @europeanlefty for coming out top in a crowded final field. As for me, my two month sabbatical does not seem to have done me much good! Not sure whether I would have gone for the LD win in Belle Vue except in the situation where there really was nothing to lose by taking a gamble

Thank you- quite pleased with that in a slightly tricky month.